We have a nice 10 game slate for Monday night in NBA DFS. That is more games then we usually see. We have a lot of matchups with clashing styles. Teams that play fast facing teams with good defensive efficiency ratings and slower paces. That should create some good fantasy stat lines coming from places we would not normally expect to see them. Below is a breakdown of all the matchups and the players to target in those games. It should be an interesting evening of NBA action.


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Toronto Raptors @ Indiana Pacers

Over/Under: 202
Line: Raptors -5

This game features two teams headed in the opposite directions. The Pacers were on fire until they stopped being on fire. After 6 straight wins were they averaged over 110 and gave up under 95, they lost four of their last five while giving up close to 120 points a game while doing so. Toronto has won nine of it’s last 12. The bumps in the road were a 3 point loss to Golden State, a one point loss to Denver, and a 5 point loss to Phoenix. They have used their defense to carry them to victory with an average of only 84 points allowed over their current four game win streak. The slower pace and stingy defense will pace down the Pacers. Toronto gets a bump up due to the higher pace they will see in this one. Toronto is also on the tail end of a back to back and have some injuries to contend with. Demarre Carroll sat out last night and Valanciunas is also still on the shelf. If anything that means more minutes and usage for the Raptors main players, so they would be the guys I would look to target in this one.

Targets

– Cory Joseph ($4300)
– DeMar DeRozan ($7100)
– Paul George ($9900)
– Monta Ellis ($5400)


Orlando Magic @ Brooklyn Nets

Over/Under: 198
Line: Magic -2.5

This is not one of the best games to target for fantasy on the evening, but we do have some players who make a lot of sense here. Both of these teams play at a slower pace, so the total under 200 makes a whole lot of sense. Both teams also have some high usage players that tend to do most of the heavy lifting for them, which makes those guys good targets in any matchup. Brook Lopez is one of those guys for the Nets. The offense runs through him and he has put up some really good stat lines recently. Jarrett Jack, Thad Young, and Bojan Bogdanovic have as well, especially if Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Shane Larkin are out. that opens up a lot of minutes in the backcourt. The Magic have been riding Vucevic and Elfrid Payton lately. Both guys are seeing big minutes and putting up big fantasy numbers. Neither team really gets ticked up and they both have solid players matching up against each other. I think we do see one or two of the better scores on the night come from this game, but I would not go crazy using too many of these guys in a game with a total under 200.

Targets

– Elfrid Payton ($6500)
– Nikola Vucevic ($6800)
– Brook Lopez ($7400)
– Bojan Bogdanovic ($4700)


Los Angeles Clippers @ Detroit Pistons

Over/Under: 204
Line: Clippers -2

Both of these teams are playing well at the moment. The Clippers have won 7 of their last nine games, while Detroit has won 6 of their last 8. Both teams have been scoring over 105 and giving up under 100 lately, so neither really gets a bump up or down. We do have some interesting matchups to consider here though. Chris Paul is not 100% and it shows most on the defensive end. That means Reggie Jackson should be a decent guy to look at. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has been a monster lately, and a matchup with J.J. Redick does not lead me to believe that will end here. Redick is cheap though and is back to playing his normal minutes. That means both cheap shooting guards are in play in this game. Blake Griffin has been a solid option, but falling short of value at his elevated price tag. DeAndre Jordan has been the one paying off more often. Same Problem exists for Andre Drummond who is in the same price range as Blake. Both are great players, but both have a tough time justifying the $9K+ price tags they see. With neither team being paced up here, I would not look to target the expensive options here and would prefer to stay more towards the low end.

Targets

J.J. Redick ($4300)
– DeAndre Jordan ($7200)
– Ersan Ilyasova ($5200)
– Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($5000)


Washington Wizards @ Memphis Grizzlies

Over/Under: 199
Line: Grizzlies -4

This game features one of the fastest paced teams in the league vs. one of the slowest and most methodical. Neither team is playing the best basketball we have seen from them right now and injuries have a lot to do with it. Tony Allen is out for the Grizzlies, which hurts them on the defensive end. It does boost up the offense a little bit though, especially guys like Jeff Green and Matt Barnes who are seeing more floor time. On the other side, we have Bradley Beal out for a few weeks. That has opened up run for Temple and Neal, while also ticking up the workload for John Wall. Marcin Gortat coming back is a boost. With Nene and Gooden out, we do see some minutes open up for a returning Hump and Jared Dudley in a tough matchup with Zach Randolph who has been coming off the bench. Memphis is being paced up and can match the smaller lineup that Washington likes to play with. They look like the better fantasy targets to me, with the exception of the cheap guys who are seeing more minutes for the Wizards.

