Game Flow Notes
HIGH O/U – Trailblazers vs. Wizards- The total in this one is 212.5. Damian Lillard and the Trailblazers like to push the ball. I love the guard matchup in this one with Lillard and Wall. I also love where McCollum comes in at against a weak a Wizards team. Marcin Gortat should set up well against a Trailblazers front court that can’t guard anyone.
LOW O/U – Jazz vs. Hornets- Well the Jazz are coming to Charlotte which means the scoring will be low. With a total of of 188, this will be the lowest scoring of the day. My Hornets have been terrible against teams with true Cs. The Jazz have a great C in Rudy Gobert. Obviously Kemba and Batum are in play at home, Hayward and Gobert are in play for the Jazz.
Pace of Play
HIGH PACE – Celtics vs. Mavericks – The Celtics are extremely fast paced and have been blazing all season. With a projected game pace of 100.3 this one will be all about moving the ball up the court. I love IT2, Amir Johnson, and Avery Bradley in this one. The Mavericks should ride the play of Chandler, Dirk, and Zaza.
LOW PACE – Nets vs. Raptors – With a projected game pace of 95.5 this is about the slowest game of the day. The Jazz take the cake and are the slowest. This game will be about the post as Jonas and Brook battle it out. I think this game will be about the rebounds and blocks.
Defense vs. Position
Point Guard Matchups
TARGET – Kyle Lowry vs. Shane Larkin- Lowry gets the 28th ranked team against the PG position. Larkin will have nothing for one of the hottest PGs in the league tomorrow. I think Lowry exceeds value.
AVOID – Deron Williams vs. Isaiah Thomas – IT2 had been unbelievable this season. He is ranked 1st against opposing PGs. D Will has been decent, but he won’t have anything to match up with IT2. There are a lot better options today.
Shooting Guard Matchups
TARGET – CJ McCollum vs. Garrett Temple- The Wiz are terrible against the SG position. Brad Beal should get the start but should still be limited. McCollum has played a big role in the Portland offense and will continue to have a high usage today.
AVOID – Eric Gordon vs. Courtney Lee EG has been a decent value play as of late, posting right at value. Lee and Allen are great defenders and I feel like they should lock the SG position down. EG should be undervalued today.
Small Forward Matchups
TARGET – Chandler Parsons Vs. Jae Crowder- Parsons has come off of injury strong. The Celtics are ranked 24th against opposing SFs. Parsons is projected at 25+ and has the ability to exceed value today.
AVOID Nikola Mirotic vs. Marcus Morris- Morris is ranked 2nd against opposing SFs. He has been great for the Pistons and SVG loves him. Mirotic has been coming up short lately and will have a tough a matchup today.
Power Forward Matchups
TARGET – Kristaps Porzingis vs. Nerlens Noel – The 76ers are ranked 28th against opposing PFs. Kristaps has been great this year and should compete for the rookie of the year. If Carmelo sits then that makes Kristaps an even better play. Play the rook at will today.
AVOID – Draymond Green vs. Kevin Love – This matchup is tough both ways. The pace in this one is slow and it should be lower scoring. Both guys are ranked in the top 10 against opposing PFs and will look to shut the other one down today.
TARGET – Marc Gasol vs. Alexis Ajinca The Pelicans can’t guard Cs. Gasol had a big game last time against the Pelicans posting a 50 burger. I think he had a great opportunity to post 45+ today.
AVOID – Cody Zeller vs. Rudy Gobert- Zeller is listed as a PF but will play the 5 position. Gobert and the Jazz shut down opposing Cs. They will look to capitalize on a Hornets team that is without a true center.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
LeBron James (10,000) – LBJ is a beast and is the top play of the day. He should get 45+ DK points today and has a great chance to exceed value.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Robin Lopez (4,500) – Lopez has a great matchup and still has a great price. I think he has a great shot at hitting value today and will have a lot of exposure.
Dud of the Night
Jae Crowder (6,800) – Crowder has a tough matchup against the Mavs. His price is a little high for the matchup and his usage. I think he will come in right under value today.
This is not a comprehensive list. Be sure to check for injury updates throughout the day
Kirk Hinrich – Out, Victor Oladipo – Out