Check out a quick breakdown of every game on Friday’s nine-game NBA slate. We’ll take a look at the Vegas lines and totals, recent trends, and a few players you can be targeting for tonight’s action. Good luck!

Injury Box

Note: Be sure to follow injury news throughout the day for the latest updates.

StatusPlayers
ProbableMarvin Williams (CHA), Jusuf Nurkic (DEN), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET), Reggie Bullock (DET), Gorgui Dieng (MIN), DeMarcus Cousins (SAC), Rajon Rondo (SAC), Bradley Beal (WAS), Kyle Lowry (TOR), Kobe Bryant (LAL)
QuestionableKenneth Faried (DEN), Luol Deng (MIA), Ben McLemore (SAC), Patrick Patterson (TOR), Victor Oladipo (ORL)
DoubtfulRyan Kelly (LAL), Ersan Ilyasova (ORL), Alan Anderson (WAS)
OutChandler Parsons (DAL), Andre Iguodala (GSW), PJ Hairston (MEM), Mike Conley (MEM), Nikola Vucevic (ORL), Tyson Chandler (PHX), Kawhi Leonard (SAS), Zach Randolph (MEM), Deron Williams (DAL), Dirk Nowitzki (DAL), Devin Harris (DAL), Patty Mills (SAS), Boris Diaw (SAS), Danny Green (SAS)

Editor’s Note (3:00 PM ET): Dirk Nowitzki, Devin Harris and Deron Williams are all OUT tonight for the Mavericks. The game in Golden State should quickly turn into a blowout and there’s definitely a negative impact on some of the Warriors stars here as well. But for the Mavericks, it looks like JJ Barea will be the primary beneficiary. Barea has averaged 37.5 DK points in two games this season where both Deron Williams and Devin Harris sat out. Dwight Powell ($3K) has averaged over 21 fantasy points per game with Dirk out this season and stands to benefit in his absence as well.


Minnesota Timberwolves @ Washington Wizards

Over/Under: 218
Line: Wizards -6

There are two stories to tell about this game, one for each team. On Washington’s side of the ball, despite all the high hopes Wizards fans had for guys like Bradley Beal, John Wall is basically a one-man show right now. He is – quietly, I think – playing like one of the very best players in the league, and the Timberwolves aren’t going to change that tonight. He has at least 10 assists in seven straight games, which makes for seven-straight double-doubles (except for the one triple double mixed in, when he had 13 boards against Philly). He has the athleticism to simply torch someone like Ricky Rubio and if the Wolves put someone else on him Wall will simply find open teammates for high percentage shots.

And for the Timberwolves, the story is Karl-Anthony Towns. Yes LaVine has stepped up in a big way and Wiggins is showing why trading him for Kevin Love might prove to be a more and more lopsided deal as the years go on. He has played in every game this year, and rather than hitting the proverbial “rookie wall,” he is sprinting right around it, or crashing through it, however you want to look at it. With four straight games over 40 DK FP (and five of six), that means he has four straight games with double digit rebounds as well as at least 18 points (and as many as 32). Facing a solid defender and wily vet like Marcin Gortat will be a good test for the young stud, and one of the more interesting matchups to watch across the entire league tonight.

Targets

  • John Wall ($9,700)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns ($8,300)
  • Marcin Gortat ($6,500)
  • Andrew Wiggins ($6,400)


Charlotte Hornets @ Detroit Pistons

Over/Under: 205.5
Line: Pistons -2

The Pistons are in a 4-way battle for the final two playoff spots (currently #8, 0.5 games behind the Pacers). The Hornets are a solid 3 games above that mess, locked in a 4-team battle of their own, currently the 6 seed, but only 0.5 games behind the Celtics and the Hawks for the 3rd spot. The Hornets own the season series against Detroit 2-0 so far – a win to help even that out would go a long way towards stabilizing the Piston’s playoff chances.

