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Here are some players to target for tonight’s main 10-game NBA slate on DraftKings:
StudBen Simmons, PHI vs. BKN, $8,700 — In the last couple of games with Joel Embiid (finger) injured, Simmons has played a bigger role. He doesn’t see increased usage or production with Embiid off the court, but he’s still picking up extra production since Philly is playing him extra minutes down an All-Star. In the last two games, he’s playing nearly 40 minutes per night and averaging 45.88 DKFP.
ValueMonte Morris, DEN vs. CHA, $3,600 — The Nuggets are dealing with a pair of backcourt injuries. Both Jamaal Murray ($6,800) and Gary Harris ($4,700) are questionable to play. If either of both are out, there’s a ton of value on the Nuggets and it’s a plus matchup since the Hornets are 27th in the league in defensive efficiency. If Murray can’t play, Morris would likely start at point guard. He’s yet to enter the starting lineup this season, although we saw him start a handful of times last season. In five starts, he scored over 40 DKFP in three of them.
StudBuddy Hield, SAC vs. DAL, $6,500 — This is a buy-low spot on Hield. After struggling to score fantasy points in a couple of games, it looked like he busted out of his slump by scoring 35.25 DKFP in the Kings’ last game. Considering he scored at least 34 DKFP in six straight games prior to his two-game cold spell, he has plenty of upside at this salary.
ValueMalik Beasley, DEN vs. CHA, $3,000 — Just like Monte Morris, Beasley could potentially enter the Nuggets’ starting lineup depending on how the injuries break. Beasley benefits the most if Gary Harris is ruled out. Last season, Beasley made 18 starts and scored 15.9 points per game. Just with scoring and no other stats, his average point as a starter last year would be enough for him to hit 5x salary tonight.
StudLeBron James, LAL vs. ORL, $10,400 — After missing the last three games, Anthony Davis ($10,000) remains questionable to play. Despite a poor matchup against the Magic, I think LeBron would be worth considering if Anthony Davis is out. When AD is off the court, LeBron’s usage rating jumps to 36.8% and he scores 58.39 DKFP per 36 minutes.
ValueTerrence Ross, ORL at LAL, $4,400 — In recent games with D.J. Augustin sidelined, the Magic have relied on Ross to play bigger minutes. Since Augustin is listed as doubtful to play tonight, I expect more of the same for Ross. He’s an extremely high-variance player, so I wouldn’t trust him in cash games, but for GPPs, he has a pretty high ceiling. Ross isn’t afraid to shoot and has a usage rating north of 20% in five of his last six games. Whether or not those shots go in is a crapshoot from night-to-night.
StudTobias Harris, PHI vs. BKN, $6,900 — As mentioned above, Joel Embiid remains out for tonight’s game. When he’s off the court, Harris leads the 76ers with a 25.9% usage rating. Unfortunately, this hasn’t amounted to much since Harris hasn’t been able to make his shots in the last couple of games without Embiid. At least it didn’t prevent him from firing and he averaged 19 shots in the last two games. Harris should start making those shots at his normal rate, leading to more fantasy points.
ValueMarvin Bagley III, SAC vs. DAL, $5,700 — In his second game back from a foot injury Bagley should see a bump in playing time. In his first game back, he scored 29 DKFP in 23 minutes. In a best-case scenario, we might even see him back in the starting lineup since Richaun Holmes is still out. For the season, Bagley is averaging 26.05 DKFP in 23.5 minutes, so if he starts and pushes for close to 30 minutes, he shouldn’t have much trouble paying off his salary. If he comes off the bench and remains on a tight minutes restriction, Bagley is a much weaker play.
StudAl Horford, PHI vs. BKN, $6,700 — Just like Tobias Harris, Horford sees a pretty sizable usage bump when Embiid is off the court. Horford’s usage goes up by 3.9% without the Sixers’ All-Star center on the court, leading to 41.14 DKFP per 36 minutes. In the last three games, Horford is averaging 37.67 DKFP and he draws a nice matchup against the Nets, who have struggled against big men for years.
ValueCody Zeller, CHA at DEN, $3,900 — Zeller is a sneaky play tonight. He entered the Hornets’ starting lineup last game, which is a role he’s familiar with. Zeller has made 21 starts this season and averaged 26.08 DKFP. I am not sure if the Hornets will stick with Zeller as the starting center, but he probably should. He has the best chance of any of the team’s big men matching up against Nikola Jokic (10,100).
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.