Game Flow Notes
HIGH O/U – Rockets vs. Lakers- This is the highest total of the night at 208. The Beard and Dwight should go ham tonight against a depleted Lakers team. For the Lakers Larry Nance is out which means that Julius Randle makes a great value play tonight.
LOW O/U – Mavericks vs. Spurs- This is the lowest total of the night at 194.5. The Spurs are defensive gurus and should shut the Mavs down tonight. I love where LMA comes in at tonight, but other than that I am staying away from this game.
Pace of Play
HIGH PACE – Suns vs. Timberwolves – If you are looking for fast pace, this is the game for you. With a projected game pace 100.3 this one will be guard heavy. Rubio is one of my favorite plays of the night and the matchup fits him perfectly.
LOW PACE – Heat vs. Thunder- This is surprising as the Thunder are usually a fast pace team. With a projected pace of 95.5 this one should be Heat controlled. I love Westy and KD as they will carry the scoring. On the Heat side Bosh and Wade will control the scoring.
Defense vs. Position
Point Guard Matchups
TARGET – Ricky Rubio vs. Brandon Knight- I love both of these guys tonight. The matchup is fast and fits their pace. I am not opposed to a game stack tonight.
AVOID – Deron Williams vs. Tony Parker- Parker and the Spurs are ranked 5th against opposing guards. D Will has had a nice season in Dallas, but is only projected at about 25 DK points tonight.
Shooting Guard Matchups
TARGET – Monta Ellis vs. Will Barton- The Nuggets can’t guard SGs…well actually the Nuggets can’t guard anyone. Ellis has found his stroke as of late and is definitely in play tonight.
AVOID – Wes Matthew vs.Danny Green Both of these guys are ranked top 5 in defending. This honestly makes me want to stay away from both of them tonight. There are better options tonight.
Small Forward Matchups
TARGET – Andrew Wiggins Vs. PJ Tucker – Wiggins has been decent this year, but the Suns are terrible against SFs. Based on his price and production I love Wiggins tonight.
AVOID Chandler Parson vs. Kawhi Leonard – Remember what I said about Kawhi, don’t play anybody against Kawhi….ever.
Power Forward Matchups
TARGET – Julius Randle vs. Clint Capela- Randle should get the start of Larry Nance tonight. He also has a killer matchup against the Rockets tonight. I have him at 30 DK points tonigh.
AVOID – Dirk Nowitzki vs. LaMarcus Aldridge- The Spurs are ranked 1st in a lot of defensive categories. One of those categories is the PF position. Dirk should be limited tonight as he gets a tough matchup.
TARGET – Dwight Howard vs Roy Hibbert Dwight will be looking for revenge against the Lakers forever. He should be looking at 40 DK points tonight as he gets a great matchup.
AVOID – Zaza Pachulia vs. Tim Duncan- I’ll say this again, Spurs are defensive gurus, don’t play Zaza tonight.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
Russell Westbrook (10,600) – Westy is projected at 50+ tonight. Even though the pace is slow, I think he will get them. Play him at will tonight.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Julius Randle (5,000) – Randle will get the start tonight for an injured Larry Nance. He should be able to get 30+ DK points tonight.
Dud of the Night
Deron Williams (5,800) – Usually I love D Will but tonight he gets the Spurs. Stay away if you are looking to win money tonight.
This is not a comprehensive list. Be sure to check for injury updates throughout the day
Alex Len – Out, Larry Nance – Out