With no big injuries to speak of, this game should be pretty straight forward. The best matchup on the court will be Kemba Walker and Reggie Jackson but even if Jackson plays lights out and Kemba doesn’t, they still have Batum, whereas the Pistons only have Tobias Harris. Up front, Drummond should have no problem controlling the glass by himself, which makes him an easy double-double threat and someone to consider in every format. Al Jefferson though, has the post moves to confound the young center while he’s out there, so I wouldn’t shy away from Big Al. Regardless of who is out there for Charlotte, Drummond should be seeing big minutes tonight.

MARCH 25 BATUM

Targets

  • Andre Drummond ($7,600)
  • Nicolas Batum ($7,000)
  • Marvin Williams ($5,500)
  • Marcus Morris ($5,100)


Orlando Magic @ Miami Heat

Over/Under: 211
Line: Heat -8.5

The turnaround of this Miami team in terms of style has really been nothing short of remarkable. They are still currently sitting as the 23rd highest-scoring team in the NBA, averaging just over 99 points a game for the year. That’s for the year, but if you look at March, they are averaging 111.3 ppg (2nd in the league). They are combining that increased scoring efficiency and their usual stifling defense to great effect, which is why they are favored by 8.5 against a team like Orlando. Despite the Magic playing well lately, they are running into a team that can simply grind you down, keep the pace slow, smother you on defense, and play with an efficiency that you just can’t match.

“I want to spend a minute talking about someone who doesn’t get a lot of attention in fantasy circles…”

While Dragic and Wade have been the main cogs in the turnaround of the Heat offensively, I want to spend a minute talking about someone who doesn’t get a lot of attention in fantasy circles, at least not yet: Justice Winslow. He costs $3,800 because he averages 17 fantasy points a game, despite averaging over 30 minutes a game for a while now. He had a random 20 points game against Denver about a week and a half ago, but in the four games since, he has totaled only 25. In other words, I am not recommending him as a fantasy option. But man, I wish he was on my favorite team. A 6’7” dynamo, he flys around on defense and can crash the boards, handle the ball a little and keep the ball movement going with some crisp passing. He is listed a SF, but he can guard at least three positions, so while Bosh has been sidelined, he is a big part of the reason the Heat are still #1 against power forwards in terms of fantasy points allowed. The other reason? Hassan Whiteside, who can patrol the paint as well as anyone, and who should be dominant while he is out there tonight with no Nikola Vucevic once again.

Targets

  • Hassan Whiteside ($8,000)
  • Victor Oladipo ($7,400)
  • Dwayne Wade ($6,500)
  • Goran Dragic ($6,200)


Player TargetsLevitan's LeverageCheat Sheet
Game BreakdownsClick For MoreTournament Plays


Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks

Over/Under: 203
Line: Hawks -9

The Bucks have now lost four of their last five games, with only a win over the injury-depleted Grizzlies mixed in. They have fallen to 11th in the East, at 30-42, despite the high hopes people had for players like Jabari Parker and Khris Middleton. But if there is one guy who simply cannot be faulted for any of the poor play from Milwaukee, it’s Giannis Antetokounmpo. His special brand of producing in all kinds of different categories has him priced in the same ballpark (and even higher in some cases) than guys with names like LeBron, and KD. In fact, his play is just further proof that one guy can’t carry an underperforming team by himself, because if it was possible, he’d be doing it. Since the All-Star break, this 21-year old stud from Greece is averaging 20 points, 9 rebounds, 8 assists 2 blocks and 2 steals every night. In case you’re sitting there trying to do the math in your head, that translates to just about 50 fantasy points a night. I’ll take it.

This Atlanta team is tied with the Celtics for the third spot in the East, they are doing it on the strength of their frontcourt, so one key to tonight’s game will be how well Greg Monroe can hold his own in the middle against Horford and Millsap. If he can play Horford to a draw and provide some rim protection to keep the production of both of those guys down on the offensive end, it might be hard for the Hawks to score enough to keep this from being anyone’s game down the stretch. Millsap stumbled with a 13 point, 2 rebound game against the Wizards Monday night, but returned to form Wednesday with a 17-9-6 peformance (with 3 steals on top) Wednesday, also against the Wizards. I would expect to see that guy show up again for this one.

