We’ve got ourselves a small, four-game featured NBA slate this evening on DraftKings; but, in this case, a tiny schedule does not mean we’re light on top-flight talent. In fact, including Russell Westbrook ($10,200), who is doubtful to play on Tuesday due to a thumb issue, there are six players priced above $10K. Of these six, all are headed to Chicago for the All-Star Game in two weeks, four are former league MVPs, and one just happens to be the red-hot Damian Lillard ($10,300).
BETS TO CONSIDER
Who should you be prioritizing in lineups? Let’s break it down position-by-position.
Set your lineups here: NBA $450K Big Jam [$100K to 1st]
StudJames Harden, HOU at CHA, $12,000 – It feels like Harden has to be the play in tournaments over Lillard. While most people are definitely aware that Harden possesses a 45.8% usage rate and is averaging 1.90 DKFP per minute without Westbrook on the court in 2019-20, the fact that Lillard’s almost $2K cheaper should be enough of a draw to keep Harden’s ownership out of insane territory. Plus, the Arizona State product seems to have shaken out of his January funk, posting back-to-back performances with at least 70.0 DKFP. Charlotte’s defense doesn’t stand a chance.
Other Option: Lonzo Ball ($6,700)
ValueDonte DiVincenzo, MIL at NO, $4,200 – DiVincenzo’s floor has quietly been rising in recent weeks, as the Villanova product has produced at least 20.0 DKFP in 11 of his last 12 games. It’s a span that’s also seen DiVincenzo shoot below 50% from the field only twice, which has led directly to the 23-year-old averaging a respectable 11.7 points in his reserve role. It’s honestly hard to find a reason to not like the sophomore, as George Hill’s (hamstring) absence should open up a few extra minutes for DiVincenzo in a contest with an implied total of over 245 points.
StudTerry Rozier, CHA vs. HOU, $6,400 – Obviously two poor showings against San Antonio and Orlando are partially to blame, but it should be noted that Rozier’s price point hasn’t been this low since all the way back at the beginning of January. There’s a reason for that. Charlotte’s big free-agent acquisition went off last month, averaging a robust 21.3 points per game with an eye-popping .600 true shooting percentage. That’s a rare level of efficiency from Rozier. Considering Houston’s allowed the second-most DKFP per contest to opposing shooting guards this season, I like Rozier’s chances of bounce-back performance on Tuesday.
Other Option: DeMar DeRozan ($7,700)
ValueMalik Beasley, DEN vs. POR, $3,300 – Beasley would be far less valuable if Jamal Murray ($6,100) does make his return to the court this evening, but, barring that, this is a nice buying window for the 23-year-old. With so many names on the Nuggets’ injury report the past two games, Beasley’s logged over 24 minutes in each matchup, averaging 25.4 DKFP and hitting seven 3-pointers in the process. With the Blazers allowing 117.2 points per 100 possessions across their past five contests, Beasley should have little issue continuing to score if his role remains consistent.
StudBrandon Ingram, NO vs. MIL, $7,000 – There’s no point pretending that Ingram’s role hasn’t changed slightly due to the return of Zion Williamson ($7,100); however it would appear that the rookie’s presence has adjusted the All-Star’s price tag a little too much. For some context, Ingram hasn’t been this inexpensive on a slate since all the way back on Nov. 21. That’s a jarring enough fact on its own, yet it continues to confuse when you consider New Orleans’ massive implied team total on this slate or Ingram’s still useful 26.2% usage rate when sharing the court with Zion. Ingram will be popular this evening, but I believe he’ll be worth it.
Other Option: Will Barton ($6,500)
ValueCody Martin, CHA vs. HOU, $3,500 – Martin isn’t exactly known for his offensive acumen, as he’s scored double-digit points just three times in 2019-20, yet his recent role within the Hornets’ rotation is intriguing. With P.J. Washington (ankle) having missed Charlotte’s past two games, Martin’s logged the fifth-most minutes of any player on the roster, an opportunity which he used to generate 13 points and 34.0 DKFP on Monday versus Orlando. Plus, if there was ever a matchup where the 6’5 Martin could steal some minutes as a small-ball four, it’s against this center-averse Rockets squad.
Other Option: Danuel House Jr. ($5,100)
StudGiannis Antetokounmpo, MIL at NO, $11,400 – I don’t often pay up for the reigning MVP, but this feels like a script where he might have to play some meaningful basketball in the fourth quarter. The Pelicans have the eighth-best net rating in the NBA across their past 10 games (5.1) and they definitely have the talent to keep this contest competitive. In that same span, New Orleans also flaunts a tantalizing pace of 104.2 possessions per 48 minutes. Considering Antetokounmpo has averaged 67.0 DKFP the past five times he’s exceeded 30 minutes of action, this seems like a smash spot.
Other Option: Anthony Davis ($9,300)
ValueJerami Grant, DEN vs. POR, $5,700 – No need to overcomplicate things too much here. Grant’s simply been on the floor a lot for Mike Malone since taking over for the injured Paul Millsap (knee) in Denver’s starting five. In fact, across Grant’s past 14 starts, the veteran has averaged 33.5 minutes and 15.0 points per game. Aside from that, the 25-year-old has managed at least 35.0 DKFP in five of his last seven contests and Portland has generally been very kind to frontcourt players in 2019-20. He’s a cash-game play with some GPP upside.
StudLaMarcus Aldridge, SA at LAL, $6,200 – It needs to be said that isn’t the best matchup that Aldridge could possibly draw, but how are you going to ignore the seven-time All-Star at his lowest price point of the season? Yes, this stuff tends to happen on smaller slates, but it’s still odd to see this sort of extreme salary adjustment with Aldridge coming off a 50.25 DKFP effort against the Clippers on Monday evening. The 34-year-old hasn’t been the most consistent DFS commodity in 2019-20, yet you literally can’t buy him any lower.
Other Option: Nikola Jokic ($10,000)
ValueCody Zeller, CHA vs. HOU, $5,200 – There’s some risk here, as the Hornets might decide to match-up with the undersized Rockets, but Zeller should be able to own the glass if given the opportunity. In fact, Houston sports a league-low 45.3% total rebounding rate in its past five games. Surprisingly, Zeller is also averaging 7.3 potential assists per start in Charlotte’s last three contests. He’s been stuffing the stat sheet.
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