Luka Doncic

Monday’s seven-game slate has so pretty strong spots to pay up for, along with different options to balance out your lineup. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:

IS LUKA DONCIC A MUST PLAY AT GUARD TONIGHT?

Set your lineups here: NBA $450K Big Jam [$100K to 1st]

Point Guard

Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($10,300) at CHI (4th)

Doncic sat out Sunday with a thumb injury, but should return without any restrictions on Monday. We get Luka at a great discount against a Bulls defense that’s looked absolutely dreadful lately. Doncic posted a 38-11-10 line against the Bulls earlier this season, good for 74.25 DKFP.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Doncic (thumb) is listed as probable for tonight’s game.

Best value: Mike Conley ($5,400) at CLE (29th)

Conley has been a bust for the majority of the season, but his safe role in the starting five is starting to help him contribute. He’s generally playing over 30 minutes, and has scored 28-plus DKFP in seven of his past eight games, scoring over 32 DKFP in six of them.

Positional Strategy 

As I’m writing this article, Monday’s NBA injury news is absolutely all over the place, so just be prepared. With Zach LaVine (quad) now doubtful, Coby White ($5,800) — who’s probable with a back injury — suddenly becomes one of the most intriguing plays on the slate.


Shooting Guard

Target worth paying up for: James Harden ($10,500) at NYK (5th)

Harden’s failed to reach 50 DKFP in consecutive games, and Russell Westbrook ($10,000) has been picking up the slack. Both are fine plays at MSG, I’m just worried they will take too much production away from each other with other strong plays on the board. I think both are safe value, although I may lean to Westbrook if I have to play one.

Best Value: Dillon Brooks ($5,300) at ATL (30th)

Brooks has played at least 30 minutes and scored 29 or more DKFP in each of the past three games for the thin Grizzlies. Brooks is averaging 32.8 DKFP in 35 minutes per game in the past three. With a massive total against the Hawks, this matchup leaves a ton of fantasy upside.

Positional Strategy

Cam Reddish ($4,300) is another name worth mentioning here, but again, injuries will wind up dictating who the best plays on this slate are.

EDITOR’S NOTE: Reddish (back) is questionable for tonight’s game.


Small Forward

Target worth paying up for: DeMar DeRozan ($7,300) vs. IND (3rd)

DeRozan was average on Saturday against the Magic, but he went for over 50 DKFP in the first game LaMarcus Aldridge missed due to a shoulder injury. With LMA likely still out, lock DDR in as a high-upside play at a very fair salary.

EDITOR’S NOTE: LaMarcus Aldridge (shoulder) has been ruled out tonight vs. the Pacers.

Best Value: Kevin Porter Jr. ($4,900) vs. UTA (15th)

KPJ has been a very bright spot for the Cavs recently. He broke out for 51.5 DKFP against the Heat four games ago, and has been a consistent threat since. He’s a good tournament play with 30-plus DKFP upside. Utah is extremely overrated on defense.

Positional Strategy 

Unless you like DeRozan, and I think there will be stronger plays to pay for on this slate than him, SF is a value position. There should be three to four SF value plays listed in the article.


Power Forward

Target worth paying up for: Julius Randle ($7,700) vs. HOU (7th)

Randle is surprisingly cheap for his recent production, and I think the matchup against Houston will play into his favor. Being a double-digit underdog could limit Randle’s ceiling, but if this one stays close enough until the end, Randle should get plenty of good opportunities against smaller players.

Best value: Kyle Anderson ($4,400) at ATL (23rd)

Memphis is one of the best overall value teams to target. Anderson has nearly been a DKFP-per-minute player this season, but his numbers are very skewed lately. Anderson scored 28.25 DKFP in just 18 minutes against the Rockets three games ago. Since then, injuries have given him 32 minutes per game, but he’s averaging less than 16 DKFP in those games. Playing over 30 minutes in this one against the Hawks leaves the potential for a huge bounce-back.

Positional Strategy 

Many of those SF plays also apply to PF. Maxi Kleber ($4,400) is also a strong play against the Bulls’ frontcourt with Kristaps Porzingis resting for Dallas.


Center

Target worth paying up for: Jonas Valanciunas ($6,800) at ATL (30th)

Valanciunas is one of the best overall plays on this slate. The Hawks are one of the worst teams against centers in the NBA, and Jonas has ripped down 45 rebounds in his past two games. Averaging over 50 DKFP, this spot brings as his a ceiling as you could hope for, without much of a salary boost.

Best value: Trey Lyles ($4,800)/Drew Eubanks ($3,000) vs. IND (12th)

Aldridge is the big name on the injury report, but Jakob Poeltl (knee) is also sidelined now. This pretty much leaves Lyles and Eubanks as the only options at center. Lyles is coming off a 40-minute, 45-DKFP game.

Positional Strategy 

Lyles and Eubanks both have PF eligibility, so there’s a ton of flexibility on this slate. If you play Valanciunas, who’s essentially a lock in cash, there’s still room for another center outside of playing one of the Spurs in a forward spot.


Key news to monitor on DK Live:

QUESTIONABLE

Aaron Gordon (knee) EDITOR’S NOTE: Gordon (knee) has been ruled out.
Cam Reddish (back)
Anfernee Simons (ankle)
Reggie Bullock (illness)

PROBABLE

Luka Doncic (thumb)
Khris Middleton (neck)
Willie Cauley-Stein (personal)

DOUBTFUL

Zach LaVine (quad)
Andre Drummond (calf) EDITOR’S NOTE: Drummond (calf) has been ruled out.
LaMarcus Aldridge (shoulder) EDITOR’S NOTE: Aldridge (shoulder) has been ruled out.

OUT

Damian Lillard (groin)
Kristaps Porzingis (rest)
Tristan Thompson (knee)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee)
Brandon Clarke (quad)
Darius Garland (groin)
Dennis Smith Jr. (concussion)
Jakob Poeltl (knee)
Chandler Hutchison (shoulder)
Dewayne Dedmon (shoulder)
Tyler Herro (foot)
Luke Kornet (ankle)
Dante Exum (ankle)

Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.