We have a nice 9 game slate for Monday’s NBA DFS action. That is a few more games then we usually see. Only two of these games have a total over 200 and a spread of less than 7. That means we do not have a lot of good spots to target here. Let’s take a look at the matchups and see who stands out.


Looking for more NBA content? Check out these articles:

NBA Tournament Plays
NBA Targets
NBA Cheat Sheet


Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets

Over/Under: 195
Line: Hornets -3

Charlotte is playing without center Al Jefferson. That is bad news when they are going up against one of the best centers in the league in Andre Drummond. Detroit has fallen into a funk lately and the Hornets have been chugging along even without their post presence. Kemba Walker and Nic Batum have led the way for Charlotte. Marvin Williams and Cody Zeller have both picked up a few extra minutes and reached value as well. Even guys like Jeremy Linn and Jeremy Lamb are putting up some decent numbers. Charlotte is underpriced as a team, especially in the frontcourt with a thinned out roster. Detroit on the other hand is relying on Jackson and Drummond a little too much. Kentavius Caldwel-Pope and Marcus Morris have chipped in with some big games here and there, but not on a consistent enough basis. Both teams play somewhat slow, but we do have some nice matchups to exploit.

Targets

  • Nicolas Batum ($7500)
  • Cody Zeller ($4400)
  • Andre Drummond ($9300)
  • Marcus Morris ($6300)


San Antonio Spurs @ Philadelphia 76ers

Over/Under: 189
Line: Spurs -12

This is one of the lower totals and bigger spreads on the day. Neither of those two things are positive for fantasy values. We know the 76ers are especially bad. The Spurs are perpetually good. This is about as uneven a matchup as we can get. The Spurs play good defense and the 76ers have a bad offense. The Spurs are one of the more efficient offenses in the league and the 76ers are one of the worst defensive teams. Every metric we look at favors the Spurs by a wide margin. My only real concern here is if any of the Spurs decide to sit this one out. I am hoping they do, because it would make it easier to pinpoint where the value will come from. Right now my concern is the starters play less minutes and have trouble paying off those high price tags. I think it’s foolish to pay up on Philly too, because I do not foresee the Spurs giving up a ton of points and neither does Vegas who has their implied total at only 88.

Targets

  • Tim Duncan ($5800)
  • Danny Green ($4000)
  • Nerlens Noel ($5900)
  • T.J. McConnell ($4700)


Los Angeles Lakers @ Toronto Raptors

Over/Under: 201
Line: Raptors -13

This is another game that looks uneven. Toronto has been playing good ball lately and are a solid defensive team. The Lakers have been playing bad offense and much of that has to do with Kobe throwing up bad shots and not getting to the rim much anymore. The Lakers are also one of the worst defensive teams in the league, so Toronto is in a good spot here. Vegas expects them to reach a higher number than they usually see, so that is a positive for their starters. The drawback would be they might not play as many minutes as usual if the game is in hand. Still the Raptors side is where I would look for fantasy points. Lowry and DeRozan have carried the scoring load for the Raptors as usual. Back up point guard Cory Joseph has also been holding his own. He has returned good value in the last few games and likely will see more court time in this one. As for the Lakers, the young guys are interesting with their cheap prices. Kobe is taking enough shots to also merit consideration, but I just feel dirty using him. FG% does not matter here. As long as Kobe jacks up 15-20 shots, we have to respect him as an option. This is not the best spot for fantasy purposes, but I can see a decent play or two here based o price.

Targets

  • Cory Joseph ($4200)
  • Kyle Lowry ($8900)
  • Lou Williams ($4300)
  • D’Angelo Russell ($5300)


Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat

Over/Under: 196
Line: Heat -7

So the big news here is that John Wall went down with an injury on Sunday night. The Wizards are already playing without Gortat, Nene, Gooden, and Humphries. Some of those guys may be back, but none of them are 100%. Washington has been rolling guys like Hollins and Dudley at center. That is not going to fly against Bosh and Whiteside down low. No Wall makes this a great spot for Dragic. He has been picking up his game lately too. The only close matchup is Wade and Beal. Beal is the best healthy player the Wizards have, and he is not even guaranteed to get the better of his matchup. Otto Porter at small forward might be the best option, but this game is going to be low scoring for the Wizards and likely a loss.

