Welcome back to the daily DraftKings picks where we try to get super rich playing daily fantasy basketball. As usual I’ll do a brief recap of my lineups from the night before then throw out some picks that I’m brainstorming for tonight, and hopefully get some good feedback/tips/picks from you guys either in the comment section or on Twitter @kmarkobarstool.
Having such a mediocre NBA season so far. I blame 85% of my attention being constantly on NFL news and my Millionaire Maker lineups. Every night it’s a 50% success rate on blog picks and a lineup that barely cashes. Miss those nights during baseball season where every pick I put up hit a home run.
Last night’s picks –
Got Flames and big games from Boogie and Melo. Snowflakes and horrible games from Towns and Martin. Like I said, 50/50.
My write-ups were more or less on point. Kawhi was the safe bet at SF, Melo was the tournament play – Kawhi easily put up a big line, Melo exceeded value at only 6% ownership. I ended up rolling with Kawhi because I needed the extra $3K salary. Delly was the obvious safe value play, Martin was a high risk/high reward guy…unfortunately we got the high risk side of him. Brutal game. And then we had Towns who I was just flat out dead wrong about. No reason he should have struggled that much against Philly, but Ja dominated him. I guess that’s what you get when you put so much stock in rookies, they’re going to have their off games when you least expect it.
Let’s try and go 3 for 3 tonight.
SG Jimmy Butler $8.1K
Jimmy Butler was one of my favorite guys to roster every single night during the Thibs era. All my hardcore DFS players know what I’m talking about – dude was always underpriced and was always on the court for like 49 minutes a game, I know, it’s not even possible, but somehow that’s what it felt like. A scoring, rebounding, assisting, stealing and blocking machine. Well after an off-and-on start to the season, Jimmy Buckets is fresh off a 56 point game and has the best 2 guard matchup on the board with the Blazers. Should be a relatively fast paced game, and if he gets the 38-40 minutes he’s been getting, we should be looking at a monster here.
SF Harrison Barnes $5.6K
Steph is obviously your best play of the night, not going to bother writing him up and insulting everyone’s intelligence. I’m sure I’ll find a way to get him into my roster for my main lineup tonight. But in a home matchup with the garbage Lakers, we’re looking at a game that will probably be over by halftime, if not earlier, and you never know how much PT he’ll end up with in a blowout. Meanwhile Barnes is getting 33-36 mpg regardless of score and has quietly broken 30 fantasy points in 3 straight. It’s a great spot for him and a great matchup, but just be warned, there’s always a risk when playing Harrison Barnes that you’ll end up with a 14 fantasy point dud. Happens all throughout his career, and I’m hoping he’s growing out of it this season, but just realize he isn’t the safest play…hence, “tournament picks.”
PG D’Angelo Russell $4.5K
Don’t look now but the “bust” is starting to heat up. While Towns, Okafor and Porzingis have been getting all the rookie love (and rightfully so), Russell has strung together 3 solid games after a brutal start to the season. And you know how much I love quotes from coaches…
D’Angelo Russell is now calling 90 percent of the plays when he’s on the floor.
“He needs that confidence,” Byron Scott said. “He needs to know that we believe in him. Giving him the ball and saying you will run the show pretty much says it all.”
Exactly what I like to hear. Haven’t seen him talked about or written up much by the experts who are way smarter than me, so this is more of a gut call, and one that I’m hoping will sneak in under the radar tonight. Got a nice fast paced matchup with the Warriors, and we’re probably looking at a 40 point blowout – which sucks in real-life basketball, but could be a fantasy goldmine of garbage time.
That’s it for me, good luck tonight. Tweet me @kmarkobarstool with your picks or to talk trash, whatever.