The NBA Game Breakdown takes an in-depth look at all of the games on the schedule each day in terms of expected pace of play, Vegas lines and defense vs. position matchups.


Game Analysis

The Bulls (22-10) aren’t exactly scoring a ton of points lately as they struggle offensively amidst a 38% shooting performance against the Nets last game out, although their defense is keeping them in games overall. The Nuggets (13-19) are 4-11 on the road this season, and have lost six road games in a row to this point as they have allowed teams to score 108.2 PPG over their last five played. The Bulls shouldn’t have a problem getting their offense back on track against a struggling Nuggets defense, who allow teams to get big leads early on. Wilson Chandler may miss this game with a current quad injury, although the Nuggets will need much more help than a healthy Chandler. Look for the Bulls to take the win, although I’d rather have the +11 points and the Nuggets if betting the line.

Line: CHI -11.0, Over/Under: 206.5

Players to Watch

  • Pau Gasol, PF, Bulls – 29th OPRK ($8,900)
  • Jimmy Butler, SG, Bulls  – 22nd OPRK ($8,800)
  • Joakim Noah, C, Bulls – 29th OPRK ($7,400)
  • Timofey Mozgov, C, Nuggets  – 27th OPRK ($5,200)



Game Analysis

The Timberwolves (5-25) are allowing 108.7 PPG (worst in the NBA) to teams this season, as they give up a -10.3 point differential. The T-Wolves are able to score points, so that’s the strong point of their game, and they face a Kings (13-19) defense that has been known to collapse at times. The Kings will need DeMarcus Cousins to stay in the game and avoid the technical fouls he took on Wednesday, which led to a personal ejection and lost fantasy points for his owners that took the time to draft him. Don’t be surprised if Cousins is suspended for a game. Look for the Kings to pull things together enough to down the T-Wolves, who have now lost nine games in a row. If you’re looking to build around one specific player for your DFS lineup on New Years Day, Rudy Gay is an excellent option overall considering the lack of depth to choose from with the limited slate of games on tap.

Line: SAC -4.0, Over/Under: 211.5

Players to Watch

  • Rudy Gay, SF, Kings – 27th OPRK ($8,600)
  • Shabazz Muhammad, SF, Timberwolves – 26th OPRK ($6,900)
  • Andrew Wiggins, SF, Timberwolves – 26th OPRK ($5,800)
  • Ben McLemore, SG, Kings – 30th OPRK ($5,200)


I hope you have a great New Year, and if you’re looking for fantastic football party ideas (okay, not really) then catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy!