Happy Sunday all! We have a small six-game NBA slate this evening with two potential blowouts, leaving us with some tough decisions for fantasy basketball. Being that it is such a small slate, I will not have an issue targeting some of the players in those blowouts because otherwise I would be limiting my player pool too much. We have had some news thus far, but none that makes a significant impact. However, news is worth monitoring until lock. That said, let’s dive right into some of tonight’s targets.
Stephen Curry ($9,100) – Curry continues to lead the Golden State Warriors in usage at 30 percent and has topped 42 fantasy points in five consecutive games. So far this season, he has exceeded expectations 83 percent of the time by an average of 4.22 points. He is also averaging 1.39 fantasy points per minute and playing 33.2 minutes per game. The Detroit Pistons have allowed +2.25 points above expectations to point guards, making this a favorable situation for Curry. His price remains too low for the caliber of player he is plus his production, making him one of my favorite plays on this slate.
Other Options –John Wall $9,700, Kemba Walker $7,900
Reggie Jackson ($5,700) –Jackson gets a paced-up matchup against the Warriors, who are playing at the third-highest pace and rank 22nd in defense rating. Jackson is averaging 1.12 fantasy points per minutes, playing 28.5 minutes per game and sporting a team-high 25 percent usage rate. He has played more than 30 minutes in two of his last three games and has scored at least 30 fantasy points in three of his last four. There should be plenty of scoring opportunities for Jackson in this contest and at this low price, value is attainable.
Other Options –De’Aaron Fox ($5,800)
Bradley Beal ($7,300) –Beal was ejected from the Washington Wizards’ last game, but prior to that, he had topped 40 fantasy points in three of four games. He is averaging 32.6 minutes per game and 1.08 fantasy points per minutes, sporting a healthy 27.6 percent usage rate. Sacramento is ranked 23rd in defense rating and has allowed +0.42 points above expectations to opposing shooting guards. With not many players to pay up for today, going balanced makes sense, and at this price tag, Beal is not difficult to fit in your lineups.
Other Options –Klay Thompson ($6,800)
Avery Bradley ($5,100) –Bradley continues to play solid minutes for the Pistons, averaging 29.3 minutes per game for the season but playing at least 30 minutes in each of his last three games. This game will be up in pace, which should create extra touches and steal opportunities for Bradley. He has attempted at least 15 shots in each of his last three games and has become more involved in this offense. At this price, he should have no trouble paying off his salary, and in this contest, there is the potential for a ceiling game.
Other Options –Jeremy Lamb ($6,300), Gary Harris ($5,600)
Kevin Durant ($9,800) –Anytime Durant is priced under $10K, I will be interested. He is playing 37.3 minutes per game and is averaging 1.35 fantasy points per minutes with a 28.6 percent usage rate. He has yet scored fewer than 41 fantasy points and has three 50+ fantasy point games. He offers a safe floor with a high ceiling and is still affordable considering his abilities. This is not the best of matchups for him, but it is not one to be too concerned about, either. He is $900 cheaper than LeBron James and both games have blowout potential, so I would rather take the savings with Durant, who has a similar ceiling.
Other Options –LeBron James ($10,700)
Will Barton ($6,000) –The Denver Nuggets’ Barton is averaging a little more than a fantasy point per minute and is playing 29.3 minutes per game. He has played well this season, exceeding expectations 80 percent of the time by an average of 4.24 points. This is a really good matchup for him, as he faces a Brooklyn Nets team that ranks 27th in defense rating and plays at the fastest pace in the league. They have also allowed +2.11 points above expectations to the position. It should be business as usual for Barton in what is expected to be a high-scoring contest.
Other Options –Rondae Hollis-Jefferson ($5,100), Caris LeVert ($4,900)
Kristaps Porzingis ($8,500) –Porzingis is off to a really good start to his season, scoring 30 or more real points in three of his first four games while playing 33.3 minutes per game and averaging 1.24 fantasy points per minute. He has topped 40 fantasy points in three games and gets a favorable matchup against the Cleveland Cavaliers, who rank 26th in defense rating. The one concern I have is that the blowout factor is firmly in play, but being that this is a six-game slate, I am willing to take a chance with him.
Other Options –Kevin Love ($7,300), Aaron Gordon ($7,100)
Skal Labissiere ($4,400) –If you are looking for secure minutes, the Sacramento Kings’ Labissiere is not for you. He is averaging just 22.6 minutes per game, but he is also a 1.01 fantasy point per minute player this season. In addition, he has exceeded expectations in 60 percent of the games. He faces off against the Washington Wizards, who are playing at the fifth-fastest pace this season and are a middle-of-the-road defense. I do not recommend him in cash games due to his volatility, but there is tournament appeal here.
Other Options –Tobias Harris ($6,500), Willie Cauley-Stein ($5,400)
Dwight Howard ($7,700) –Howard is playing like a possessed man this season for the Charlotte Hornets, averaging 14.4 points with 17.4 rebounds, 2.0 blocks and 41.4 fantasy points per game. He is also playing 31.3 minutes per game, averaging a healthy 1.32 fantasy points per minute and sporting a 24.1 percent usage rate. This is a favorable matchup for him, as the Orlando Magic have allowed +4.78 points above expectations to opposing centers. They also play at a fast pace, creating extra potential touch opportunities for Howard. He is reasonably priced, which fits well into your roster construction if you are going balanced.
Other Options –Nikola Jokic ($8,900), Andre Drummond ($7,100), Nikola Vucevic ($7,200)
Enes Kanter ($6,100) –Kanter’s price has caught up to his production, but there is still some wiggle room to where he can exceed expectations at this price. He is not playing a ton of minutes for the New York Knicks, averaging 23 minutes per game, but is also averaging 1.32 fantasy points per minute. He is a tournament play only due to the inconsistent minutes, but he does possess 40+ fantasy point upside.
Other Options –Marcin Gortat ($5,900)
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.