The NBA Game Breakdown takes an in-depth look at all of the games on the schedule each day in terms of expected pace of play, Vegas lines, and defense vs. position match ups.
Big Money Tuesday
We have no direct entry games to the FBWC tonight, but we do have some satellites to the $1000 buy in qualifier tomorrow. There’s two big prize pools today on this five game slate and there is something for any size bankroll. The $100K 3ball has a $300 buy in and the Crossover has $115K prize pool with a buy in of only $20. Join them through the links below before they fill up.
Nuggets @ Sixers
The Nuggets have won only one of their last ten games and played to the under in seven of those. The normally fast paced, high scoring offense has only managed to crack the century mark in two of those last ten. They have allowed over 100 points in seven of those ten as well, so it’s easy to see why they have been losing. The Sixers have won two of their last four and played to the under in three of those. They also have only reached the century mark in one of those last ten and normally score somewhere in the 80s. At the very least we should see a low scoring game because of this. There’s a few injury and sickness concerns as well. The Sixers PG Michael Carter-Williams was injured yesterday and did not return for the fourth quarter of that game. He is listed as questionable tonight and I would not be shocked if he missed the game. With Wroten still out that would mean a bigger role for Larry Drew who would probably draw a start at min price. Darrell Arthur and Kenneth Faried both missed the Nuggets last game with illnesses. Both are questionable, but likely to suit up tonight. Don’t get too excited about JJ Hickson’s last game as it is very likely he was the beneficiary of those illnesses and will not repeat that performance. This is actually the highest total game with a spread under 8 at the moment, so you have to at least consider using a few guys here on a small five game slate.
Line: Nuggets -6, O/U 192
Players to Watch
- Ty Lawson, PG, Nuggets ($8000)
- Jusuf Nurkic, C, Nuggets ($4400)
- Robert Covington, PF, Sixers ($5000)
- Larry Drew III, PG, Sixers ($3000)
Celtics @ Knicks
Boston has lost three in a row and failed to score 100 in any of them. They are averaging 86 points a game and giving up closer to 97 which is a lot lower on both sides than they had been playing to earlier in the season. The Boston pace has slowed way down without Rondo and people should not still be looking at them for fantasy goodness. The Knicks on the other hand are on the upswing. They have won five of the last seven and played to the under in all but one of those. A low scoring game is most likely the outcome between these two tonight. Both teams have some banged up big men as Olynyk, Stoudemire, and Aldrich are are questionable or out today. There should be extra minutes for the bigs who suit up on both sides. Since the score is expected to be low it might be a good idea to take the value there instead of paying up for some of the pricier scorers. On a five game slate there’s not much fading to do, but I would be hesitant to go too heavy here.
Line: Knicks -1, O/U 189
Players to Watch
- Langston Galloway, PG, Knicks ($5300)
- Carmelo Anthony, PF, Knicks ($8800)
- Avery Bradley, SG, Celtics ($4200)
- Jared Sullinger, PF, Celtics ($6500)
Heat @ Pistons
The Heat have won three of their last five and played to the under in four of those games. What is even more remarkable is they rarely see a spread reach 190 and still manage to play to the under due to a very slow pace of play. The Pistons have only one win in their last five and have played to the under more often as well. They do tend to see higher totals, but have struggled to score and keep the momentum going since the injury to Brandon Jennings. This looks like the worst game on the slate for fantasy purposes and that’s saying something given the low totals on some of the other dumpster fires tonight. The injury news in this one is all on the Miami side as Dwayne Wade is out for a few weeks, although it looks likely Loul Deng will be back today to ease the burden. Either way it is going to be a slow paced, low scoring game and should be used cautiously for fantasy purposes.
Line: Pistons -4, O/U 186
Players to Watch
- Hassan Whiteside, C, Heat ($7700)
- Luol Deng, SF, Heat ($5000)
- DJ Augustin, PG, Pistons ($6200)
- Greg Monroe, PF, Pistons ($8400)
Jazz @ Trailblazers
Utah has three wins in their last five and have been putting up a good amount of points recently. They have topped 105 in three of those games and have paced up a bit in recent contests. Portland has lost five of it’s last six and the defense has been the reason for many of the overs hitting during that stretch. The normally stout interior defense of Portland and the injuries to guys like Lopez and Batum have hurt both the depth and defensive abilities of this team in recent games. The only major injury concern is Robin Lopez who is expected back today after missing a month with a broken hand. He will probably not see his usual minutes yet, but it does hurt Chris Kaman as he should see a tick down also. The spread here is dropping from an opening at 11, so maybe this one stays closer than first expected. The O/U is the second highest on the day and you should look here for some plays tonight, despite it not being a super high scoring affair predicted.
Line: Blazers -8, O/U 194
Players to Watch
- Damian Lilliard, PG, Blazers ($8600)
- Wes Matthews, SG, Blazers ($5800)
- Gordon Hayward, SF, Jazz ($8100)
- Rudy Gobert, PF, Jazz ($5400)
Warriors @ Kings
The Warriors have won six of the last eight and played to the over in all but two of them. They are scoring over 116 points per game and five times cracked the 120 mark. When the Warriors play to the under is mostly has to do with the other team failing to score. The Kings lost to this Warrior team a week ago by a score of 126-101, so there’s definitely both a chance for this game to go over and for both teams to crack the century mark. Despite the high spread here, there’s very few teams expected to score 100 tonight, so both of these two are in play. The Warriors do not have a slow button, so the pace is likely to be pretty hot. The last time these two met it was a close game for two and half quarters before Klay Thompson caught NBA Jams type fire in the third quarter and pushed the lead to an insurmountable number. DeMarcus Cousins still managed to put up 50 DK points in that one despite sitting much of the fourth quarter, so if you want to target any game tonight I would think this is where to look. Guys on both sides are in play and if Klay does not repeat his superman performance than this one could remain much closer today. I would look to target here as the total is 20 points above any other game and likely to go over according to the early money being taken in Vegas. Remember too that Gay was ejected in the second quarter of the last match up, so don’t let the horrible game log fool you there. He may have a tough day though against solid Draymond Green Defense, but if it’s going to stay close they will need more than just Boogie doing work.
Line: Warriors -9.5, O/U 217
Players to Watch
- Demarcus Cousins, C, Kings ($10500)
- Rudy Gay, SF, Kings ($7600)
- Klay Thompson, SG, Warriors ($8500)
- Steph Curry, PG, Warriors ($10300)