Monday’s fantasy basketball slate has seven NBA games on DraftKings. LeBron James (illness) missed the Lakers’ most recent game, but he is expected to return on Monday given his probable tag. Hassan Whiteside (illness) also carries a probable designation after missing the Trail Blazers’ most recent game. In addition, both Marvin Bagley III (foot) and Harrison Barnes (quad) are expected to play.
Players with uncertain statuses include Anthony Davis (glute), Domantas Sabonis (knee), Jrue Holiday (elbow), Malcolm Brogdon (illness), Aaron Gordon (calf), Derrick Favors (hamstring), JJ Redick (hamstring) and Daniel Theis (knee). Karl-Anthony Towns (knee) is perpetually questionable, and his injury designation should probably be considered closer to doubtful until something changes.
For up-to-the-minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app, as NBA news, injury reports and betting lines on DraftKings Sportsbook can change throughout the day. Value also unexpectedly can open up due to late lineup changes and late injury news, making it important to stay up-to-the-minute with the DK Live app until lineups lock. You also can follow DK Live on Twitter @dklive.
Here are some plays that fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings:
BET TO CONSIDER
Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers vs. Charlotte Hornets ($8,800) — Lillard enters Monday with a favorable matchup against the Hornets. The Hornets have been prone to allowing extra space from 3-point range, allowing the third most wide-open 3s per game based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the shooter. Lillard is shooting 42% on wide-open 3s this season, a boost from his season mark of 36% on all 3-pointers.
The Hornets have allowed the most assists per game to opponents while showcasing mediocre point prevention. Lillard’s facilitating has been strong, creating about 14 potential assists per game, tied for 10th best among all players, giving him some assist upside. Lillard’s 46.5 DraftKings fantasy points (DKFP) per game ranks second at PG on Monday’s slate behind only LeBron James.
ValueChris Paul, Oklahoma City Thunder at Minnesota Timberwolves ($6,600) — Paul’s price has fallen to its lowest number since early December for an appealing matchup against the Timberwolves. Minnesota has played the fourth fastest pace in the league, which has contributed to them allowing the sixth most points to opponents, as the boosted possessions create more opportunities for fantasy scoring. Paul lit up the Timberwolves in his previous meeting against them this season, scoring 50 DraftKings fantasy points (DKFP) on a 30-point, 7-assist outing. Paul’s 20.9 player efficiency is excellent, ranking fifth best among point guards.
StudZach LaVine, Chicago Bulls at Boston Celtics ($8,500) — LaVine has been hot as a fantasy producer lately, averaging 49 DKFP per game since the calendar turned to January. LaVine’s fantasy production has been elevated by expanded volume, averaging 23 field goal attempts per game on a heavy 32% usage rate in January, boosts from 19 field goal attempts per game on a 30% usage rate previously. While the Celtics are generally an unappealing fantasy opponent due to their strong defense, LaVine’s recent hot stretch includes a 52.5 DKFP performance against the Celtics, so he has shown to be capable of being productive in the matchup.
ValueDerrick Rose, Detroit Pistons vs. New Orleans Pelicans ($6,700) — Rose’s 30% usage rate is best on the Pistons, and he has seen heavier usage lately with Blake Griffin (knee) sidelined, posting a 33% usage rate in January, which ranks in the top 10 among all qualified players. Rose takes his heavy usage into an elite matchup vs. the Pelicans, who have been among the worst defensive teams in the league. The Pelicans have allowed the second most points to opponents and rank in the bottom third in assists allowed to opponents. New Orleans may also be without Derrick Favors (hamstring) again, who has missed large chunks of the season and is one of their best defensive players.
StudLeBron James, Los Angeles Lakers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers ($9,500) — James’s price has tanked to $9,500, down from $11,000 in his most recent game and tied for his second lowest price tag of the season. James has some degree of a narrative game against his former team, the Cavs, although the matchup is taking place in Los Angeles and not Cleveland. The Cavs have been foul defensively, allowing the second most points per possession while showcasing very poor basket protection. Cleveland has allowed the most field goals per game within five feet of the basket, a zone that James ranks fifth in shot attempts in among all players. Cleveland has also allowed the third most assists to opponents, which is notable given James leads the lead in facilitating, creating 19 potential assists per game. In addition, James’ usage rate sits at a heavy 36% in minutes with Anthony Davis (glute) off the court, a boost from 29% with Davis on the court, so James could be in position for more shot volume if Davis remains out. James will be well-positioned for points and assists in this matchup, and the only downside is that blowout risk could reduce James’ minutes if the game gets out of hand. The Lakers are huge 13.5-point favorites on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Tobias Harris, Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers ($6,600) — Despite Joel Embiid (hand) being sidelined, Harris’ price has not risen, which makes Harris a candidate to provide value given he has seen more volume when Embiid is not on the court. Harris’ usage rate rises to a solid 25% in minutes with Embiid off the court this season, a boost from 21% in minutes with Embiid on the court. Harris’ rebounding numbers are also boosted when Embiid is not on the court, as he is able to get to more available rebounds. The Pacers have been below average on the glass, ranking 20th by the percentage of missed shots they rebound.
StudEDITOR’S NOTE: INGRAM IS UNLIKELY TO PLAY TONIGHT
Brandon Ingram, New Orleans Pelicans at Detroit Pistons ($8,100) — Ingram has been a breakout player in New Orleans, posting a 21.2 player efficiency rating, a sizable bump from a poor 13.4 last season with the Lakers. Ingram’s facilitating has seen a solid increase in minutes with Jrue Holiday (elbow) off the court, and if Holiday remains out again on Monday, Ingram would have clearance for expanded assists against a Pistons team that has allowed more assists and more points to opponents than average. Ingram’s usage rate is a strong 29% in minutes with Holiday off the court, and his 43.5 DKFP per game ranks third best at PF on Monday’s slate.
Kevin Love, Cleveland Cavaliers at Los Angeles Lakers ($6,700) — Love’s $6,700 price tag is his lowest in about a month, and while a matchup against a stout Lakers defense is not appealing on paper, the Lakers could be without elite defender Anthony Davis (glute), which would create a softer matchup for Love. Davis has missed the Lakers’ last two games and is uncertain to play on Monday. If Davis remains out, Love will be in better position to provide value at this price tag. Love’s 18.0 player efficiency rating is better than average, and he is averaging 37 DKFP per game this season while showcasing the ability to go for 50+ DKFP when given boosts in usage.
StudAndre Drummond, Detroit Pistons vs. New Orleans Pelicans ($10,300) — Pelicans C Derrick Favors is dealing with a hamstring injury, and if Favors remains out on Monday, Drummond will be set for a softer matchup in the interior. The Pelicans have poor rebounding numbers in minutes with Favors off the court this season, grabbing just 49% of missed shots, a number that would rank in the bottom third among all teams. The Pelicans’ already poor defense is also worse with Favors off the court. New Orleans has allowed the fourth most field goals per game within five feet of the basket, and Drummond ranks in the top three among all players in shot attempts inside that zone.
Enes Kanter, Boston Celtics vs. Chicago Bulls ($5,400) — Celtics starting C Daniel Theis (knee) is questionable, and if Theis is out, Kanter could be in line for an expanded role in an excellent matchup. The Bulls have been poor on the glass, ranking as the league’s third worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots they rebound, a number that could be set to decline even further with starting center Wendell Carter Jr. (ankle) sidelined. The Bulls have also been poor around the basket, allowing the sixth most field goals per game within five feet of the basket, the zone that Kanter takes most of his shots. Kanter’s 24.8 player efficiency rating is excellent, ranking fifth best among centers.Set your lineups here: NBA $400K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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