Thursday’s just a four-game slate in the NBA, and we have some big names at the top of the board already ruled out. This should make for a very interesting slate. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:
BETS TO CONSIDER
Target worth paying up for: Chris Paul ($7,900) vs. SAC (15th)Paul’s a little overpriced, but the amount of value we have from injuries means we have to spend up for average plays in certain spots. CP3 is averaging a mediocre 37.5 DKFP in a pair of games against Sacramento this season, which is just barely above his standard average on the season.
Best value: Rajon Rondo ($3,500) at GSW (18th)Rondo will be one of two or three Lakers who wind up the highest owned plays on the slate. His numbers are all over the place, but LeBron James’ (groin) absence means Rondo should play significantly more minutes as a primary ball handler. I’d eat the chalk in tournaments and try and be different elsewhere.
Positional StrategyRondo’s going to garner massive ownership. If you use a second PG, I’d probably just slot McCollum in, allowing you to capitalize on more LAL/PHI wing value.
Target worth paying up for: CJ McCollum ($9,000) at IND (2nd)McCollum is probably worth paying up for regardless of how much value you’re using. No Damian Lillard (groin) in the three games since the break has meant 50-plus DKFP for CJ in each outing, averaging over 60 DKFP.
Best Value: The rest of the LAL wingsIt’s really just about picking the play you like best, the salary that fits best for you, or just mixing and matching guys if you’re playing multiple lineups. But no LeBron means plenty more upside for Danny Green ($3,700), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($3,600) and Avery Bradley ($3,300). Take your pick.
Positional StrategyThe Lakers’ wing values are above, and there are Philly options as well. This is a simple slate, don’t overthink.
Target worth paying up for: Tobias Harris ($7,500) vs. NYK (17th)Joel Embiid (shoulder) has been ruled out following a tough-looking injury a night earlier. With Ben Simmons (back) out, Philly has a ton of production to make up. Harris seems like the most obvious solution to do that, and a matchup against the Knicks brings upside. The downside? Harris was garbage with Embiid playing just eight minutes against the Cavs last night, scoring 28 DKFP in 36 minutes. I’d expect a bounce-back game though.
Best Value: Furkan Korkmaz ($4,400) vs. NYK (5th)It was odd to see Korkmaz get just 25 minutes last night with Embiid going down, but we know he has the potential to play over 30. He shot just 4-of-12 against Cleveland, so abettor shooting night should give him 30 DKFP upside as well.
Positional StrategyHarris should be the chalk play on Philly, but it’s tough not to play at least two Sixers.
Target worth paying up for: Al Horford ($5,200) vs. NYK (12th)It hasn’t been Horford’s season, but this has to be Horford’s night. He stepped up with 30 DKFP against the Cavs, and he should play a much larger role in the paint with Embiid ascent. Playing three Sixers shouldn’t be an issue with just four games.
Best value: Kyle Kuzma ($3,900) at GSW (27th)Kuzma is the top LAL value piece with Rondo. Kuz has attempted at least 10 field goals in three straight games, which could easily double against the Warriors. He doesn’t do much else but score, but the scoring chances alone could be enough to be one of the top values on this slate.
Positional StrategyI would have a really tough time not having Horford and Kuzma in my lineup tonight. The way to take advantage in GPPs is likely to just fade one and play anyone else.
Target worth paying up for: Anthony Davis ($10,300) at GSW (4th)I shouldn’t need to sell you on AD. No LeBron on a four-game slate makes this automatic. No Embiid, Simmons, Dame means no other options to pay up for, even if you wanted to.
Best value: Hassan Whiteside ($8,800) at IND (15th)However, because those injuries provide so much value, we can spend up more in other places. No need to dig for value, just toss a couple of expensive centers in. Whiteside’s a walking double-double, his salary’s on the decline, and no Dame does benefit him slightly.
Positional StrategyI moved AD to center because there are so many strong PF options. I’ll likely roster him at center, which leaves the only question if you’re playing two of them. Nerlens Noel ($3,300) is your value if you need it.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:
PROBABLEDraymond Green (pelvic)
OUTLeBron James (groin)
Joel Embiid (shoulder)
Damian Lillard (groin)
Ben Simmons (back)
Jeremy Lamb (knee)
Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.
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