BUILDING BLOCKS AT FORWARD
Monday’s fantasy basketball slate has nine NBA games on DraftKings. Notable players with statuses to monitor as of Monday morning include Bradley Beal (leg), John Collins (back) and Jrue Holiday (elbow), who are all listed as questionable. Lauri Markkanen (ankle) is doubtful.
For up-to-the-minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app, as NBA news, injury reports and betting lines on DraftKings Sportsbook can change throughout the day. Value also unexpectedly can open up due to late lineup changes and late injury news, making it important to stay up-to-the-minute with the DK Live app until lineups lock. You also can follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive.
Here are some plays that fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings:
StudDe’Aaron Fox, Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors ($8,200) — Fox leads the Kings in facilitating, creating 14 potential assists per game, eighth best among all NBA players. Fox takes his facilitating into a strong matchup against the Warriors, who have been prone to allowing assists. Golden State has allowed the sixth most assists per game to opponents, and combined with their below average point prevention, Fox carries scoring and assist upside in this matchup. Fox’s 27% usage rate is best on the Kings.
Jamal Murray, Denver Nuggets at Atlanta Hawks ($7,600) — Murray’s price is up, but he is in a boosted spot for fantasy production against the defensively challenged Hawks. Atlanta has allowed the second most points per game to opponents on the back of the third worst pace adjusted team defense combined with a top-10 pace. The Hawks have also allowed more assists to opponents than average. Murray’s 17.5 player efficiency rating is better than average, and he ranks second on Denver in both facilitating and usage, creating nine potential assists per game with a 25% usage rate. Murray will be slotted well for points and assists in this matchup.
ValueKy Bowman, Golden State Warriors at Sacramento Kings ($3,500) — Both Draymond Green (ankle) and D’Angelo Russell (shoulder) are out on Monday, so the Warriors are down all of their top facilitators. Since Stephen Curry (hand) went out due to injury, Russell and Green have combined to create about 20 potential assists per game on over 100 combined passes per game, passing volume that will be available elsewhere on Monday. Bowman is a candidate to start again at PG, a role he is averaging a healthy 33 minutes per start in, a big boost from 20 minutes per game off the bench. At $3,500, Bowman is a quality punt play if given a starter’s workload. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on the Warriors’ starting lineup.
StudDonovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans ($8,100) — Mitchell has posted a heavy 31% usage rate this season and has been relied on for more facilitating recently due to Mike Conley’s hamstring injury. Over Mitchell’s last eight games without Conley playing point guard, Mitchell is creating just under 12 potential assists per game, a boost from seven potential assists per game in previous games this season. Mitchell takes his heavy usage into an excellent matchup against the Pelicans, who have struggled defensively. The Pelicans have allowed the third most points to opponents and rank in the bottom third in assists allowed to opponents.
Zach LaVine, Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks ($7,700) — Lauri Markkanen, who is Chicago’s second most heavily used starter by usage rate, is unlikely to play on Monday due to an ankle injury, which could result in a tick up in volume for LaVine. LaVine’s usage rate ticks up to about 32% in minutes that Markkanen has been off the court this season, up from 30% with Markkanen on the court.
ValueMarcus Smart, Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards ($5,200) — By usage rate, Kemba Walker (illness) is Boston’s most heavily used player, and with Walker set to miss Monday’s game, more volume will be available for other players on the Celtics’ roster, including Smart. Smart’s usage rate rises from a subpar 15% in minutes with Walker on the court to a respectable 20% in minutes with Walker off the court this season. Smart’s assist rate is also higher when Walker is off the court. The boost in volume in this matchup is especially appealing, as the Wizards have been atrocious defensively. Washington ranks as the worst defensive team by points allowed per possession and points allowed per game, and their assist prevention has also been very poor, allowing the third most assists.
StudGiannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks at San Antonio Spurs ($10,900) — Antetokounmpo’s price is under $11,000 for the first time in over two months for a matchup against a soft Spurs defense that has allowed the fifth most points to opponents and seventh most assists to opponents. Antetokounmpo is having the best season of his career, posting a league-high 33.9 player efficiency rating while averaging 60 DKFP per game, and the only reason Antetokounmpo’s fantasy output hasn’t been higher is because the Bucks often blow their opponents out. The Bucks are 7-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook for this game, but the fact that the matchup is taking place in San Antonio could keep it close enough for Antetokounmpo to not have his minutes cut too significantly.
ValueJoe Ingles, Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans ($5,700) — Ingles has seen a role upgrade since Mike Conley (hamstring) went out of the lineup, particularly with facilitating. Ingles has created 11 potential assists per game over his last eight games with Conley out of the lineup, a boost from 7.5 potential assists created per game previously. Ingles has a strong matchup against a Pelicans team that has been poor defensively, allowing the third most points to opponents and ranking in the bottom third in assists allowed to opponents. Despite the good matchup, Ingles’ price is down $400 from his last game.
StudDomantas Sabonis, Indiana Pacers at Charlotte Hornets ($8,600) — Sabonis attempts over half of his field goal within five feet of the basket, a zone that the Hornets have been poor at defending. Charlotte has allowed the second most field goals within five feet of the basket while allowing opponents to shoot the seventh highest field goal percentage in that zone, creating a soft matchup for Sabonis in the interior. Sabonis also has a strong matchup on the glass given the Hornets’ rebounding issues. Charlotte ranks as the league’s fourth worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots they rebound. Sabonis’ 23% usage rate is second highest on the Pacers.
ValueThaddeus Young, Chicago Bulls at Dallas Mavericks ($3,700) — Lauri Markkannen (ankle) is unlikely to play on Monday, which could result in a role upgrade for Young. Young has yet to make a start this season as Markkanen has started all 36 of the Bulls’ games, which has limited him to about 22 minutes per game in a bench role. Last season with the Pacers, Young averaged about 32 minutes in starts, and could be in line for a role upgrade if he’s in the starting lineup today. Download the DK Live app and follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive for up-to-the-minute news on the Bulls’ starting five.
StudRudy Gobert, Utah Jazz at New Orleans Pelicans ($7,900) — Gobert has an appealing matchup against the aforementioned Pelicans, who in addition to allowing the third most points to opponents have been prone to allowing field goals near the basket. The Pelicans have allowed the fifth most field goals per game within five feet of the basket, the zone that Gobert takes nearly all of his shot attempts. New Orleans also ranks as a below average rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots they rebound, giving Gobert a decent matchup on the glass as well.
ValueDaniel Theis, Boston Celtics at Washington Wizards ($4,000) — Theis draws an appealing matchup on Monday for a few reasons. Theis’ usage rate has ticked up in minutes with Kemba Walker off the court, and with Walker out due to an illness, Theis is a candidate for a little more usage. In addition to being the worst defensive team in the league, the Wizards are also the league’s worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots they rebound, putting Theis in good position to both score and clean the glass. Enes Kanter ($5,800) also draws a good matchup for similar reasons.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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