Milwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte Hornets

Over/Under: 200
Line: Hornets -6

This should be a very good game for entertainment and fantasy purposes. Both teams have some really good perimeter players that will be matched up against each other. Charlotte plays at a slower pace and has a better defense efficiency rating than the Bucks do. That means they will be the team that is paced up in this one. As the favorites here, they are the better target for fantasy purposes. Charlotte has been struggling lately though. They have only won one of their last nine games. They have been giving up a few more points than usual lately, and that has been the problem. Milwaukee has been playing at a much higher pace recently too, so that is bad news for the Hornets. The Bucks have been playing .500 basketball over the last 10 games with both teams scoring a tad over 100. Vegas prefers the Hornets at home here with both teams being on the tail end of back-to-backs. I can see this game going either way, but I think the score does come in towards the over, so it is a solid spot to target for fantasy purposes.

Targets

  • Greg Monroe ($6900)
  • Giannis Antetkounmpo ($6800)
  • Khris Middleton ($6800)
  • Nic Batum ($7300)


Boston Celtics @ Washington Wizards

Over/Under: 206
Line: Celtics -1

This game should feature a lot of offense and some nice fantasy stat lines, but nailing down which players to use is a bit tough. Both teams play fast and routinely see scores in the 100s for them and their opponents. For Washington, John Wall is expensive, but he is also the most probable guy to rack up stats. The trouble with him here is that Boston has been surprisingly good at guarding opposing point guards. Marcin Gortat is back from injury, so that should help Washington and so is shooting guard Bradley Beal. Beal is still recovering from his injury though and we already hear rumblings that he may sit this one out. Otto Porter is also banged up and missed yesterday’s game, so guys like Kelly Oubre and Garrett Temple should see more run here.

For the Celtics, everyone is getting healthy and it is very tough to decide who will be a good play. Avery Bradley is back and playing well. He is still cheap and is in play. Isiah Thomas had been going nuts, but his minutes are squeezed with all the healthy payers in Boston now. Marcus Smart had a triple double off the bench yesterday. Those three guys are all viable options, but I can not figure which of them gets the minutes and fantasy points as each has gone off and had a bad game or two in the last week. The frontcourt is also a mess. Amir Johnson has put up the best stat lines lately, but he’s also had games where he did not play 20 minutes. Jared Sullinger and Kelly Olynyk have also alternated good and bad games too, so choosing the right guy here is tough. Jae Crowder has probably been the one Celtic who has had the most consistent performances and minutes, so he is about the only guy here that is cash game safe for me. I do believe we see some nice stat lines come from this paced up game, but it is not going to be easy to choose the right targets.

Targets

  • Marcin Gortat ($6700)
  • Avery Bradley ($5200)
  • Jae Crowder ($6400)
  • Kelly Oubre ($3600)


Brooklyn Nets @ Atlanta Hawks

Over/Under: 204.5
Line: Hawks -11

This game should be an easy victory for the Hawks against a reeling Nets team. The Nets have lost 6 of their last 7. Despite scoring over 100 in the last two games, they had been averaging closer to 85 in the five losses that came before those games. They have been giving up over 100 all throughout this stretch, so the defense for Brooklyn is very suspect. That should be good news for the Hawks who lost a heartbreaker in OT to the Bucks last night. Paul Millsap fouled out and that was the beginning of the demise for Atlanta. Millsap was a beast before picking up that last foul too, so he is clearly the top option to look at from Atlanta’s side. There is a risk of blowout here, but if this game does stay close than Atlanta will be the ones with upside here. The Nets are predictably leaning on Brook Lopez as much as they can on offense right now. Thad Young also has payed well, but is very pricey at the moment. Guys like Donald Sloan and Wayne Ellington have cheap prices and increased roles. They could be nice salary saver options if you need them to fit in some studs elsewhere.

Targets

  • Brook Lopez ($7600)
  • Donald Sloan ($4000)
  • Paul Millsap ($8100)
  • Kyle Korver ($4200)


Portland Trailblazers @ Philadelphia 76ers

Over/Under: 207.5
Line: Blazers -5.5

This game features two really bad defenses, a high total, and a reasonable spread. Therefore we may need to look hard at this one which should yield some nice stat lines. Portland is very easy to nail down. Damian Lillard is the top dog and it is not even close. Since returning from his injury, he has been a man possessed. He is averaging a whopping 56 fantasy points over his last five games and playing a ton of minutes in each, so you know it is not a fluke. On the other side of the game, Ish Smith for the Sixers has also been on fire since becoming the starter and both guys are not really known as defensive stoppers. Each should be able to produce nicely against the other. After that though, it gets a little bit dicey. C.J. McCollum is a big part of the Blazers attack, but he has been priced up and failing to reach value as he moved back to second fiddle with Lillard active.

