Not that every NBA matchup doesn’t offer something fun or interesting, yet tonight’s five-game featured slate on DraftKings is maybe the most watchable and balanced evening of regular season basketball I can remember seeing in a while. Clippers-76ers and Celtics-Rockets speak for themselves, Blazers-Pelicans has two of the hottest teams in the league and Zion Williamson ($7,400), while Spurs-Thunder highlights the incredible trio of guards Oklahoma City trots out each night. Heck, even Bulls-Wizards should be a competitive affair that pits Zach LaVine ($8,200) against Bradley Beal ($9,500).
I’m already planning to be glued to my couch for five hours, but adding a few DFS lineups to the mix certainly won’t hurt matters. Let’s dissect Tuesday’s slate position-by-position.
PLAYS TO CONSIDER
Set your lineups here: NBA $400K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st].
StudDamian Lillard, POR at NO, $10,300 – Lillard’s basically been an unstoppable force in recent weeks and I don’t think that trend is coming to an end in what should be a very uptempo spot. Across their past 10 games, the Pelicans have played at the NBA’s second-highest pace (105.7), which should create a bunch of extra possessions for Lillard to continue his assault on the scoresheet. In fact, since Jan. 20, the All-Star has averaged a jaw-dropping 1.81 DKFP per minute played, the direct result of a 36.2% usage rate within that span of time. I’d be shocked if he isn’t hovering around 40 points once again this evening.
Other Option: Russell Westbrook ($9,900)
ValueTomas Satoransky, CHI at WAS, $4,900 – Satoransky’s taken advantage of his prior two meetings with the Wizards, averaging 33.8 DKFP per start against his former squad in 2019-20. It’s not hard to see why this has happened, either. While Satoransky isn’t a high usage player for the Bulls, he does consistently see a lot of time on the court. To that point, the 28-year-old has logged 30 minutes of action in five of his past seven contests. Simply being present is enough against Washington, as the team concedes the most points (120.4) and the fourth-most assists (25.8) per game to its opponents.
Other Option: Dejounte Murray ($5,200)
StudShai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC vs. SA, $6,700 – Gilgeous-Alexander’s value tends to rise and fall with his rebounding numbers, but the most tempting aspect of Tuesday’s matchup with San Antonio is the scoring potential. The sophomore, who has logged at least 30 minutes in every game he’s played since Nov. 27, has produced 22.7 points across his last three starts. I’d anticipate Gilgeous-Alexander having little trouble meeting or surpassing that threshold this evening, as the Spurs own the league’s worst defensive rating over their past five contests (125.7).
Other Option: Bradley Beal ($9,500)
ValueBryn Forbes, SA at OKC, $3,500 – Forbes only really has any value if DeMar DeRozan (back) is ruled out for the second-straight night; however, if that’s the case, it’s easy to be intrigued by a man who’s exceeded 7x value in three of his past four starts. Forbes isn’t usually the first or second option for San Antonio, but he’s sure to see a few more looks with DeRozan’s team-leading 27.7% usage rate sitting on the bench. The fact he’s shooting 54.2% (13-for-24) from 3-point range since Feb. 4 doesn’t hurt, either.
EDITOR’S NOTE: DeRozan (back) is doubtful for tonight’s game.
Other Option: Gary Trent Jr. ($4,400)
StudJayson Tatum, BOS at HOU, $8,400 – Though Tatum’s value won’t benefit from Jaylen Brown ($6,600) being listed as probable for this evening’s tilt in Houston, the All-Star is no longer dependant on roster quirks to be viable. In fact, few players in the league have been better than Tatum since the calendar flipped over to February. So far this month, the third-year forward is averaging 28.8 points per game and is shooting 53.3% from beyond the arc. In short, he’s been amazing. I have my doubts the Rockets will be able to contain him, as they’ve allowed opposing perimeter players to score the most DKFP per contest in 2019-20.
Other Option: Kawhi Leonard ($9,300)
ValueRobert Covington, HOU vs. BOS, $5,200 – Covington’s played three games with Houston since being traded from Minnesota and, in the two he’s lined up next to James Harden ($11,400) and Westbrook, he’s thrived. With his talented new teammates creating open shots, Covington’s averaged 33.1 DKFP and 4.0 made 3-pointers in matchups against solid defensive squads like the Lakers and the Jazz. Unless one of the Rockets’ two All-Stars gets ruled out prior to tip, Covington’s in a very nice situation.
Other Option: Danuel House Jr. ($4,800)
StudLaMarcus Aldridge, SA at OKC, $6,700 – Another Spurs player, another DeRozan-shaped asterisk. If San Antonio is without their leading scorer on Tuesday, Aldridge is simply too cheap. The veteran’s usage rate jumps from 22.2% when sharing the floor with DeRozan to an eye-popping 29.5% when the former All-Star is on the sideline. It’s not just about volume, either. Aldridge actually possesses a higher true shooting percentage (.615) with DeRozan off the court than with him on it. There’s a reason he dropped 33 points against the Nuggets on Monday.
Other Option: Zion Williamson ($7,400)
ValueMoe Wagner, WAS vs. CHI, $4,300 – Wagner’s minutes have steadily increased since he returned from a lengthy injury absence, culminating in the forward scoring 33.25 DKFP in 24 minutes of work on Saturday against Memphis. I’m expecting more volume tonight versus Chicago. Washington will be without Thomas Bryant (foot), which should open up some extra opportunities for Wagner and that can only mean good things with the 22-year-old’s .684 true shooting percentage. Playing time and efficiency are never a bad combination.
Other Option: Carmelo Anthony ($4,900)
StudHassan Whiteside, POR at NO, $8,100 – Whiteside’s been a little inconsistent in recent weeks, yet the big man has still exceeded 40.0 DKFP in 25 of his last 34 games. Plus, while the lows have been more frequent, the highs have monstrous, as Whiteside has posted 50-plus DKFP in six of his past 11 starts. He should be able to rack up the rebounds in an uptempo script with all the shot attempts you could imagine.
ValueDerrick Favors, NO vs. POR, $5,000 – Obviously, it’s slightly concerning that Favors’ numbers tend to fall off a cliff with Williamson active, but the upside of tonight’s matchup overrides those hesitations. The veteran is averaging a respectable 1.09 DKFP per minute played so far in 2019-20 and Portland’s defense remains susceptible despite the team’s recent success. In fact, the Blazers are surrendering 117.0 opponent points per 100 possessions so far in February. That’s terrible.
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theglt13) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.