Game Flow Notes
HIGH O/U – GAME – Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers- The total in this game is 215 with a spread of 8.5. I will take all the Karl Anthony-Towns tonight. Towns has been a 40 DraftKings Fantasy Points (DKFP) machine and in this matchup, he may be able to produce a 50 burger. Roll him out with confidence tonight. Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum are it for the Trail Blazers. They are both seeing usage rates close to 30% and have the ability to light up the scoreboard. I am seeing a 35+ DKFP performance from both guys tonight.
LOW O/U – GAME – Celtics vs. Hawks- This is the lowest total of the evening at 201 with a spread of 5.5. Isaiah Thomas is the go to guy for the Celtics. He boasts a usage rate of 29% and is seeing 35 mpg. Even in a tougher matchup, I think he hits value this evening. The Hawks will ride Paul Millsap. Although Millsap has had an inconsistent season, he is on a 3 game 40+ DKFP streak. I think he will continue that streak tonight and put up about 40 DKFP.
Pace of Play
HIGH PACE – GAME – Thunder vs. Kings – This is the fastest paced game on the night with a projected game pace of 103.4. Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant sat out last game. Tonight they should play and will both have an opportunity to hit 50 DKFP. They are all of the usage for the Thunder and that usage turns into a lot of fantasy points. DeMarcus Cousins should also play tonight. He will roll out his 36% usage rate and try to score 50+ DKFP in a decent matchup.
LOW PACE – GAME – Cavaliers vs. Bulls- This is the slowest paced game on the night with a projected pace of 95.8. I am still watching the news for this game as I am afraid one of the Cavaliers main three will sit. If LeBron plays, he will be a great play tonight with a 29% usage rate and I project a 45+ DKFP evening. The Bulls will continue to ride Pau Gasol, who has a 25% usage rate. I think we will see about 40+ DKFP from him tonight.
Defense vs. Position
Point Guard Matchups
BEST – Toney Douglas/Tim Frazier (NO) vs. Phoenix Suns-The Suns are ranked 29th against opposing PGs. Frazier got the start over Douglas last night and easily hit value. He has a better matchup tonight and should put up 30+ DKFP. Frazier is seeing a usage rate of 24% and is playing over 30 mpg.
WORST – Jeff Teague (ATL) vs. Boston Celtics- The Celtics are ranked 1st against opposing PGs. Teague has a usage rate of 26% and has the ability to put up some nice games. I think his $6,100 price tag is a little steep tonight and I feel like there are better value options that could score more, so I am staying away from Teague tonight.
Shooting Guard Matchups
BEST – Andre Roberson (OKC) vs. Sacramento Kings- The Kings are ranked 30th against opposing SGs. Roberson is probable tonight and should play. However, he will not make any of my lineups. He has a measly usage rate of 8% and only sees about 20 mpg. I don’t think, I know, there are better options for your lineup tonight.
WORST – Klay Thompson (GSW) vs. Memphis Grizzlies- The Grizzlies are ranked 6th against opposing SGs. Like we all know, Klay is a shot dependant fantasy scorer. Tonight he will be continuing the Warriors quest for greatness and should see plenty of minutes. He has a usage rate of 27% and has the opportunity to be the highest scoring SG on the night.
Small Forward Matchups
BEST – Dante Cunningham (NOR) vs. Phoenix Suns- The Suns are ranked 27th against opposing SFs. Cunningham played 34 minutes last game and put up 25 DKFP. He should see the same amount of minutes tonight in a better matchup. I don’t like his usage rate of 12%, but I think that his price tag makes him a great tournament play tonight.
WORST – Andrew Wiggins (MIN) vs. Portland Trail Blazers- The Trail Blazers are ranked 4th against opposing SFs. Wiggins is listed as an SG, but has been bumped over to SF by Zach LaVine. He is seeing a usage rate of 24% and should have a nice opportunity to put up 30+ DKFP despite a tough matchup. He could be a sneaky play due to people worried about the matchup with Al-Farouq Aminu.
Power Forward Matchups
BEST – Serge Ibaka (OKC) vs. Sacramento Kings – The Kings are ranked 30th against opposing PFs. Ibaka was rested last game, but should suit up tonight. He has had a very inconsistent season and has given way to Enes Kanter seeing more time at the PF spot. His 18% usage rate and his average of 23 DKFPPG have me looking elsewhere.
WORST – Nikola Mirotic (CHI) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers The Cavaliers are ranked 3rd against opposing PFs. Mirotic has found his stroke as a of late, but gets a tough matchup tonight. I like his 24% usage rate and 28 mpg, but I think he will be limited to about 20 DKFP on the evening.
BEST – Tyson Chandler (PHO) vs. New Orleans Pelicans- The Pelicans are ranked 29th against opposing Cs. Chandler has been hamming it up for the Suns and he will have a great opportunity to do the same thing again tonight. He is seeing over 30 mpg and has a usage rate of 15%. I think he gets 30+ DKFP tonight.
WORST – Pau Gasol (CHI) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers- The Cavaliers are ranked 1st against opposing Cs. Gasol has been one of the only shining spots for the Bulls as of late. He will see a usage rate of 25% and 30+ minutes tonight. I have him projected at 40 DKFP on the evening.
Lineup Quick Hits
Superstar Worth Paying For
Stephen Curry (10,400)- Curry is on a quest for history and an NBA record 73 wins. Due to this, he should play his full 30+ minutes tonight and will see a usage rate of 34%. He should easily go for 50 DKFP if Memphis can keep this one close until the 4th quarter.
Save Big Bucks by Drafting
Alexis Ajinca (4,400) – His price tag has gone up a little, but he still makes for a great value play on DK. He is seeing about 28 mpg and has a usage rate of 25% for the injury riddled Pelicans. He will matchup well against the Suns and should put up 25+ DKFP on the evening.
Dud of the Night
Zach Randolph (6,900) – I like the spot Zach Randolph is in a lot, due to playing the main role for the Grizzlies (25.5% usage rate). However, I think his price is too high and I don’t like the matchup against Draymond Green tonight. I think he comes in slightly under value at about 25 DKFP tonight.
*DKFP DraftKings Fantasy Points