John Collins

Tuesday’s six-game NBA slate has some serious star power, but fortunately, some value plays to help us build around those pieces. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:

TOP VALUES TO CONSIDER


Point Guard

Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($12,600) at GSW (27th)

The potential return of Kristaps Porzingis (knee) could take some value away from Doncic, but he has absolutely dominated this matchup this season. In a pair of games against GSW, Doncic is averaging 33-13-11 for 77.5 DKFP. Doncic has been a better play on the road in general, averaging 6.5 DKFP more per game — 62.4 DKFP per game.

Best value: Alec Burks ($5,300) vs. DAL (3rd)

Damion Lee is still in the G-League while the Warriors work on his long-term contract offer, and Jordan Poole (ankle) may not play in this game. That opens up some extra minutes on the wing for the likes of Burks. Burks’ salary is down $1,200 over his last four games, despite a pair of games with over 30 DKFP.

Positional Strategy

Paying up at guard will be popular. Outside of Doncic and James Harden ($13,000), Devin Booker ($8,200) could make a lot of sense. He’ll face Atlanta’s defense with Ricky Rubio (personal) sidelined.


Shooting Guard

Target worth paying up for: James Harden ($13,000) at MEM (28th)

Harden’s salary is pretty wild, but he’s arguably in one of his best spots of the season. Memphis plays at a pace that will match Houston’s and is terrible defensively against guards. Russell Westbrook (rest) will sit this one out, as he did last time against Memphis, which led to 73.5 DKFP from Harden. Harden dropped 81 DKFP the last game Westbrook sat out.

Best value: Ben McLemore ($3,500) at MEM (28th)

The trickledown effect of Westbrook’s absence gives us multiple targets on Houston. McLemore is coming off 26.25 DKFP in the last game Russ sat, playing 32 minutes in Atlanta. He should play a similar role in this one.

Positional Strategy

Harden’s your chalk play, and outside of Booker, there isn’t really another option to pay up for. Forget other targets, simply fading Harden in tournaments will make you contrarian.


Small Forward

Target worth paying up for: Kawhi Leonard ($10,000) vs. CLE (11th)

Paul George (hamstring) will remain sidelined in this one, which has led to extra chances for Kawhi lately. PG hasn’t played in any of the last three games that Kawhi has played in, and Kawhi has played at least 35 minutes and attempted at least 24 field goals in each of those games. The matchup helps Kawhi’s ceiling.

Best value: Glenn Robinson III ($4,200) vs. DAL (3rd)

The Lee/Poole situations leave more minutes to be claimed on the wing than Burks can handle. Robinson is another candidate to see a boost, and he is already averaging over 25 DKFP in his last four games, playing no fewer than 27 minutes in any game.

Positional Strategy

Kawhi is in a good spot, but not as good as Harden or Doncic. He’s a contrarian GPP target for that reason. If you want a more traditional build, Warriors and Rockets value targets will be needed.


Power Forward

Target worth paying up for: Kevin Love ($7,200) at LAC (25th)

Love was a nice value on Monday’s slate, scoring 39.25 DKFP in 33 minutes of a blowout loss. The Clippers are shorthanded and don’t defend the PF position well at all. He’s in a good spot for another 40-DKFP double-double at a reasonable salary.

Best value: P.J. Tucker ($3,700) at MEM (18th)

Tucker played just two minutes on Saturday because of a shoulder injury, which took his salary down a notch. The last time Russ sate, he scored 37.75 DKFP in 34 minutes. Look for a bounce-back in a good matchup.

Positional Strategy

PF is another value spot. Paying up at either forward position will be a tournament strategy given the guard plays. A Kawhi/Love game stack could be really off the map.


Center

Target worth paying up for: John Collins ($8,300) vs. PHO (26th)

Alex Len (back) has been ruled out, which should mean more frontcourt minutes for Collins. Collins also has a fantastic matchup against the Suns, leaving him in a strange spot at center — a lacking position on this slate.

Best value: DeAndre Jordan ($4,400) vs. UTA (16th)

Jordan’s been really solid in limited minutes, scoring at least 21 DKFP in eight of his last 10. That includes a matchup against Utah, where Jordan dropped over 50 DKFP. If he can scratch anything close to that surface in this one, he could be one of the best values on the slate.

Positional Strategy

This is a rare slate where we don’t have multiple expensive center targets worth paying for. Clint Capela ($7,800) should be a popular play in the game in Memphis, which I’m hoping limits Collins’ ownership.


Key news to monitor on DK Live:

QUESTIONABLE

Kristaps Porzingis (knee)
Jae Crowder (hip)
Brandon Clarke (thumb)
Jordan Poole (ankle)
Kyle Anderson (foot)

PROBABLE

Donovan Mitchell (illness)
Reggie Bullock (thigh)
Mitchell Robinson (toe)

DOUBTFUL

Frank Ntilikina (groin)

OUT

Russell Westbrook (rest)
Ricky Rubio (personal)
Paul George (hamstring)
Marcus Morris (neck)
Damion Lee (contract)
Alex Len (back)
Garrett Temple (knee)
Ante Zizic (illness)
Robin Lopez (rest)

Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.