The NBA Game Breakdown takes an in-depth look at all of the games on the schedule each day in terms of expected pace of play, Vegas lines, and defense vs. position match ups.
Bulls @ Spurs
Chicago has won four of it’s last seven and played to the under in four of them as well. In their last seven games only the Thunder have reached triple digits against them and that same game was also the only time they reached that mark themselves. Their style has certainly slowed down with both Guards (Jimmy Butler and Derrick Rose) out with injuries. The Spurs on the other side have won four straight and done so in impressive fashion. They have scored 100 in each game and have averaged 110 per game during this run. They only give up an average of 91.5 per game as well, so they have not only been winning, but they have been dominating opponents. The Bulls are able to throw a few bodies at opponents to cover the loss of their starting backcourt, but there is a noticeable dip in production and talent. Brooks and Hinrich struggle to guard most teams PGs and losing Butler means they no longer have a true lock down perimeter defender. San Antonio is fighting for their playoff life right now, so I would assume they have all hands on deck tomorrow. Based on the lines I would think this is an easy Spurs victory on their home court, but on a short two game early slate I think you have to have some exposure to both games. Most people will target the other game heavier, so the contrarian thing to do would be roster guys from this one for your GPPs.
Line: Spurs -9, O/U 193
Players to Watch
- Tony Parker, PG, Spurs ($5200)
- Kawhi Leonard, SF, Spurs ($7700)
- Mike Dunleavy, SF, Bulls ($4000)
- Joakim Noah, C, Bulls ($6900)
Clippers @ Warriors
The Clippers have won seven of their last ten and played to the under in 5 of the last six. They have averaged around 98 points per game and given up only 93 during this recent run. The games tend to stay close and low scoring when the Clips are involved. That could change today though as they travel to Golden State to take on one of the most explosive offenses in the association. The Warriors have won five of their last seven with the 99 point outing against the Cavs being their low during this run. They have played under in five of the last six, despite scoring over 106 points a game and giving up about 95. Their fast pace and early season success has the totals in their contest sky high at the moment. Of the two early slate games, this is the one with the higher total and likely hotter pace. It makes the most sense to target this one for fantasy. Jamal Crawford has already been ruled out and Blake Griffin is still nursing his way back from his injury. Matt Barnes is a legit questionable for tomorrow and as of now there’s no one in jeopardy on the Warriors. Some of the studs in this one have tough DvP match ups, but if you only have these two games to choose from it makes the most sense to be heaviest here.
Line: Warriors -8
Players to Watch
- Chris Paul, PG, Clippers ($10600)
- JJ Reddick, SG, Clippers ($5100)
- Draymond Green, PF, Warriors ($7200)
- Steph Curry, PG, Warriors ($9500)