Monday’s eight-game NBA slate has a ton of value on the board, but also should provide the spend up spots to balance out lineups. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:
TOP OPTION TO CONSIDER
Set your lineups here: NBA $500K MEGA Mini-Max [$100K to 1st, 150 Entry Max]
Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($10,500) vs. MIN (25th)
Doncic is probable to return from an ankle injury that held him out on Saturday, but it was also the second night of a road back-to-back. Doncic has scored at least 60 DKFP in each of his two games back from the ankle injury, and Minnesota has provided little resistance on defense recently.
Best value: Kendrick Nunn ($5,600) at CLE (29th)
Sometimes it’s best not to overthink things. Butler (personal) missed the last game for Miami and he will miss Monday’s game, as well. Nunn dropped 46 DKFP on the Cavs in 35 minutes, and he plays in the same matchup on this slate.
PG has strong plays and deep values all over the place. I couldn’t resist featuring Nunn, but if you need deeper plays, guys like George Hill ($3,000) pop for minimum salary.
Target worth paying up for: James Harden ($11,000) vs. NYK (5th)
After an inconsistent stretch, Harden’s scored over 60 DKFP in four straight. He seems like a safe option on Monday, but maybe his floor is a bit lower with the blowout potential over the Knicks. I prefer paying up elsewhere, but don’t have much bad to say about Harden.
Best value: Josh Richardson ($4,800) vs. ATL (30th)
Ben Simmons (back) has been ruled out, and Tobias Harris ($7,100; knee) is questionable. That should mean a lot of extra usage for Philly’s other stars against a brutal Atlanta defense. Richardson went for 30 DKFP in 30 minutes in his previous matchup against the Hawks, and he has a higher upside in this one.
Another reason Harden just might not fit in my build is all the SG value. Richardson, Nunn and Gordon are just a few…
Target worth paying up for: Play Value
SF has almost no appeal to me. The most expensive play I’d look at is Robert Covington ($6,000), but why even pay that much with Eric Gordon ($3,700) at his price?
Best value: Josh Jackson ($3,300) at LAC (6th)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee) will miss a couple of weeks, which means more minutes for Josh Jackson. Josh is averaging over 25 DKFP in his last two games, but his salary’s barely budged.
SF is like SG, but I don’t even think we have the option of a play to pay up for. Keep capitalizing on the wing value to pay at PG/PF/C.
Target worth paying up for: Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,400) at WAS (19th)
The only downside here is the blowout potential, leading to less minutes for Giannis. But the Bucks have blown out the opposition in both games since the break, and Giannis has scored over 65 DKFP in each of them. The Wizards matchup provides upside.
Best value: Al Horford ($4,500) vs. ATL (29th)
Horford’s salary just keeps tanking, but with the lack of bodies, you’d think he has to step up. If there’s a spot to do it, it’s at home against his former team. At this price, you don’t lose much if you miss. Fading a bust at high ownership could pay off in tournaments, though.
Horford could be the most popular play on the slate with his combo of matchup/price/injuries to benefit from. There’s other value all over the board if you want to differentiate, though.
Target worth paying up for: Joel Embiid ($9,500) vs. ATL (29th)
Embiid is probably the safest Philly play. He’s averaging 57 DKFP in a pair of contests against the Hawks this season, and should see plenty of extra chances given the injuries. His recent 69.5 DKFP against BKN and 64.5 DKFP against CHI show the upside he brings in good center matchups.
Best value: Gorgui Dieng ($3,400) at LAC (18th)
This is more trickledown from the Jackson injury for Memphis. Dieng scored 32.5 DKFP in 21 minutes on Friday, and should only see his role grow.
This is definitely a two center slate. Bam Adebayo ($8,500) is in a tremendous spot with Butler out, but Embiid just hardly edges him out as the better play for me. Robin Lopez ($3,000) should also fill in nicely for his injured brother at great value.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:
Paul George (hamstring)
Elfrid Payton (ankle)
Tobias Harris (knee)
Patrick Beverley (groin)
Willie Cauley-Stein (personal)
Davis Bertans (knee)
Luka Doncic (ankle)
DeAndre Ayton (ankle)
D’Angelo Russell (knee)
Kevin Love (Achilles)
Mitchell Robinson (ankle)
Karl-Anthony Towns (wrist)
Ben Simmons (back)
Jimmy Butler (personal)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee)
Brook Lopez (back)
Jalen Brunson (shoulder)
Tyler Herro (foot)
Thomas Byrant (rest)
Frank Ntilikina (groin)
Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.