Targets

  • Chris Bosh ($7300)
  • Goran Dragic ($5200)
  • Gary Neal ($3300)
  • Otto Porter ($5500)


Dallas Mavericks @ New York Knicks

Over/Under: 196
Line: Mavericks -1

Both teams have lost five of their last seven games. Dallas has played a few higher scoring ones, but they have come against teams that play at a higher pace than the Knicks do. This game is likely to be lower scoring than most of the ones both teams play in. The Mavericks have a few injury concerns which could help consolidate their minutes. Guards J.J. Barea and Devin Harris have both been out. That means more minutes for Williams, Matthews, and Felton in the backcourt. They also just lost Dwight Powell on Sunday, so that could mean more for guys like Dirk, Zaza, or Charlie Villanueva too. Most of the heavy lifting for the Knicks is done by their forwards, while the plays on Dallas depend on the minutes those injuries open up. That is how I would be looking to play this game if I use any of these guys at all.

Targets

  • Wesley Matthews ($4800)
  • Dirk Nowitzki ($7000)
  • Carmelo Anthony ($7900)
  • Kristaps Porzingis ($7900)


Portland Trailblazers @ Milwaukee Bucks

Over/Under: 198
Line: Trailblazers -1

The bucks do not normally play high scoring games, so this is probably paced up a little bit for them. It is a paced down game against a long athletic defensive team for a struggling Blazers squad too. If anything, I would say the game flow favors the Bucks players in this one. The key to any Bucks player outperforming his salary is the injury situation. Jerryd Bayless is likely out and Tyler Ennis and Greivis Vasquez could join them. Coach Jason Kidd is very tight lipped with who is available and he also has no rhyme or reason to his rotations. None of that makes it easy for us to pinpoint anyone on this team. The Blazers guys to pinpoint are fairly obvious. Lillard and McCollum see all the time at the guard spot and do much of the scoring. Aminu is the glue guy and the frontcourt is a mess. Vonleh, Leonard, Plumlee, and Ed Davis will all see minutes there. Each has had good and bad games, so it’s not easy to figure that out either. The obvious plays are all expensive and the best upside plays are all risky with shaky minutes. None of this is easy to figure out on Monday.

Targets

  • Al-Farouq Aminu ($5300)
  • Alan Crabbe ($3400)
  • Greg Monroe ($6900)
  • Michael Carter-Williams ($5500)


Los Angeles Clippers @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Over/Under:
Line: Clippers -1

The big issue here is Chris Paul being out. J.J. Redick is likely to return from his ankle injury, but that does not really help us nail down our plays. Austin Rivers will see a lot of run at the point with some minutes for Crawford thrown in as well. If Redick is back, that hurts Crawford a little bit. Blake Griffin has been picking up the scoring slack with CP3 on the shelf. He would be the only guy worth paying up for here on the Clippers. The pace is hot and he is the #1 option, so it makes a lot of sense to do so. On the other side, Gorgui Dieng has seen more court time and produced. Last game his minutes were down though as Towns had a monster performance. The hot pace should ensure some better fantasy outputs and no CP3 only means the game is likely to stay a little closer. It is not the best spot to target, but it is also far from the worst.

Targets

  • Ricky Rubio ($6600)
  • Gorgui Dieng ($4800)
  • Jamal Crawford ($5600)
  • Blake Griffin ($9400)


Phoenix Suns @ Chicago Bulls

Over/Under: 203
Line: Bulls -6

This is one of the better games to target for fantasy purposes on Monday. The total here is one of the better ones and the spread likely means the game remains close. Phoenix is a faster paced team and not good on defense. Therefore this is a really nice spot for the favored Bulls at home. It’s not a great spot for Phoenix, especially for whoever Jimmy butler guards. The backcourt does the damage for the Suns with Knight and Bledsoe. Knight probably has the better matchup with Rose at this point, but both guys are pricey today. I would probably look more towards the big men in this one. Those guys are cheap and seeing extra minutes with Chandler on the shelf and Markieff working back from his own ailments. On the Bulls, Pau and Rose have been returning nice value and doing so for a discount to where they both should be. In a faster paced matchup here with a high total and close spread, these are two guys I am looking hard at.

Targets

  • Alex Len ($4200)
  • Jon Leuer ($4400)
  • Derrick Rose ($6400)
  • Pau Gasol ($7500)


Boston Celtics @ New Orleans Pelicans

Over/Under: 214
Line: Pelicans -1

This is the game with the most fantasy upside based on pace, total, and the spread. The 214 is the highest on the day. The -1 is the lowest on the day and likely means full run for all the top options. The Celtics play a fast pace, so that ticks up the Pelicans. The Pelicans cannot defend point guards so that ticks up Isaiah Thomas who is the engine of that Boston team. The Celtics will have as much trouble matching up with the frontcourt of New Orleans as the Pelicans will trying to match up against IT2. The stars are in a good spot, with good matchups, and all the numbers pointing in their own directions. This game is the one you want to get exposure to on the night, so make sure you are heavily invested in this one on your rosters.

Targets

  • Anthony Davis ($10700)
  • Tyreke Evans ($7100)
  • Amir Johnson ($4600)
  • Isaiah Thomas ($7700)