With the NFL season officially n the books until next year, we have a great 10 game NBA slate to look at for NBA DFS. Nine of the ten games have totals over 200 and we only have three with serious blow out risk due to double digit spreads. The ones to be aware of are Sacramento/Cleveland, Indiana/ LA Lakers, and Oklahoma City/Phoenix. Players from every other one of the games are all in play too, so we should have a diverse ownership set tonight with multiple games in play. Let’s take a look at each game and try to figure which guys make some sense for us to use.

Sacramento Kings @ Cleveland Cavaliers

Over/Under: 217.5
Line: Cleveland -12

Vegas is slow to post a line here due to all the questionable players in this one. Rudy Gay and Ben McLemore for the Kings and Kevin Love and Matthew Dellavedova for the Cavs. What we do know is the total here should be high. Cleveland has been scoring more since Lue took over and Sacramento gives up tons of points, so they would be the main targets. Guys like Kyrie and LeBron would be major beneficiaries of no Kevin Love, but we should also see more of Mozgov, Tristan Thompson, and JR Smith. Kyrie gets an extra boost if Delly is out too, so he would be the main guy I looked to target here. On the flip side, it’s not a great matchup for the Kings. If Gay is out, Cousins would get a boost and Rondo would need to do more. Rondo has the best matchup vs. Kyrie defense, so he is worth a look too. With no Gay, we could see better games from guys like Cauley-Stein, Casspi, Bellinelli, and Collison. All of them get upticks if McLemore and Gay miss.

Targets

  • Kyrie Irving ($7200)
  • LeBron James ($9800)
  • Darren Collison ($4800)
  • DeMarcus Cousins ($11200)


Chicago Bulls @ Charlotte Hornets

Over/Under: 204.5
Line: Hornets -6

This is a game that sets up really well for Charlotte. They get the Bulls at home with Jimmy Butler sitting it out. They have welcomed back MKG, Batum, and Zeller in the last week, so they are healthier than they have been in awhile. They have won 6 of the last 9 games and are on the upswing since getting their guys back. The Bulls are moving in the opposite direction as they have been losers of 11 of their last 16 games. With no butler, E’Twaun Moore has done well picking up the minutes and his production. Same goes for Derrick Rose who has taken on more of the offensive load. The major beneficiary of his absence and that of Mirotic and Noah has been Pau Gasol. Gasol has put up 40-50 fantasy points in six of his last seven games to be the main guy carrying the Bulls on offense. He has a soft matchup here, so we could see another good performance.

Targets

  • Pau Gasol ($8700)
  • E’Twaun Moore ($4900)
  • Marvin Williams ($5500)
  • Nicolas Batum ($6700)


Los Angeles Clippers @ Philadelphia 76ers

Over/Under: 205
Line: Clippers -9

The Clippers are on a little bit of a roll here. They have won six of their last seven and have been doing so by really keeping the opponents offense in check. They have only allowed one opponent to score over 100 and have limited the rest to an average of only 93 points. Chris Paul is playing really well right now, but is very expensive for fantasy. Guys like Wes Johnson and Jamal Crawford are more reasonably priced and have made value more often. This is really solid for them with Austin Rivers out too as it means more court time. DeAndre Jordan is in a great spot too. Despite the 22 and 17 outburst last game, Jahlil Okafor is not usually a big time rebounder. Opposing centers have racked up blocks and boards vs. Philly all season making them one of the best teams to target against. For the 76ers, we have Ish smith expected to return. He has been putting up numbers and has a high usage rate. The matchup is tough, but he should be solid. Jahlil Okafor and Nerlens Noel have been the big scorers for the 76ers. Nerlens has been more consistent, but Okafor probably has more upside. One I’d rather use in cash and the other is a GPP play for me.

Targets

  • Wesley Johnson ($4300)
  • DeAndre Jordan ($7900)
  • Nerlens Noel ($6500)
  • Jahlil Okafor ($6300)


Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers

Over/Under: 206
Line: Pacers -11

The Lakers have lost 11 of their last 13, but the bright side is they have won two of the last three games. The Pacers have won 4 of their last six and are playing games well above the 200 total nightly. That should make this a high paced game which is a great spot to look at some Pacers. Kobe Bryant and Roy Hibbert are both questionable too, so a thin bench would also put a few Lakers into play. Myles Turner has been a big part of this resurgence for the Pacers. Ian Mahinmi may be back, but he is solidified as the starter at power forward right now. He is getting pricey, but the matchup is really good here for him. Paul George should feast with or without Kobe in the lineup. He has been putting up 40-50 fantasy points and I can see him doing so again here. The Lakers have seen Julius Randle throw up some good numbers. Larry Nance is out and if Hibbert misses too, he should see big minutes. He’s thrown up some 30 and 40 fantasy point efforts lately and should be good to go here. Jordan Clarkson would benefit if Kobe is out too. He usually hits value although lacks elite upside.

Targets

  • Jordan Clarkson ($5300)
  • Julius Randle ($6400)
  • Myles Turner ($6300)
  • Paul George ($8500)


Toronto Raptors @ Detroit Pistons

Over/Under: 205
Line: Raptors -1

Toronto is actually the hottest team in the league right now as they have won 13 of their last 14 games. Kyle Lowry is having an MVP type season right now. He and Derozan have pretty much carried the offensive load for this team, but the real strength is their defense. It starts with Valaciunas cleaning the glass and adding enough offense to make himself a viable option here. It is also a reason why I am not very high on some of the Pistons today. Stanley Johnson is the main exception as he is starting at the shooting guard spot for an injured KCP and doing work. He has put up 33 and 49 fantasy points in his last two games since taking over the role, so he is still worth looking at with a price of $5900. Andre Drummond also is interesting here. His price has dropped down to only $8200 which is the cheapest we have seen hi in awhile. He has failed to reach 40 a few times, but makes sense as a GPP play at low ownership with his ability to do so in a 20, 20 game.

