The NBA Game Breakdown takes an in-depth look at all of the games on the schedule each day in terms of expected pace of play, Vegas lines and defense vs. position matchups.

Be sure to check out the Christmas Edition of the NBA Targets for more Christmas day analysis!

Christmas Day NBA Tournaments

$200,000 Holiday Classic – $20 Entry, $25K to First
$100,000 All Star – $1060 Entry, $20K to First
$100,000 50/50 Tournament – $50 Entry, Top Half Doubles Up

*Note: At the time of writing, lines and over/under’s were not available.

WIZARDS AT KNICKS

Game Analysis

While there are five games on the slate Christmas Day, the Wizards (19-7) and the Knicks (5-25) give us the least desirable matchup. The Knicks currently have a 3-12 home record as they start the Christmas festivities off on Thursday, and they’ll need every bit of Christmas magic to beat the Wizards.  The Knicks are only scoring 94.1 points per game and virtually have little defense to stop the Wizards powerful offense, with point guard John Wall leading the way. Wall is currently averaging 17.8 PPG and 10.5 APG, to go along with his two steals a night. There aren’t many players you can count on each night to give consistent production, but Wall is one to bank on. The Knicks will be wishing they stayed home for Santa Claus’ toy delivery.

Line: None, Over/Under: None

Players to Watch

  • Carmelo Anthony, SF, Knicks – 18th OPRK ($10,400)
  • Bradley Beal, SG, Wizards – 24th OPRK ($6,400)
  • Nene Hilario, Wizards – 22nd OPRK ($5,400)
  • Rasual Butler, Wizards – 24th OPRK ($3,900)

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THUNDER AT SPURS

Game Analysis

The Thunder (13-15) is only allowing 95.2 points per game, which ranks first overall in the NBA, and add in their presence as a team under the rim snagging rebounds (4th overall with 45.4 RPG) and you’ve got a Thunder club that is not going to roll over for the Spurs (18-11), who are struggling only winning four of their last 10 games ; however, the Thunder’s early season efforts on the offensive side – Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant missed time due to injury – deceive you as a DFS owner. The Thunder will bring their offensive A-game and give the Spurs a heck of a time, even if Durant misses another game to injury.

Line: None, Over/Under: None

Players to Watch

  • Russell Westbrook, PG, Thunder – 15th OPRK ($12,000)
  • Tim Duncan, PF, Spurs – 21st OPRK ($8,900)
  • Danny Green, SG, Spurs – 15th OPRK ($6,500)
  • Manu Ginobili, SG, Spurs- 15th OPRK ($5,000)

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CAVALIERS AT HEAT

Game Analysis

With Chris Bosh missing extensive time with a calf injury, the Heat (13-15) have only won four out of their last 10 games, but the good news is that Bosh should be back for the Heat’s Christmas Day matchup facing the Cavaliers (16-10). Bosh hasn’t played since December12th, when the Heat traveled to Utah to play the Jazz. The Cavs are heading into a different direction, as LeBron James and company have led them to seven wins out of their last 10 games played. With Bosh back in action, or at least expecting him back, this should be an entertaining game. I don’t expect the Heat to beat the Cavs, but it will be a good one to watch as you sip your eggnog and rum!

Line: None, Over/Under: None

Players to Watch

  • Dwayne Wade, SG, Heat – 21st OPRK ($8,400)
  • Mario Chalmers, PG, Heat – 23rd OPRK ($6,200)
  • Anderson Varejao, C, Cavaliers – 22nd OPRK ($4,600)
  • Dion Waiters, SG, Cavaliers – 27th OPRK ($4,100)

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LAKERS AT BULLS

Game Analysis

This is the other mismatch game on Christmas Day, but I’m actually okay with the Lakers (8-19) right now heading into Chicago to play the Bulls (18-9). The Lakers are starting to become a feisty little club, even with three losses in a row right now. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if the Lakers caught the Bulls off guard and went home on a very happy plane ride. And, I mean H-A-P-P-Y. Oh, wait, never mind. I’m more than likely over stepping my bounds here, with the Bulls on a three-game win streak and with Derrick Rose starting to look like the Derrick Rose of old. But, hey, I’ve got a gut feeling and I’ll be completely honest – I’m from L.A. (well, Torrance really) and I’ve loved the Lakers since Magic, James Worthy, Michael Cooper, and even Kurt “Slam You Into The Boards And Kick Your Ass” Rambis. So, there – Lakers win!

Line: None, Over/Under: None

Players to Watch

  • Pau Gasol, PF, Bulls – 26th OPRK ($9,000)
  • Derrick Rose, PG, Bulls – 30th OPRK ($6,900)
  • Jordan Hill, C, Lakers – 26th OPRK ($5,300)
  • Wesley Johnson, SF, Lakers – 22nd OPRK ($4,900)

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WARRIORS AT CLIPPERS

Game Analysis

Oooo…this is the game I want to watch, as the Warriors (23-3) head into Los Angeles to beat the Clippers (19-9)! I know, I know, just because I’m a recently divulged Lakers fan (read above) that doesn’t meant I hate the Clippers. No, more like I used to feel sorry for the Clippers, but they’re not the same club that they used to be thanks to Chris Paul and better team management. Still, I don’t see the Clips beating the Warriors. Yes, they’re a good club. Yes, they have Chris Paul. Yes, they’re record is 19-9. I get it; however, the Warriors, are just too good overall, dominating on offense and defense (2nd in PPG, 2nd APG, 4th in RPG and 9th in points allowed) . Expect a tight game, but the Warriors will pull this one out.

Line: None, Over/Under: None

Players to Watch

  • Chris Paul, PG, Clippers – 23th OPRK ($10,200)
  • Draymond Green, SF, Warriors – 26th OPRK ($7,300)
  • Harrison Barnes, SF, Warriors – 26th OPRK ($5,100)
  • J.J. Redick, SG, Clippers – 29th OPRK ($4,700)

 

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