We are just days away from the trade deadline and moves are starting to go down with the Knicks trading Kristaps Porzingis to the Mavericks. Staying up to date on these moves is key for finding DFS value.
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Here are some rankings and thoughts on three different tiers today in the five-game Tiers contests on DraftKings:
SF/PF Paul George, OKC at MIA
PG Kyrie Irving, BOS at NY
C Rudy Gobert, UTA vs. ATL
PG/SG Donovan Mitchell, UTA vs. ATL
Blowouts potential is extremely high in Tier 2. The Jazz are 11.5-point favorites at home against the Hawks tonight, which has me wary of rostering them despite a plus matchup against Atlanta. Both players have upside, but if I want to roster players in a game with the risk of not playing in the fourth quarter, then I want to play Kyrie Irving. He missed a couple of games with a hip injury, but he is probable to return to the Celtics in New York. Irving plays against an extremely thin Knicks’ backcourt after they traded away Tim Hardaway Jr., Trey Burke and Courtney Lee. He is likely to spend time matched up against Kadeem Allen. Irving should dominate if this game stays close, and he’s scored at least 60 DKFP in four of his last five games.
The safest play in the tier is Paul George. He is easily the safest scorer amongst this group due to an average of 50 DKFP per game. Nobody is within five fantasy points of his average. George also benefits from playing in a game without significant blowout risk. The Thunder are playing in Miami against a playoff-bound Heat team. George enters tonight with at least 31 points in five of his last six games.
Tier 3PG Kemba Walker, CHA vs. MEM
C Marc Gasol, MEM at CHA
PG Mike Conley, MEM at CHA
PF/C John Collins, ATL at UTA
PF/C Kenneth Faried, HOU at DEN
It seems weird to think of Faried as a strong play in a tier filled with All-Star caliber players, but he’s playing a massive role with the Rockets. Despite just joining the team, he is in the starting lineup with Clint Capela (thumb) injured. As a starter, he is playing 32.6 minutes per game and averaging 38.44 DKFP. Against the big frontcourt of the Nuggets, Faried could have to play even more minutes than normal against his former team. Houston has allowed him to play as many as 38 minutes and that sort of workload is a possibility.
Mike Conley is listed as questionable to play with knee soreness. Memphis is considering trading both him and Gasol, so it figures they will be conservative with him if he is less than 100 percent. The injury to Conley has me wary of rostering him. If he can’t play then Gasol is in line for a bigger role. He sees a 1.4 percent usage boost without Conley on the court and is the guy to play in this tier if Conley has to sit out.
Tier 6SG/SF Joe Ingles, UTA vs. ATL
SF/PF Marcus Morris, BOS at NY
SG Gary Harris, DEN vs. HOU
PF/C Derrick Favors, UTA vs. ATL
SF/PF Kevin Knox, NY vs. BOS
PG/SG Allonzo Trier, NY vs. BOS
With the Knicks shorthanded, the top plays in Tier 6 are Kevin Knox and Allonzo Trier. With Hardaway no longer on the team, Trier figures to step into the starting lineup. The playing time for Tier has been limited with guys ahead of him on the depth chart, but he tends to shine when given extended playing time. Trier averages 34.8 DKFP in games he played at least 30 minutes. Knox has been stuck in shooting rut, but it hasn’t kept him from hoisting shots. He has a 25 percent usage rating over the last six games despite shooting 33 percent from the field. He is going to have to keep firing with the Knicks lacking scoring options.
Gary Harris has battled injuries this year and hasn’t looked like himself when on the court this year. He is questionable to play tonight with groin soreness. Even if he plays, I think the Nuggets will probably limit his minutes. Harris was one of the best glue guys in the league last year, but Denver might need to give him games off to find his form again. He missed time due to a hamstring injury and he is averaging just 19.4 DKFP since coming back.
OFF-THE-WALL PLAYIn Tier 5 Jerami Grant could be an interesting contrarian option. Steven Adams is typically thought of as a tough guy, but he is questionable to play after missing last game with a sprained ankle. When Adams is out, Nerlens Noel moves into the starting lineup and Grant sees expanded playing time as the starting power forward and the backup center. He played 42 minutes and scored 34.75 DKFP on Tuesday night with Adams out.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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