Targets

  • Andre Drummond ($8200)
  • Stanley Johnson ($5900)
  • Jonas Valanciunas ($6000)
  • Kyle Lowry ($8700)


Denver Nuggets @ Brooklyn Nets

Over/Under: 204
Line: Nuggets -2

I really like Denver in this game which is why the line is puzzling to me. They have played well in winning four of their last six, with the only game the offense struggled in being the one vs. a good defensive Utah Jazz team. Gallinari and Jokic have been playing really well lately and both are worth a look here. Some of the cheaper options like Mudiay and Barton are also in great spots and have been reaching their upsides lately at cheaper price points. For the Nets, Joe Johnson is a GPP only play as he alternates great and horrible games. Thad Young and Brook Lopez have been the more consistent duo with Ellington as a solid 20-25 points for like $4K in his role most nights. The PG duo of Larkin and Sloan is tough to call, so I would probably look at the big men if I use any Nets at all.

Targets

  • Brook Lopez ($7800)
  • Thaddeus Young ($6700)
  • Emmanuel Mudiay ($5600)
  • Nikola Jokic ($6500)


Portland Trailblazers @ Memphis Grizzlies

Over/Under: 198
Line: Grizzlies -4

This is a slight tick up in pace for the favored Grizzlies and a big drop for the visiting Trailblazers. The Blazers have been pretty good lately as they have won six of their last seven. Memphis has also been really good though as they have won 9 of their last 11. Both teams play solid defense as each has been scoring over 100 and limiting opponents under it during this recent run. The Blazers are easy to read as Lillard and McCollum do most if not all of the heavy lifting over there. For the Grizzlies, we have different guys step up every game. Matt Barnes has been seeing the minutes and is still cheap, so he tops my list, but guys like Conley, Green, and Gasol have all been the top producers in recent games. Conley and Gasol have very soft matchups, so both of the usual suspects are in play here too.

Targets

  • Matt Barnes ($4900)
  • Marc Gasol ($7300)
  • Damian Lillard ($9000)
  • C.J. McCollum ($7100)


Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks

Over/Under: 201
Line: Hawks -8

Neither of these two teams are playing well lately. Atlanta has only won 4 of it’s last 10, but that is better than Orlando who has lost 11 of 13. Atlanta tends to play lower scoring games and Orlando tends to give up a few more points. That makes this a better spot for Atlanta fantasy wise. Lately the Hawks offense has been powered by Kent Bazemore and Jeff Teague. Millsap is still chipping in, but is below his usual production and the same goes for Horford. Both are solid, but probably not worth the price tag. The key news to watch for is the availability of of Tobias Harris. Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier, and Elfrid Payton all see more minutes when any one of the top six in that rotation is out. Elf and Fournier are both pretty cheap. Along with Aaron Gordon, you can have a lot of exposure to Orlando for a reasonable price tag. It’s not a great spot to stack the three, but one or more of them should return great value.

Targets

  • Kent Bazemore ($5200)
  • Jeff Teague ($6000)
  • Elfrid Payton ($5000)
  • Evan Fournier ($4500)


New Orleans Pelicans @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Over/Under: 210
Line: Timberwolves -2

This is the third highest total and the one with the lowest spread, so that alone makes it a game worth looking at for fantasy. The Pelicans have been playing some very high scoring games lately, They had a string of 8 straight games over 205, with many reaching the 220 level before underperforming in the last two, which includes a blowout loss to the Cavs. Minnesota has also been playing a little above the 200 point level and both teams are only 3-5 in their last 8 games. Gorgui Dieng and Karl Anthony-Towns are both playing huge minutes now with Pekovic and Garnett banged up. Each of them saw 40+ minutes last time out and they have both been putting up 30-50 fantasy points regularly. For the Pelicans, the injuries to Eric Gordon and Tyreke Evans have allowed guys like Jrue Holiday, Norris Cole, and Bryce Desean-Jones become regulars in a lot of lineups. The extra minutes and usage should remain as long Gordon and Evans are out. Jrue has the most upside, but Cole and Jones have been making value with extra court time too. Anthony Davis is the likely high scorer, but he might be a tad too pricey to pay up for in a matchup that is not great.

Targets

  • Norris Cole ($5900)
  • Jrue Holiday ($6900)
  • Karl-Anthony Towns ($8200)
  • Gorgui Dieng ($6500)


Oklahoma City Thunder @ Phoenix Suns

Over/Under: 217
Line: Thunder -12

This game sets up just as Vegas lays it out. It should be high scoring and the Thunder should be able to win it going away. The Thunder have won 12 of 14 with the two losses being to Brooklyn and the Warriors last time out. Phoenix is decimated by injuries to their star backcourt duo of Bledsoe and Knight and that has led to 7 straight losses. The coaching change has breathed new life into Markieff Morris who has a 40 and a 50 point game in two of his last three. Along with the young duo of Archie Goodwin and Devin Booker, they make up the useful fantasy pieces. Tyson Chandler is seeing decent minutes, but Len is still seeing about 20 a game too. Unless they play more together, neither makes sense as an option. OKC is a very easy team to peg for fantasy. Westbrook and Durant dominate the ball and get most of the production. The blowout risk is a concern, but they should score a ton of points when they are in there. I still think one or both hit the 45-55 fantasy point mark in what should be an easy victory.

Targets

  • Russell Westbrook ($11300)
  • Kevin Durant ($10700)
  • Archie Goodwin ($5900)
  • Markieff Morris ($6200)