Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top NBA Targets, Values for October 31

Wednesday’s fantasy basketball slate has seven games, and the Pistons are playing on the second night of a back-to-back. Notable players who are listed as questionable to play heading into shoot-arounds include Anthony Davis (elbow), Andrew Wiggins (quad) and Derrick Favors (knee).

Julius Randle (plantar fasciitis) and Jae Crowder (ankle) are probable, while Elfrid Payton (ankle) is out. Devin Booker (hamstring) is doubtful. For up to the minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app, as NBA news and injury reports can change throughout the day. We will keep you up to date on the DK Live app.

Let’s take a look at some plays fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings on Wednesday.

POINT GUARD

Stud

Stephen Curry, GS vs. NO, $9,800 — The Warriors face the Pelicans, who play a very fast brand of basketball, which fits into the style the Warriors like playing. New Orleans is playing about 107 possessions per game, fourth most in the league. The Pelicans also have been poor in 3-point shot quality allowed. The Pelicans are allowing the eighth most wide open 3s per game based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the 3-point shooter, potentially giving Curry more space to get hot.

The Pelicans also rank below average in the percentage of total shots they allow that are classified as wide open. Curry is shooting an ungodly 51.6 percent from 3 and is making six 3s per game, both career-bests. Also, Davis’ status should be monitored, because him playing would give the Pelicans a better chance at keeping the game close and avoiding Curry getting his minutes cut in garbage time.

Other Options — Luka Doncic ($7,300), Jrue Holiday ($7,200)

Value

Lonzo Ball, LAL vs. DAL, $5,000 — Ball’s price is at a season-low after consecutive poor performances. Assuming he remains in the Lakers’ starting lineup Wednesday, he’ll be in position to bounce back and provide value vs. a Dallas backcourt that grades poorly on defensive. Ball is averaging 29 minutes per game in starts this season.

Other Options — D’Angelo Russell ($5,900), Dennis Smith Jr. ($5,900)


SHOOTING GUARD

Stud

Victor Oladipo, IND at NY, $8,600 — The Pacers face off against the Knicks, who rank below average defensively and poorly in shot quality metrics. The Knicks have allowed the eighth-most wide open shots per game based on the league’s player tracking system. Since the Knicks made a starting lineup change on Oct. 26, they’ve continued to rank poorly at allowing wide open shots. The Knicks also have allowed a below average 110 points per 100 possessions. Oladipo remains a good candidate for volume, as his 30 percent usage rate is in the top 10 among all starters in the league.

Other Options — Donovan Mitchell ($7,700), Zach LaVine ($7,400)

Value

Jamal Murray, DEN at CHI, $7,000 — The Nuggets face the Bulls, who have been a dumpster fire defensively, allowing a league-worst 118 points per 100 possessions while allowing the sixth-most wide open shots per game and ranking in the bottom third in defensive rebounding. Murray appears to be over a leg contusion that bothered him earlier in the month, putting up consecutive 40+ DKFP performances and averaging 18 field goal attempts in those games.

Other Options — Klay Thompson ($6,400) 


SMALL FORWARD

Stud

DeMar DeRozan, SA at PHO, $9,500 — The Spurs face the Suns, who have been terrible defensively, allowing 115 points per 100 possessions, third worst. The Suns are also a potentially good matchup for DeRozan’s shot selection. The Suns are allowing the highest shooting percentage on mid-range shots in the league, and DeRozan leads the league in mid-range shots, as that is the zone he is most comfortable taking shots in. DeRozan has scored 60+ DKFP in three of his past four games.

Other Options — LeBron James ($11,300), Kevin Durant ($9,600)

Value

Josh Jackson, PHO vs. SA, $4,700 — With Devin Booker (hamstring) unlikely to play, Jackson is a candidate to start again at wing for the Suns. In starts this year, Jackson has a heavy 33 percent usage rate, eighth-highest among starters and up from 22 percent when he comes off the bench. The Spurs have been uncharacteristically poor defensively early in the season, ranking fifth worst in team defense by allowing 115 points per 100 possessions and allowing the seventh-most wide open shots based on the league’s tracking system. Fantasy owners can monitor if Jackson is in the starting lineup by locking into the DK Live app.

Other Options — Brandon Ingram ($6,300), Jabari Parker ($6,000)


POWER FORWARD

Stud

Anthony Davis, NO at GS, $11,400 — Davis is very risky as he is dealing with an elbow injury and is questionable to play. Even if he does play, there’s always the chance of him leaving to go to the locker room, which is elevated now that he is dealing with a known injury. That said, if Davis does play, he faces a Warriors team that has been poor at contesting shots early in the season. The Warriors have allowed the most wide open field goal attempts per game based on the league’s player tracking system, and the pace of this game should be elevated for a lot of possessions.

LaMarcus Aldridge, SA at PHO, $8,500 — Aldridge is in a good spot for reasons similar to teammate DeRozan. The Suns have been terrible defensively and are allowing the highest shooting percentage on mid-range shots. Aldridge is second in the league in mid-range shot attempts behind only DeRozan.

Other Options — Blake Griffin ($9,400), Nikola Mirotic ($7,500)

Value

Noah Vonleh, NY vs. IND, $4,300 — The Knicks moved Vonleh into the starting five two games ago, which resulted in a season-high 29 minutes in their most recent game. Vonleh has scored 25 and 27 DKFP in two starts and has an excellent 22.7 player efficiency rating in a small sample this year.

Other Options — Draymond Green ($6,700), Paul Millsap ($5,800)


CENTER

Stud

Andre Drummond, DET at BKN $9,000 — The Nets’ starting frontcourt ranks below average in rebounding, and Drummond took advantage the last time he faced them, smashing the Nets on the glass in the season-opener by grabbing 20 rebounds. He added 24 points and finished with 54 DKFP in that matchup. Drummond will be in good position again to generate a strong rebound total vs. the Nets.

Other Options — Nikola Jokic ($9,700), Karl-Anthony Towns ($8,400), Rudy Gobert ($7,900)

Value

Wendell Carter Jr., CHI vs. DEN, $4,900 — The seventh overall pick in the 2018 NBA Draft has scored over 30 DKFP in consecutive games and faces a Nuggets team allowing the seventh-highest field goal percentage in the restricted area — the zone Carter Jr. takes most of his shots in.

Other Options — Julius Randle ($6,500), Jarrett Allen ($5,300)


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.