The trade deadline has come and gone, but even the players who weren’t moved could feel the effects of players being added or taken away from their team.

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Here are some rankings and thoughts on three different tiers today in the five-game Tiers contests on DraftKings:


TIERS ANALYSIS

Tier 1

PF/C Anthony Davis, NO vs. MIN
SF/PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, MIL at DAL
C Joel Embiid, PHI vs. DEN
C Karl-Anthony Towns, MIN at NO

After being the subject of rumors and seemingly almost certain to get moved at the deadline, Davis remains on the Pelicans. He is expected to play the rest of the season despite not having a future in New Orleans. ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski reported the team will scale back his minutes, but it is hard for me to ignore his upside. Davis is by far the highest scorer in Tier 1 with an average of 61.7 DKFP per game, and prior to getting hurt, he scored at least 72 DKFP in three of five games. There is also a chance he could go lower owned because of concerns regarding his situation with the Pelicans.

Embiid is the riskiest play of anybody here. He is dealing with a stomach illness and is listed as questionable to play on the injury report. Even if he is able to play, it is reasonable to think he might not be 100 percent. He is also the only player in this tier with a negative matchup. The Nuggets have an OPRK of ninth against centers, while every other player in this tier either has an average or slightly above average matchup. There is also some concern Embiid could lose out some usage with the 76ers bringing in another star in Tobias Harris. When Philly first added Butler, Embiid’s usage slightly dipped, and he became disgruntled with the situation.


Tier 3

PG/SG Stephen Curry, GS at PHO
PF/C Blake Griffin, DET vs. NY
PG/SF Ben Simmons, PHI vs. DEN
SG Bradley Beal, WAS vs. CLE
PG De’Aaron Fox, SAC vs. MIA

Curry is the biggest risk/reward play Tier 3. The risk here is the Warriors are far better than the Suns and this very likely could turn into a one-sided beat down with the Golden State starters sitting out the fourth quarter. The upside is the Suns are one of the worst defenses in the league and allow the third most DKFP to point guards. These teams have played twice this season and the Warriors won both games by more than 20 points, but Curry still went for more than 50 DKFP in both contests despite playing limited minutes.

The safest play of the tier is Beal. John Wall already was out for the season and now the Wizards traded away a key piece in Otto Porter. This leaves Beal to carry the load on offense by himself. Without Porter last game, Beal played 39 minutes and had a 32.1 percent usage rating. Washington is going to be at risk of getting blown out in a lot of games to finish the year, but this won’t be the case against another lowly team in the Cavaliers. Cleveland ranks last in defensive efficiency by a wide margin.


Tier 4

C Andre Drummond, DET vs. NY
PF/C Julius Randle, NO vs. MIN
SF/PF Tobias Harris, PHI vs. DEN
PG/SG D’Angelo Russell, BKN vs. CHI
SG/SF Jimmy Butler, PHI vs. DEN
PF/C Lauri Markkanen, CHI at BKN

No high-level player lost more expected production than Harris at the trade deadline. He goes from being the top option on the Clippers to being the fourth option on the 76ers. He figures to see a massive dip in usage, and his rebounds should come down playing alongside high volume rebounders in Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid. His arrival also figures to hurt the production of Jimmy Butler. Philly is going to be a better team, but it has so many stars who will cannibalize each other’s shot attempts.

Drummond is going to be taking on the new-look Knicks for the second consecutive game. It’s hard to know how the Knicks will fair going forward against big men with DeAndre Jordan in the mix, but Drummond didn’t have problem against them Tuesday. He scored 50 DKFP and now has at least 48 DKFP in five of his past six games. He only has one dud over that span and it came in a game where he fouled out in 23 minutes.


OFF-THE-WALL PLAY

On a day-to-day basis, it is difficult to predict what we might get out of Andrew Wiggins, but he has had no problem looking for his shot recently. He struggled to make shots last night, but it didn’t stop him from firing. Coming off a season-high 28 shot attempts, Wiggins makes for a good GPP play in Tier 6 in what should be a high-scoring game against the Pelicans. 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.

Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.

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