Targets

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo ($9,600)
  • Paul Millsap ($7,800)
  • Al Horford ($6,700)
  • Greg Monroe ($5,500)


Toronto Raptors @ Houston Rockets

Over/Under: 212
Line: Raptors -1

It certainly seems like evidence of some kind of lopsidedness to the Conferences when the #2 seed in the East is only getting one point against a sub-.500 8th seed out West, no matter which team has home court advantage. Kyle Lowry did miss Wednesday’s game with an apparent elbow injury that no one had heard about before, but that seems like nothing more than a rest day for a key player down the stretch. And with Lowry and DeRozan both active and playing at full strength, the Raptors are one of only a handful of teams that can boast offensive firepower that actually exceeds the Rockets, even with James Harden doing James Harden things.

For me, if the Rockets are going to take this one, they are going to have to get big contributions from elsewhere. One candidate: Motiejunas, who is very up or down (with 30+ DK FP upside), could be going up against a Toronto team that’s missing Patrick Patterson, one of their better interior defenders. Yes Valanciunas will be around, but he should be kept nicely occupied by the Rockets’ own big man, Dwight Howard.

Targets

  • James Harden ($10,400)
  • DeMar DeRozan ($7,800)
  • Jonas Valanciunas ($5,000)
  • Donatas Motiejunas ($3,400)


Memphis Grizzlies @ San Antonio Spurs

Over/Under: 192
Line: Spurs -13

The only reason this line isn’t higher is because people are afraid the Spurs will just bench everyone. In fact, Kawhi is already listed as out. And even if they were all active, there is almost no chance they’re playing in the 4th quarter against a Grizzlies team that has been ravaged by injuries and who wouldn’t have been able to hang with San Antonio even before that happened. Remember when, because of their size, people used to say the Grizzlies were a bad draw for the Spurs in the playoffs? Not so much anymore.

Mar25 - JaMychal Green

This game is going to be slow-paced and low-scoring, and I wouldn’t blame you if you wanted to avoid it entirely for your fantasy lineup. But oddly enough, if you are going to target this game, the Grizzlies’ players might make the most sense. The Spurs are more unpredictable – anyone could sit more than you expect, or just not shoot the ball as much as you want, and it wouldn’t even be all that shocking. But on Memphis, injuries have consolidated their talent to the point that if they are going to produce at all, you have a good idea of where it is coming from: JaMychal Green is getting lots of run in the middle, Tony Allen is listed as a SF, he actually runs like more of a 1 or a 2 than a 3 the way he is being used right now. I mean, Jordan Farmar got 30+ minutes last time out in only his second game on the roster. This team is just looking for warm bodies. So unless that’s all you want too, look elsewhere.

Targets

  • LaMarcus Aldridge ($7,100)
  • Tony Allen ($4,700)
  • JaMychal Green ($3,400)
  • David West ($3,300)


Phoenix Suns @ Sacramento Kings

Over/Under: 219.5
Line: Kings -7

With Tyson Chandler missing another game, it is Alex Len’s turn to step up and dominate inside. If he can do that, it will open up the game for everyone on the court with him, most notably Brandon Knight and Devin Booker. These are THE scoring guards for the Suns, so every bit of attention Len draws up the middle, whether getting on a post and staying there or filling a lane in transition, draws the defenders just a bit further away from the shooters and helps keep this game close (and the player’s fantasy points UP). Len is averaging 8-8 in 25 minutes per game lately, so he only costs $6,300, but a Kings team with no DeMarcus is a good time to break out the new big man you been wanting to get in your lineups.

