It’s been exactly nine months since Milwaukee last paid a visit to Toronto on April 25, 2019. I remember the date vividly, as the events of the night were some of the most fun I’ve ever had in my life. On the day in question, the Raptors would defeat the Bucks 100-94 to advance to the NBA Finals and I, along with some lifelong friends, would stand for an hour at the intersection of Spadina and King in downtown Toronto just high-fiving strangers. There might have been a few drinks involved at a couple of “Ka’Wine and Dine” certified establishments, too. Who’s to say?
Anyway, that’s the headlining matchup of Tuesday’s seven-game featured slate on DraftKings. As I re-live some memories, let’s break it all down position-by-position.
VALUE TO CONSIDER
Set your lineups here: NBA $450K Excellent 8’s [$100K to 1st!]
StudKyle Lowry, TOR vs. MIL, $8,100 – While Milwaukee does possess easily the league’s best defense by points allowed per 100 possessions, it’s also the owner of the NBA’s highest pace in the month of February (106.7). This should be a very uptempo matchup between two teams that love to get out in transition and that’s an environment where Lowry should thrive. He’s in pretty good form lately, too. The All-Star’s registered a double-double in six-straight starts and, within that span, he’s exceeded 50.0 DKFP four times. It’s also a stretch where Lowry sits third overall in potential assists per game (16.4).
Other Option: Malcolm Brogdon ($7,100)
ValueJordan Poole, GS vs. SAC, $5,400 – I’m willing to run it back with Poole one more time. The rookie has been incredibly consistent since Feb. 5, a span of six games where Poole leads all Golden State players in minutes (177) and field goal attempts (78). Yes, his salary has risen all the way up from the minimum within this short span, but we are talking about an asset that’s exceeded 29.0 DKFP four times in the past three weeks and has started the Warriors’ last three contests. If Draymond Green ($5,900) is out again, I’ll definitely have some level of exposure.
Other Option: Rajon Rondo ($4,000)
StudJaylen Brown, BOS at POR, $6,600 – This is a pretty fair price for Brown, who’s essentially the Wal-Mart brand version of Jayson Tatum ($8,800) on this slate. In that sense, while Brown doesn’t see quite as high a jump in usage with Kemba Walker (knee) off the court, he still sits second on the team with a very respectable 26.7% rate. This level of utilization has led to the former lottery pick averaging 23.2 points the past five games that Boston’s starting point guard has been held out due to injury. Considering Portland possesses the third-worst defensive rating in the NBA so far in February (117.4), Brown’s salary should probably be over $7K.
Other Option: Jrue Holiday ($7,900)
ValueBrandon Knight, DET at DEN, $3,000 – You’re only thinking about using Knight if Bruce Brown (knee) is eventually ruled out due to knee soreness; however, in such a scenario, it’s difficult to ignore the veteran. The loss of Brown – who is leading the Pistons in minutes per game in February – creates a huge void in Detroit’s rotation and it’s one the team doesn’t really have the resources to fill. It’s not as if Knight hasn’t shown some flashes of life, either. In fact, he logged 20 minutes of action on Sunday against Portland, collecting 15 points and 23.5 DKFP.
Other Option: Gary Trent Jr. ($4,500)
StudT.J. Warren, IND vs. CHA, $6,200 – Depending on the availability of Victor Oladipo ($6,300), Warren should have the opportunity to put up some big numbers tonight against Charlotte. While he is coming off a horrific shooting performance versus Toronto on Sunday, Warren’s shown the ability to score at an elite level so far in 2019-20, even putting up totals of 36 and 33 in prior matchups this season with the Hornets. Again, if Oladipo joins Jeremy Lamb (knee) on the sideline this evening, Warren should be able to take advantage of an underwhelming Charlotte defense.
Other Option: Jayson Tatum ($8,800)
ValueKyle Kuzma, LAL vs. NO, $4,400 – While it’s basically impossible to know when Kuzma’s about to have one of his ceiling games, I’d suggest that tonight’s matchup with New Orleans seems like a decent situation to thrive within. The Pelicans are tied with the Timberwolves for the Western Conference’s fastest pace so far in February (105.8), a fact that is clearly reflected in the implied total for this contest being the highest on the slate. There are worse places to spend your money.
Other Option: Harrison Barnes ($5,300)
StudGiannis Antetokounmpo, MIL at TOR, $11,600 – Antetokounmpo’s ownership is going to be low tonight, right? The reigning MVP is not only on the second night of a back-to-back against the second-best defensive team in basketball, but he’s also coming off arguably his worst performance of 2019-20 against the Wizards; a contest where he turned the ball over eight times and fouled out in just 25 minutes of action. Still, if Antetokounmpo can reach the 30-minute plateau, he’s basically a guaranteed 60.0 DKFP. To wit, the 25-year-old needed to log 36 minutes the last time these two teams met, a night where Antetokounmpo collected 77.25 DKFP. I’ll take my chances that he bounces back and that this game stays close.
Other Option: Domantas Sabonis ($9,000)
ValueCarmelo Anthony, POR vs. BOS, $6,000 – While it’s been C.J. McCollum ($9,000) doing his best Lillard impression with the All-Star on the sideline, Anthony’s also been asked to pick up the offensive slack. The veteran’s averaged 26.0 points and 16.5 field goal attempts per game since coming out of the break, figures that are very much in line with Anthony’s notable 26.5% usage rate in 2019-20 with Lillard off the court. It’s hard to be sure of anything in the world, but I promise volume won’t be an issue for Anthony on this slate.
Other Option: Juan Toscano-Anderson ($4,100)
StudNikola Jokic, DEN vs. DET, $10,000 – The last time these two teams met, Jokic went off for a triple-double and a season-high 82.0 DKFP. Now, there’s no way of knowing that that’s going to happen again, but I’ll say this: there’s no way that either Christian Wood ($7,300) or Thon Maker ($4,400) is equipped to handle the Serbian All-Star. I’d expect Jokic to face little resistance this evening on his way to a huge performance.
Other Option: Serge Ibaka ($6,500)
ValueHarry Giles III, SAC at GS, $4,400 – This might be my favorite play on the slate. Giles is coming off his best performance of 2019-20, a double-double effort against the Clippers this past weekend that saw the sophomore earn a season-high 35.0 DKFP. I wouldn’t expect the good times to come to a halt against the Warriors, either. It’s simply unclear who will be able to protect the paint for Golden State if the aforementioned Green and Marquese Chriss ($6,000) are unavailable. Heck, even if they are, the Warriors own just a 45.2% total rebounding rate in their past 10 contests – the second-lowest mark in the NBA.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.