Everything you need to know for tonight’s NBA slate. Let’s get into it!
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Game Flow Notes
HIGH O/U – Kings vs. Thunder- With an o/u of 219.5 the Kings and Thunder will be the highest scoring game on the night. Westy and KD have great matchups and Boogie should dominate based on pace. I love the total and the pace in this game. With so many game totals depending on injuries tonight, this one should be high scoring.
LOW O/U – Spurs vs. Bucks- This one has all the makings of a slow game. The total is 192 and the Spurs will look to shut the Bucks down. I like the spot Kawhi Leonard is in tonight. I also like Khris Middleton, but I worry about the matchup as the Spurs dominate SGs. This one doesn’t provide a lot of value, but can make for some nice cash plays.
Pace of Play
HIGH PACE – Hornets vs. Warriors- I love my Hornets, but due to the injury bug this one has the makings of a blow out. If Nic Batum plays the Hornets should have enough firepower to stay in the game. The projected pace of play is 102 and the 2nd fastest on the night. Obviously, if Steph plays he is a must. I also like Kemba to carry most of the offensive load with so many Hornets out.
LOW PACE – Raptors vs. Cavaliers- With the one man isoball of the Cavaliers, this game should be terribly slow. The projected game pace is a 93.2 and is the slowest game on the night. LeBron has a tougher than normal matchup against Demarre Carroll. The only other appealing matchup from this game involves DeMar DeRozan.
Defense vs. Position
Point Guard Matchups
TARGET – Isaiah Thomas vs. Shane Larkin- Jack is down indefinitely with an injury. Larkin should draw the start at PG. IT2 has a great matchup and will get even more usage with Avery Bradley out.
AVOID – George Hill vs. Goran Dragic- Goran is ranked 3rd in the league against opposing PGs. Hill had a rough December and will look to improve himself this month. However, his matchup tonight is less than desirable.
Shooting Guard Matchups
TARGET – Dwyane Wade vs. Pacers SG- D Wade had an ice cold game against the Wizards in a great matchup. He has an even better matchup tonight against a Pacers team that gives up a lot of points to SGs.
AVOID – CJ McCollum vs. Courtney Lee – McCollum has been a great play recently in place of Damian Lillard. Tonight he gets a tough matchup against a great defender. The Griz are ranked 6th against opposing SGs and will give McCollum all he can handle tonight.
Small Forward Matchups
TARGET – Kawhi Leonard vs. The Greek Freak- Kawhi has a great matchup tonight and is projected at 40+ DK points. He is an elite play any night, but makes for a great cash and GPP play tonight.
AVOID – Tobias Harris vs. Marcus Morris Morris has had a great year in Detroit and it has honestly been refreshing to watch. He is ranked 2nd against opposing SFs and should lock Tobias down tonight.
Power Forward Matchups
TARGET – Derrick Favors vs. Clint Capela – If Favors gets the start he should dominate the boards tonight. We all know that Houston can’t guard a PF and this won’t change overnight.
AVOID – Omri Casspi vs. Serge Ibaka – Serge is in the top 10 against opposing PFs. Omri is a stretch four playing a big mans game. He will have all he can handle tonight against a true PF.
TARGET – Karl-Anthony Towns vs. Nerlens Noel The 76ers are terrible against big men and basically rival the Lakers for the worst against big men in the league. Towns has had a bit of a resurgence and is projected at 35+ fantasy points on the night.
AVOID – Greg Monroe vs. Tim Duncan- If old man Duncan plays tonight, Monroe will have all that he can handle. The Spurs are ranked 3rd against opposing Cs. Monroe has had some nice games, but he is a value guy at best tonight.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
Russell Westbrook ($10,700) – Westy had a rough outing against the Hornets last game. He will look to get back on track today as he has a great matchup. I have him projected at 55 DK points tonight.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Shane Larkin ($4,400) – With Jarrett Jack out indefinitely, Larkin should get the start for the Nets. With the minutes and the usage on his side he should have a great chance to hit value. He posted 15 DK points in 24 minutes last game. With a 30 minute compliment of minutes he is projected at 25 DK points.
Dud of the Night
Tobias Harris ($6,100) – This one is a strong case of the Marcus Morris. Harris has a tough matchup tonight against Marcus and scares me priced over 6k. I like other options at the SF spot on DK.
This is not a comprehensive list. Be sure to check for injury updates throughout the day
R.J. Hunter – Doubtful, Avery Bradley – Out, Tony Parker – Out, Donatas Montiejunas – Out, Marcus Thornton – Out, Jordan Adams – Doubtful, James McAdoo – Out, Leandro Barbosa – Out