Targets

– Matt Barnes ($4300)
– Jeff Green ($4600)
– John Wall ($9700)
– Marcin Gortat ($6200)


Philadelphia 76ers @ Chicago Bulls

Over/Under: 193
Line: Bulls -13

This one is not an even matchup. Philly is one of the worst teams in the league. They allow a lot of points and do not score a bunch. That is the opposite of what you want to do in the NBA. They are especially bad against Centers, who they have allowed to score a bunch of points already this year. The Bulls have been good against slower paced, lower scoring teams and Philly fits that description to a T. Philly has only one win on the season and too many really bad losses to count them all. Chicago should have no trouble in this game and would get a slight uptick from me. I would not use anyone on Philly unless I was getting a monsterous discount of them. If Noel is out, that could be enough to tick up some of the younger guys around him.

Targets

– Jerami Grant ($4900)
– Jahlil Okafor ($6400)
– Pau Gasol ($7900)
– Joakim Noah ($4800)


Miami Heat @ Atlanta Hawks

Over/Under: 190
Line: Hawks -5

This is another game I do not really love for fantasy upside, but I do think we have some interesting guys to take a look at. Neither team is one I normally target players against. Miami plays a slower pace and tends to have lower scoring games. Atlanta uses a lot of their players for a decent number of minutes, but not really anyone outside of Millsap for big minutes. Both teams have seen low totals lately, which is not what we like to look for. Atlanta has struggled more than we would have expected this season on both ends of the floor. The problem is the matchups do not really favor Miami at the spots most of their fantasy production tends to come from. I would be very careful about using many, if any, of the guys in this one.

Targets

– Dwyane Wade ($7000)
– Chris Bosh ($7200)
– Paul Millsap ($7900)
– Al Horford ($6500)


Phoenix Suns @ Dallas Mavericks

Over/Under: 209
Line: Mavericks -4

This is a solid game to look for fantasy value in. The big news is whether or not Deron Williams plays. If he is out, Felton is a top option again here at a low price seeing huge minutes. Phoenix has given up some big fantasy scores to guards this year and I would have no problem going back to the Felton well. For the Suns, the forwards are cheap and putting up big numbers. As long as Markieff is playing less minutes, the cheap options like Leuer and Teletovic are worth looking at. Both teams play fast and have some cheap options playing big minutes. If you have no exposure to this game on Monday, it is a very risky chance you are taking.

Targets

– Raymond Felton ($4900)
– Wesley Matthews ($5600)
– Jon Leuer ($5900)
– Eric Bledsoe ($8400)


Utah Jazz @ San Antonio Spurs

Over/Under: 187
Line: Spurs -11

I will make this one easy for you guys. There is almost nobody in this game I want to target at all. Both of these teams are solid defensively and they are two of the teams I avoid playing guys against. Guys like Hayward and Kawhi are about the only two I have any faith in here, but both are expensive and both are likely to underperform their averages. Maybe you can look at cheap options like Danny Green, Trey Burke, and Trevor Booker, but you really do not need to go that route with so many games and players available on this slate. As I stated in the first sentence, there is really no one I want a piece of in this game.

Targets

– Kawhi Leonard ($8,600)
– Danny Green ($3,800)
– Gordon Hayward ($7,500)
– Trey Burke ($4,400)


Houstn Rockets @ Denver Nuggets

Over/Under: 208.5
Line: Rockets -5

As bad as the last game is for fantasy value, this one is the complete opposite. I want to roster as many guys here as I can fit in salary wise. Both teams play fast and give up tons of points. Houston should win this game and they also should put up some huge numbers. Denver has a lot of injuries and therefore a lot of guys playing more minutes and seeing higher usage rates. That is what makes this a great spot to target for fantasy purposes. This game is another one you need some exposure to if you hope to make it to the top of a tournament tonight.

Targets

– James Harden ($10800)
– Dwight Howard ($7200)
– Jameer Nelson ($4200)
– Kenneth Faried ($5900)


New Orleans Pelicans @ Portland Trailblazers

Over/Under: 208
Line: Trailblazers -3

This is another really good spot for fantasy upside. Both of these teams have been underwhelming this year. Both are playing fast and giving up a ton of points. The good thing for both is that the fantasy points are concentrated in a few players who put up big numbers and those are the ones to target in a fast paced game with two sub par defenses. It is an easy game to target, because the DvP matchups favor the studs to perform, so their is no need to overthink it at all.

Targets

– Anthony Davis ($10600)
– Tyreke Evans ($7000)
– Damian Lillard ($8800)
C.J. McCollum ($6900)