Fantasy Basketball Picks: Top NBA Targets, Values For March 12

Monday’s NBA slate features four games and a later lock time than usual — 8 p.m. ET. The Kings and Rockets will play on the second night of their respective back-to-backs, and Houston notably will play its fifth game in seven nights — four of which were on a road trip — so fatigue could be a factor.

Notable players on Monday’s injury report include Steven Adams (questionable; ankle), Hassan Whiteside (out; hip) and LaMarcus Aldridge (out; knee). James Harden (knee) is expected to play after sitting out Sunday. For up-to-the-minute injury reports, news, lineups and analysis, download the DK Live app.

Let’s look at some players whom fantasy basketball owners can consider using Monday on DraftKings.

Point Guard

Stud

Russell Westbrook ($11,600) — Westbrook has slightly underperformed in the Thunder’s three games against the Kings this season, shooting 39 percent from the field and averaging 52 DKFP, both lower than his season averages of 45 percent and 57 DKFP, but he remains an incredibly strong play against a weak defensive team that’s on the second night of a back-to-back. The Kings’ starting backcourt of De’Aaron Fox and Bogdan Bogdanovic both grade toward the bottom of their positions by defensive real plus-minus, with Fox ranking an awful 95th out of 100 point guards. The Kings have been in the bottom third in both team defense and team rebounding since last month’s NBA trade deadline.

Other Options — Damian Lillard ($9,300), Chris Paul ($7,700)

Value

Dejounte Murray ($5,600) — Murray’s usage rate is boosted to 24 percent with Aldridge off the court this season, up from 19 percent with the Spurs star on the court. San Antonio will have the rest advantage against Houston, where sees its net rating on on the second night of back-to-backs fall to plus three, down from its season average of plus nine.

Other Options — Goran Dragic ($6,300), Eric Bledsoe ($6,800)


Shooting Guard

Stud

James Harden ($10,700) — Harden easily is the top stud at shooting guard on the small slate despite a matchup that doesn’t look as great on paper. The Spurs have been strong at defending the 3-point line all season, ranking in the top 10 in limiting open 3s, based on defender tracking distance. They’ve held opponents to a 34.8 percent 3-point percentage, fifth-best in the league. That said, Harden rested Sunday while the Rockets played the Mavs, so he’ll be coming off two days of rest and should be fresher than his Rockets teammates.

Other Options — Khris Middleton ($6,900)

Value

CJ McCollum ($6,600) — McCollum’s price tag is about the lowest it has been all season, with just four prior games at a salary of $6,600 or less. McCollum takes most of his shots for the Trail Blazers at mid-range and above the three, two zones that the Heat have been below average at defending by opponent field-goal percentage. McCollum scored 41 DKFP in his previous game against the Heat.

Other Options — Kobi Simmons ($3,900)


Small Forward

Stud

Giannis Antetokounmpo ($10,800) — The tanking Grizzlies have been the fourth-worst team at defending the restricted area since the trade deadline, allowing opponents to shoot just shy of 68 percent, and The Greek Freak leads the league in field-goal attempts there at 9.5 per game. He scored 56 DKFP in the Bucks’ previous game against the Grizzlies this season.

Value

Dillon Brooks ($4,900) — The thin Grizzlies have leaned on Brooks heavily over their last four games, using him on a team-leading 30.5 percent of their plays while he’s on the court and playing him 125 total minutes, which also leads the team. Brooks is averaging 29 DKFP in those four games on 48.5 percent shooting with 21 points per game.

Other Options — Ben McLemore ($5,300), Rudy Gay ($4,700)


Power Forward

Stud

Paul George ($8,300) — George has a strong matchup for reasons similar to Thunder teammate Russell Westbrook. Kings wing players grade poorly defensively, and Sacramento’s overall defense and rebounding rank in the bottom five in the league. George scored 50 DKFP in his most recent game against the Kings on Feb. 22.

Other Options — JaMychal Green ($7,100)

Value

Pau Gasol ($5,700) — Gasol stands to benefit with Aldridge out, as his usage rate is boosted from 19 percent to 23 percent with the San Antonio star off the court. As previously mentioned, the Spurs also will have the rest advantage over a Rockets team that has had a tough travel schedule. Gasol missed some time with a shoulder injury last week, but he played 25 minutes in his return Saturday.

Other Options — Carmelo Anthony ($5,900), Kelly Olynyk ($5,600)


Center

Stud

Marc Gasol ($7,500) — The center position is thin for studs on the small slate, with both Aldridge and Whiteside ruled out. Gasol will be coming off two days off after sitting Saturday for rest purposes, and he’ll face a Bucks team that ranks 26th in team rebounding by the percentage of missed shots that it comes up with. The Bucks also are a bottom-third team at grabbing contested rebounds.

Other Options — Clint Capela ($6,400)

Value

Jusuf Nurkic ($5,600) — The Heat obviously have a worse interior defense with Whiteside off the court, with a restricted area field-goal percentage that rises to a below-average 65 percent without him, up from an above-average 62 percent with him. Nurkic leads the Blazers with shots in the restricted area at just over six per game, and he could be in position to take advantage inside without Whiteside there.

Other Options — Bam Adebayo ($3,800), Pat Patterson ($3,300)

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.