For the Kings with a banged up DeMarcus Cousins, expect small-ball. Rondo is probable, but also coming off a game Wednesday in which he was “probable” and then almost recorded a triple-double. If he is healthy, you know they will want him out there for the potential he has to coordinate the action for people going up against a weak defense.

Targets

  • Rajon Rondo ($7,800)
  • Brandon Knight ($7,500)
  • Devin Booker ($6,600)
  • Kosta Koufos ($3,600)


Dallas Mavericks @ Golden State Warriors

Over/Under: 225
Line: Warriors -14

At 64-7, the Warriors need to go 9-2 down the stretch to claim the record for the best regular season mark in history. Do you think they’re going to do it? Two of those games are against the Spurs, who, at 60-11, have a shot to go down as one of the best regular season teams ever as well. Interestingly, going 9-2 over this final leg of the year would bring their winning percentage on the year down, and that includes all the games where they weren’t even at 100%. Assuming they split with San Antonio, that means they would need to go 8-1 against everyone else, and that seems doable. I mean, when haven’t they gone 8-1 this season? The question no one is asking though: what if they just run the table? 75 wins is still attainable. As for advice about tonight’s game? Dallas struggles defending guards, which could be a problem for them here. They have played three times this year: once, the Warriors were without Curry, scored 91 total points, and lost. In the other two, they scored 127 and 130, and blew Dallas out of the gym.

Mar25 - JJ Barea

The last time they played was a week ago today, and the Mavs lost 130-112. Their top performers were Dirk Nowitzki (24 points, 9 rebounds, 3 blocks, 3 3-pointers made) and J.J. Barea (16 points and 7 assists in 28 minutes, a pair of threes made). Those two make sense – Dirk has the three point range you need to try to keep up, and he can get his shot off over anyone ever, so Draymond’s D doesn’t make much of a difference to the vet, and Barea is the one guy they have with enough speed to at least look like he is playing the same game as the Golden State duo, so he was out there just trying to compete and ended up draining a few shots here and then – enough to make him a useful fantasy option for a night, anyway.

Targets

  • Steph Curry ($10,500)
  • Dirk Nowitzki ($7,200)
  • Klay Thompson ($6,800)
  • J.J. Barea ($3,600)

Editor’s Note (3:00 PM ET): Dirk Nowitzki, Devin Harris and Deron Williams are all OUT tonight for the Mavericks. The game in Golden State should quickly turn into a blowout and there’s definitely a negative impact on some of the Warriors stars here as well. But for the Mavericks, it looks like JJ Barea will be the primary beneficiary. Barea has averaged 37.5 DK points in two games this season where both Deron Williams and Devin Harris sat out. Dwight Powell ($3K) has averaged over 21 fantasy points per game with Dirk out this season and stands to benefit in his absence as well.


Denver Nuggets @ Los Angeles Lakers

Over/Under: 215
Line: Nuggets -2.5

Kobe Bryant, no surprise, is listed as questionable for this one. He has played each of the last two games, but hasn’t played more than two consecutive games since February. Keeping in mind that the actual starting Lakers backcourt of Russell and Clarkson are both listed as PGs in DraftKings’ games. If you want to pick up the guys who will gobble up most of Kobe’s minutes, should he miss, take a look at Metta World Peace and Lou Williams.

For Denver, wracked by injuries – especially up front – they are relying more and more on outside shooting and their guards in general to compete and so… this is the matchup for them! By which I mean, the Lakers – as promising as some of their young talent has proved to be, still don’t play defense. They play at basically the exact same pace as the Nuggets, so the Denver guards shouldn’t see any drop off in opportunities – just an increase in efficiency. When that happens, you have to love it when the guys you’re looking at also happen to be mid-range or inexpensive guys. An option that gives you built in value and doesn’t require you to break the bank is always welcomed, right? (I am looking at you, Mudiay).

Targets

  • D’Angelo Russell ($6,200)
  • Julius Randle ($6,000)
  • Nikola Jokic ($5,900)
  • Emmanuel Mudiay ($5,900)