The most consistent player in terms of fantasy production and minutes after the guards is probably Aminu. His upside is limited, but he does see safe minutes. Guys Like Ed Davis, Mason Plumlee, and Myers Leonard all split time at the big guy spots, but none of them are really consistent. Davis has flashed the highest ceiling recently, so based on price he would be the GPP flyer. On the other side, we have seen Nerlens Noel’s production drop off with Okafor back. Okafor is still not rebounding enough for him to be a solid fantasy option. Robert Covington finally snapped out of his funk yesterday, so hopefully he can repeat that performance here. It’s another game where we know some points will be scored, but will have trouble nailing down exactly who we want to use for fantasy.

Targets

  • Damian Lillard ($9600)
  • Ed Davis ($4000)
  • Ish Smith ($7300)
  • Robert Covington ($5000)


Golden State Warriors @ Detroit Pistons

Over/Under: 214
Line: Warriors -7.5

Both teams have played pretty well lately, so this should be a pretty good game. Detroit had a three game win streak going before dropping games to Memphis and San Antonio in their last two. The Warriors are fresh off a beat down they handed out to the Lakers where the starters got some much needed rest late in the game, so do not let the game logs sway you. Golden State is a well oiled machine that has been putting up over 110 and giving up around 100 due to their pace. they are actually a solid defensive squad, but the pace alone makes other teams viable with the sheer number of points scored. Reggie Jackson has been underperforming lately and his price has dropped to show that. Andre Drummond is one of their main weapons, but he too has failed to reach value. Ersan has been one of their better performers, but this game is not a great matchup for him with Draymond Green on the other side. Dray took a few games off and had a light workload in his last. He is someone who I think is in for a big day here. Klay has seen his production drop with Steph back, and Steph is really expensive now. I think the second best option based on price and his rising minutes might be Harrison Barnes for the Warriors. He is back to seeing around 30 minutes a game and his price is discounted from where it was before his injury, so that makes this a solid spot for him too.

Targets

  • Draymond Green ($9800)
  • Harrison Barnes ($5600)
  • Reggie Jackson ($7000)
  • Stanley Johnson ($3900)


New York Knicks @ Memphis Grizzlies

Over/Under: 191
Line: Grizzlies -3

At first glance this does not seem like a game to use for fantasy. The spread is close, but the total is one of the lowest on the day. The injury situation does make this game interesting though. Mike Conley is likely out again for the Griz. We have seen huge numbers from Mario Chalmers over the past week with Conley out. It has also led to more of the offense running through Marc Gasol, so those are the main two guys I would look at on the Memphis side. Matt Barnes is back as well and he too is a viable option. For the Knicks, Carmelo’s injury has opened up some value and bumped up some production for other guys. Afflalo, Porzingis, and Lopez have all been asked to do more, so all three are worth a look. The biggest bump has to go to Derrick Williams. Lance Thomas is starting with Melo out, but Williams has seen the most minutes and put up the big scores. If Melo is out again, he would be the top guy to target on either side of this game.

Targets

  • Derrick Williams ($4400)
  • Arron Aflalo ($5200)
  • Mario Chalmers ($6500)
  • Marc Gasol ($7400)


Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz

Over/Under: 190
Line: Jazz -7.5

This is a game I will try to steer clear of for the most part. The Lakers are really bad. They can not score and they stop no one on defense. The Jazz are very good on the defensive end and play a slow pace, so the total here is right where you would expect it to be. Both teams have been losing often with each taking only 2 of their last 7 contests. Vegas expects the Jazz to win this one easy in a low scoring game, so that would probably make them more interesting to me, especially with the Lakers rotation basically giving 20-25 minutes to everybody. If Kobe is out, we will see a minutes bump for Clarkson and Williams, so they are the only guys I would even consider.

Targets

  • Gordon Hayward ($7500)
  • Trey Lyles ($4500)
  • Lou Williams ($6400)
  • Jordan Clarkson ($5800)


Sacramento Kings @ Los Angeles Clippers

Over/Under: 216
Line: Clippers -5

This is the main game to target just based off the Vegas lines. The big news here is going to be whether or not DeAndre Jordan plays. If he is out, we will see a bump up for Chris Paul who has taking more of the load on his shoulders already with Blake Griffin out. Cole Aldrich would also make sense as the cheap salary saver option filling in for Jordan. On the flip side, DeMarcus Cousins has been going off lately. He has put up some monster games and would be in a great spot to do so again here in a high total game with or without Jordan defending him. Rajon Rondo and Rudy Gay have also picked it up again lately, although both are a tad pricey. Willie Cauley Stein is back in the mix for Sacramento and makes for a viable cheap option who has been seeing more court time.

Targets

  • Chris Paul ($9200)
  • Cole Aldrich ($3500)
  • Rajon Rondo ($8500)
  • DeMarcus Cousins ($10500)