Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top NBA Targets, Values For Saturday, Feb. 10

Happy Saturday, folks! We have a six-game slate this afternoon with some nice matchups to take advantage of and injury situations to monitor.

Markieff Morris is questionable while Devin Booker, Tyson Chandler, Dejounte Murray, Tony Parker and Zach LaVine have already been ruled out. Harrison Barnes and Shaun Livingston are probable in addition to Tyler Ulis being a game-time decision. Isaiah Thomas and Channing Frye are expected debut for the Lakers off the bench, and there are still some players that are questionable after being traded on Thursday. In regards to the game notes, Joel Embiid is questionable and J.J. Redick is probable. John Henson and Jabari Parker are also listed as out, so we’ll have to wait for an official update from the 76ers and Bucks.

News will keep coming out throughout the day, so it is wise to keep an eye on news as we head into lock. Let’s jump right into some targets for tonight’s slate.

Editor’s note: Joel Embiid (ankle) is a game-time decision.

Editor’s note: Tyler Ulis (back) has been ruled out.

Editor’s note: Markieff Morris (illness) has been ruled out. Kelly Oubre will start in his place.

%{color:red}*Editor’s note:* John Henson and Jabari Parker have officially been ruled out.


Guard

Ben Simmons ($8,500) — Simmons was one rebound and two assists shy of a triple-double in last night’s contest. That is type of upside you get when rostering him, and the Sixers could sit Joel Embiid on the second night of a back-to-back as he deals with an ankle injury. If that ends up being the case, Simmons sees a 3.5 percent usage bump with Embiid off the court. The Clippers have allowed an average of 2.89 points above expectations to point guards and have played at the fastest pace in the league in the month of January. All these factors add up to an enticing matchup for Simmons, making him viable in all formats due to a combination of elite potential upside and a safe floor.

Dennis Smith Jr. ($6,600) — Smith Jr. has played at least 30 minutes in 14 consecutive games, averaging 32.6 minutes, 17.1 points, 5.5 assists, 3.6 rebounds and 1.2 steals per game during that stretch. He has also topped 30 DKFP in six of his last 10 games. The matchup is a favorable one, as the Lakers have allowed an average of 3.18 points above expectations to opposing point guards and also surrender the second-most fantasy points per game to the position. In addition, they play up in pace, which can create some extra touch opportunities. Smith Jr. already faced off against the Lakers once this season and scored 32 DKFP, which seems very feasible once again.

Other Options — Stephen Curry ($9,500), Eric Bledsoe ($7,100), Jamal Murray ($6,500), Josh Hart ($5,300), D.J. Augustin ($4,700)


Forward

Brandon Ingram ($6,800) — Ingram has played at least 33 minutes in eight consecutive games, scoring 32 DKFP in six of those contests, while eclipsing 40 DKFP three times during that stretch. He draws a nice matchup against the Mavericks, who have surrendered the fifth-most fantasy points per game to small forwards over their last 10 games. In addition, this defense ranks 20th in defensive rating and has allowed an average of 1.12 points above expectations to small forwards. At this price point, Ingram has potential to exceed value by a decent chunk, making him an enticing tournament option.

T.J. Warren ($6,400) — Warren has topped 32 DKFP in five of his last seven games. He draws a nice matchup against the Nuggets tonight, who rank 23rd in defensive rating and are giving up the fourth-most fantasy points per game over the last five games. In addition, they have allowed an average of 1.32 points above expectations to opposing small forwards. In two games against the Nuggets this season, Warren has averaged 36 DKFP in 33.2 minutes per game. He can be volatile at times, but this price tag is just too good to pass up on with Devin Booker ruled out. He is fine for all formats and offers a nice ceiling at this price.

Other Options — Kevin Durant ($9,600), LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,200), Will Barton ($6,800), Justin Holiday ($4,800)


Center

Julius Randle ($7,000) — Randle is averaging 27.8 minutes and 18 points per game over his last 11 games, which is four more minutes and points than his season average. He has now topped 30 DKFP in seven of his last nine games, including a 50+ DKFP performance. The matchup against the Mavs is a nice one, as they allow the fifth-most rebounds per game to opposing teams. They have also allowed an average of 3.63 points above expectations to this position and rank 20th in defensive rating. The only knock on Randle is that he is not playing 30 minutes on a consistent basis, but he does average 1.19 fantasy points per minute. The upside is certainly there for Randle and in this matchup, he should be able to be productive.

Dario Saric ($6,700) — With Joel Embiid’s status up in the air today, Saric makes for an interesting play. He sees a 4.2 usage increase with Embiid off the court. Saric has been productive even with Embiid on the court, as he has now scored 30+ DKFP in eight of his last 10 games, including three 40+ DKFP performances. The matchup against the Clippers is a good one for him, as they allow an average of 4.49 points above expectations to this position. In addition, the Clippers allow the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing teams, so Saric should have plenty of rebounding opportunities in this contest. This is a really appealing price tag for Saric regardless if Embiid plays or not.

Other Options — Nikola Jokic ($9,300), DeAndre Jordan ($6,700), Dwight Powell ($4,900)


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.