Game Flow Notes
HIGH O/U – Kings vs. Pacers – Happy Holiday Break, we get 13 NBA games tonight. On this huge NBA slate the highest total is the Kings/Pacers game. With a 212 o/u this game should provide us with a lot of fantasy action. The Kings should try to ride Boogie to a win and the Pacers will need Paul George to get his game back on track.
LOW O/U – 76ers vs. Bucks – MCW revenge game!!!! Well, I don’t know if it is or not, I am still searching for the statute of limitations on revenge games. This game has the lowest total on the night at 195. The Bucks have consistently scored low all season. I do like MCW and Greg Monroe on a night where there matchups are extremely juicy.
Pace of Play
HIGH PACE – Celtics vs. Hornets – I love it, I love seeing my Hornets moving things at a faster pace. The Celtics have been fast all season, but the Hornets are now playing with the times. With a projected pace of 101.2, this game will be blazing. I like where IT2 sets up tonight, as well as Batum for my Hornets.
LOW PACE – Knicks vs. Cavaliers – This game may look like a blowout, but surprisingly during the last outing it was very close. LBJ always gets up for the Knicks, but more so in Madison Square Garden. The thing to watch during this 94.1 pace game is if Carmelo Anthony suits up or not.
Defense vs. Position
Point Guard Matchups
TARGET – Russell Westbrook vs. D’Angelo Russell – Ok, I know this will probably be a blowout. However, Westy has the best matchup and this one may be closer tonight. I have him projected at 50+ tonight and know that he can easily exceed value with the minutes.
AVOID – Kemba Walker vs. Isaiah Thomas – Kemba is an important part of the Hornets, but gets a tough matchup against IT2 tonight. Thomas has the Celtics ranked 1st against opposing PGs. I love where Batum comes in at tonight, rather than Kemba.
Shooting Guard Matchups
TARGET – Eric Bledsoe vs. Will Barton – Bledsoe has a great matchup tonight in a high pace game. He has the potential to easily exceed value and should be highly owned tonight. I think that he could be one of the top DK points scorers on the night.
AVOID – Klay Thompson vs. Alec Burks – Thompson has been shadowed by his fellow splash brother Steph all season long. Tonight Klay gets a tough matchup against a Jazz team that is ranked 2nd against opposing SGs. I think Klay should hover around 30 DK points tonight, even after dominating during his last two games.
Small Forward Matchups
TARGET – Paul George vs. Rudy Gay – George has confused me over the last couple of outings and I worry he has hit a rough patch. However, tonight he gets the Kings who are terrible against SFs. Due to his rough patch his price has come down and he is projected at 45+ DK points.
AVOID – Andrew Wiggins vs. Kawhi Leonard – Here we go again…never play an SF versus Kawhi. Wiggins will have all he can handle and more tonight against the best defender in the league.
Power Forward Matchups
TARGET – Thad Young vs. Dirk Nowitzki – Thad has been great this season in a very quiet manner. I have yet to not play Thad in cash games and will continue until he proves me wrong. His matchup is great tonight and we should see a lot of Thad tonight.
AVOID – Kristaps Porzingis vs. Kevin Love – Love and his fellow PF Tristan Thompson have been great shutting down opposing PFs this year and are ranked 1st in the league. Porzingis has had a decent rookie year, but has cooled off and will get a tough matchup tonight.
TARGET – Greg Monroe vs. Jahlil Okafor – Monroe has been a guy similar to Thad Young, he has been very consistent. Tonight he faces a Okafor, who is figuring out quickly what it means to be a rookie. I think Monroe has the potential to exceed value tonight.
AVOID – Karl Anthony-Towns vs. Tim Duncan – The rookie versus the legend. I am definitely on the side of the legend tonight and I am staying away from this matchup. The Spurs have been great defensively and the trend should continue tonight.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
Anthony Davis (10,300) – The Brow has been off of value during the last couple of outings. However, tonight he gets the Trailblazers who couldn’t guard me. During his last game against the Blazers he had 49 DK points and has the ability to exceed this tonight.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Kelly Oubre (3,700) – The rookie should draw the start again tonight for a doubtful Otto Porter. He has hit value during his last 4 outings. I love him in cash games, just hope that he can exceed value at a high level so we can take down a GPP.
Dud of the Night
LaMarcus Aldridge (6,900) – An elite player in Pop’s system equals a terrible play for all of us!
This is not a comprehensive list. Be sure to check for injury updates throughout the day
Amir Johnson – Out, Bradley Beal – Out, Nene Hilario – Out, Drew Gooden – Out, Otto Porter – Doubtful, Devin Harris – Doubtful, Jerryd Bayless – Out, Tony Wroten – Out, Damian Lillard – Out, Alexis Ajinca – Out