Monday’s fantasy basketball slate on DraftKings is small, as there are only three NBA games on the schedule. The featured contest is the NBA $350k Fadeaway, which pays out $100k to first place. Set your lineups here: NBA $350K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st].
The most notable injury related news for Monday’s slate is that Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) is out. John Collins (thigh) and Kevin Huerter (groin) are probable. For up-to-the-minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app, as NBA news, injury reports and betting lines on DraftKings Sportsbook can change throughout the day. Value also unexpectedly can open up due to late lineup changes and late injury news, making it important to stay up-to-the-minute with the DK Live app until lineups lock. You also can follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive.
Here are some plays that fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings:
StudTrae Young, Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets ($10,300) — Despite allowing less points per game to opponents than average due to playing the slowest pace in the league, the Hornets have been poor in a few areas that Young could potentially take advantage of on Monday. Charlotte’s defense has been seventh worst when adjusted for pace, and Atlanta’s fast pace could force the Hornets into playing more possessions than they normally play. In addition, the Hornets have allowed the most assists per game to opponents and have been poor at defending the 3-point line, allowing more made 3s per game than average while allowing elevated quality looks from deep. Charlotte has allowed the fourth most wide-open 3s per game based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the shooter. Young is shooting 44% on wide-open 3s this season, better than his season average of 36% on all 3s. Charlotte’s tendency to allow wide-open looks from 3 could allow Young to get hot from downtown.
ValueEDITOR’S NOTE: ERIC BLEDSOE WILL NOT START TONIGHT
Eric Bledsoe, Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets ($5,700) — Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) missed Sunday’s game and will remain out on Monday, which makes Bledsoe a strong candidate to take on an expanded role. Antetokounmpo’s 36% usage rate is the highest in the NBA, usage that will be available for other players like Bledsoe to soak up. In minutes with Antetokounmpo off the court this season, Bledsoe’s usage rate rises to a heavy 32%, a huge spike from 20% in minutes with Antetokounmpo on the court. With Antetokounmpo out on Sunday, Bledsoe scored 43.75 DraftKings fantasy points (DKFP) after taking 19 shots, seven more than his season average of 12 shots per game. Despite the expected large boost in role, Bledsoe’s price tag remains significantly depressed and is tied for his second lowest price of the season.
Devonte’ Graham, Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks ($6,400) — Graham has a highly appealing matchup against one of the worst defensive teams in the league. The Hawks have allowed the second most points to opponents and rank in the bottom third of the league in assists allowed to opponents. Graham leads the Hornets in usage rate (24%) and facilitating, creating 13 potential assists per game on 66 passes per game. Graham’s 66 passes per game ranks fourth most among all players, and his 13 potential assists created per game ranks 12th best. Graham carries point and assist upside in this matchup.
StudTerry Rozier, Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks ($6,600) — The Hawks have been one of the league’s worst defensive teams, allowing the second most points to opponents while allowing more assists than average. Rozier’s fantasy value can be in part diminished by Charlotte’s glacially slow pace, which ranks last in the league, but the Hawks’ fast pace may increase fantasy opportunities for Rozier on Monday due to more possessions.
ValueWill Barton, Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks ($6,000) — Barton’s minutes are trending up after distancing himself from an injury absence, playing 37 minutes in the Nuggets’ most recent game, the first time he has played over 35 minutes in about a month. The Bucks’ defense has not been nearly as strong without Giannis Antetokounmpo (out; knee), allowing about eight more points to opponents per 100 possessions, and Barton had huge success against the Bucks in his previous meeting against them this season, scoring 48 DKFP in 33 minutes. The Bucks have allowed the most wide-open 3s per game based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the shooter, and Barton took advantage of Milwaukee’s tendency to allow wide-open 3s in an effort to protect the basket, sinking a nice 6-of-9 3-pointers in their previous meeting. Barton is shooting a strong 43% on wide-open 3s this season and could punish the Bucks from deep if given high quality looks.
StudEDITOR’S NOTE: KHRIS MIDDLETON WILL NOT START TONIGHT
ValueMiles Bridges, Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks ($5,500) — Bridges lands in a good matchup against the Hawks, who have allowed the second most points to opponents while ranking third worst on the glass by the percentage of missed shots rebounded. The Hawks also play one of the faster paces in the league, which could help boost possessions for fantasy scoring.
StudJohn Collins, Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets ($9,000) — The Hornets have been one of the league’s worst teams at defending the interior and cleaning the glass, which could put Collins in position to have a productive fantasy outing. Charlotte has allowed the fourth most made field goals per game within five feet of the basket, the zone that Collins attempts over 50% of his field goal attempts. Charlotte has also been poor on the glass, ranking as the league’s fifth worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots rebounded. Charlotte has also been poor defensively when adjusted for pace, which is notable given the Hawks play one of the faster paces in the league. Collins will be a threat for boosted points and rebounds in this matchup.
ValuePJ Washington, Charlotte Hornets at Atlanta Hawks ($5,600) — Washington has a highly appealing matchup against the Hawks, who have been one of the league’s worst defensive teams and worst rebounding teams. Atlanta has allowed the second most points to opponents while ranking third worst on the glass by the percentage of missed shots rebounded, which could put Washington in position to have a productive night on the boards. In Washington’s previous game vs. the Hawks, he grabbed eight rebounds, a boost from his season average of 5.5 per game. Washington has been a steady source of minutes, averaging about 31 minutes per game, and has scored more than 30 DKFP in three straight games.
StudNikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets vs. Milwaukee Bucks ($9,500) — Milwaukee’s defense has been ridiculously elite on a possession adjusted basis, but their defense has not been nearly as strong with Giannis Antetokounmpo off the court, allowing eight more points per 100 possessions with Antetokounmpo on the sidelines. With the Nuggets not having to worry about Antetokounmpo’s length and basket protection, Jokic could find an easier time generating points and assists. The Bucks have also continued to play an elite pace with Antetokounmpo off the court, which could help create extra possessions for Jokic to record fantasy points.
ValueEDITOR’S NOTE: BROOK LOPEZ WILL NOT START TONIGHT
Brook Lopez, Milwaukee Bucks at Denver Nuggets ($5,100) — Lopez is another Bucks player is who is a candidate to benefit from expanded usage due to Giannis Antetokounmpo’s absence. Lopez’s usage rate rises from a subpar 15% in minutes with Antetokounmpo on the court to an above average 21% in minutes with Antetokounmpo off the court. With Antetokounmpo out on Sunday, Lopez scored 29 DKFP and took 14 shots, five more than his season average of nine per game.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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