Game Flow Notes
HIGH O/U – 76ers vs. Warriors- The total in this one is 225 with a spread of 20. Ish Smith has provided most of the scoring for the terrible 76ers. He has a usage rate of 20% and is projected at 30+ DKFP tonight. The Warriors are going for 73 wins tonight and will unleash Steph Curry. Curry has a usage rate of 31% and is seeing about 35 mpg. He is projected at 50 DKFP tonight and could possibly get that in 3 quarters.
LOW O/U – Wizards vs. Lakers- The total in this game hasn’t been decided yet, but with the other games all looking high scoring I think this one will be the lowest on the night. The Wizards will ride John Wall and his 30% usage rate. He gets a great matchup against tonight and is projected to produce about 45+ DKFP on the evening. For the Lakers, Kobe Bryant says he is going to suit up. He is definitely not the Kobe of old, but he still carries a 30% usage rate and will take about 30 shots. I think he hits value tonight at about 30 DKFP.
Pace of Play
HIGH PACE – Mavericks vs. Kings Both of these teams play fast and should see a game a projected game pace of 102. The Mavericks sat a lot of guys the last game, but should see Dirk back tonight. Dirk has a usage rate of 27% and should be well rested. I have him projected at 40 DKFP tonight. The Kings will hope that DeMarcus Cousins can exploit the great spot he is in tonight. He is a usage hog and has a usage rate over 35%. If there is a guy that can get you 50 DKFP every time he suits up, look no further than Boogie. I think Boogie is our highest DKFP scorer on the evening.
LOW PACE – Nuggets vs. Clippers This game should come in as the 2nd slowest on the night with a projected game pace of 98. The Nuggets will rely on Nikola Jokic and his 22% usage rate to produce a nice DKFP total. The Clippers will ride Chris Paul and his 25% usage rate. I have him projected at about 50+ DKFP and think that he can exceed this total in a great matchup.
Note: Be sure to follow the latest injury news throughout the day for updates to the statuses below.
|Probable||Devin Harris (DAL), Kenneth Faried (DEN), James Harden (HOU), Paul George (IND), Kobe Bryant (LAL), Chris Paul (LAC), TJ McConnell (PHI)|
|Questionable||Ryan Kelly (LAL), Sonny Weems (PHI), Ben McLemore (SAC), Marco Belinelli (SAC), Alan Anderson (WAS), Markieff Morris (WAS), Stephen Curry (GSW)|
|Doubtful||D'Angelo Russell (LAL), Richaun Holmes (PHI), Nerlens Noel (PHI)|
|Out||Deron Williams (DAL), Chandler Parsons (DAL), Andre Iguodala (GSW), Jahlil Okafor (PHI)|
Defense vs. Position
Point Guard Matchups
BEST – John Wall (WAS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers-The Lakers are ranked 30th against opposing PGs. Wall has a usage rate of about 30% and can go off for 50 DKFP on a nightly basis. I think he comes in at about 48 DKFP tonight. He should look to dominate whoever starts for the Lakers with D’Angelo Russell sidelined.
WORST – Emmanuel Mudiay (DEN) vs. Los Angeles Clipper- The Clippers are ranked 7th against opposing PGs. Mudiay has been extremely inconsistent on the season, but has showed promise. He has a usage rate of 24% and is seeing over 30 mpg. I have him projected at 25 DKFP tonight and I feel like he will have to work for all of the fantasy scoring he can get.
Shooting Guard Matchups
BEST – Bradley Beal (WAS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers- The Lakers are ranked 29th against opposing SGs. Beal has performed well after coming off of injury and is playing about 32 mpg. He has a usage rate of 25% and with the positive matchup he should see about 30 DKFP tonight.
WORST – Will Barton (DEN) vs. Los Angeles Clippers- The Clippers are ranked 6th against opposing SGs. The Nuggets have used multiple lineups this season, but Barton is seeing most of the time at SG this season. He has a usage rate of 22% and is seeing about 25 mpg. I think he comes in at 25 DKFP on the evening and doesn’t help your DK lineup win a GPP.
Small Forward Matchups
BEST – Paul George (IND) vs. Houston Rockets- The Rockets are ranked 30th against opposing SFs. The rumor is that George is sore and he has been questionable, but that didn’t seem to be the case last night. George has a usage rate of 31% and is seeing about 35 mpg. I have him projected at 40+ DKFP tonight and would be surprised if he hit a 50 burger.
WORST – Trevor Ariza (HOU) vs. Indiana Pacers- The Pacers are ranked 6th against opposing SFs. Paul George is an offensive threat as well as a defensive threat. Ariza has been up and down this season with most of the usage rate given to James Harden. Ariza’s usage rate is only about 15% and this severely limits his scoring potential. I have him projected at 25 DKFP tonight.
Power Forward Matchups
BEST – Dirk Nowitzki (DAL) vs. Sacramento Kings- The Kings Are ranked 30th against opposing PFs. Dirk has a usage rate of about 27% and is seeing over 30 mpg. He could be a decent value play on the night, due to his lower salary and a projected 40 DKFP.
WORST – Julius Randle (LAL) vs. Washington Wizards- The Wizards are ranked 7th against opposing PFs. With the addition of Markieff Morris the Wizards have gotten a lot better at defending the PF position. Randle has been good this season and has a usage rate of about 20%. Even with the matchup I think that Randle makes for a great cash play. He is projected at 31 DKFP tonight and should come in right around value.
BEST – Andrew Bogut (GSW) vs. Philadelphia 76ers- The 76ers are ranked 30th against opposing Cs. Bogut has a usage rate of only 11% and he really doesn’t factor into much of the offense. I think that he could make for an interesting GPP play as he could see a ceiling of 35 DKFP tonight. With that said I have him projected at 20 DKFP and I don’t trust him at all in cash games.
WORST – Roy Hibbert (LAL) vs. Washington Wizards- The Wizards are ranked 9th against opposing Cs. Hibbert is technically a non factor for the Lakers and is seeing a single digit usage rate. I think he comes in at about 15 DKFP tonight which means he is off of my radar.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
DeMarcus Cousins ($10,500)- Boogie has a usage rate of 36% and is seeing 36 mpg. He should dance all night tonight in a matchup against the Mavericks. Like I have said before he is as consistent as they come and he can put up a 50 burger nightly. I have him projected at 60 DKFP and in a matchup like this he could even exceed that total.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Marcelo Huertas ($3,300) – With D’Angelo Russell doubtful tonight, Huertas could see an uptick in playing time. I have him projected at 25+ minutes and a usage rate of 15%. Kobe is planning on playing, but if he sees limited minutes Huertas could produce even more. I have Huertas projected at 20+ DKFP tonight.
Dud of the Night
Monta Ellis ($6,300) – Ellis has had a couple rough outings including an 11 DKFP performance in 32 minutes last night. Ellis has a decent matchup tonight against Houston, but is so shot dependent that he is only viable in tournaments. I have him projected at 30 DKFP due to his 20% usage, but I am still worried until we see his shot come back.
*DKFP DraftKings Fantasy Points