WHERE TO FIND VALUE
Set your lineups here: NBA $400K Mini Heartbreaker [$100K to 1st]
Target worth paying up for: Trae Young ($10,400) at CLE (29th)Young’s a pretty obvious chalk play in this spot, bringing one of the highest fantasy ceilings in the league into a matchup against the lowly Cavs. Young dropped 63.5 DKFP against Cleveland in his lone matchup against its second-worst defense vs. PGs.
Best value: Victor Oladipo ($4,800) vs. MIL 9th)Oladipo continues to level off in salary at a much cheaper price point than we saw him at for his season debut. Playing over 25 minutes in three straight games, we’re eventually going to get a big game here.
Positional StrategyPG is a strong position all the way across the board. You’ll likely want to pay up for one and fit 2-3 in your lineup, especially with how the other wing positions look.
Target worth paying up for: Devin Booker ($8,400) vs. GSW (17th)Booker’s been listed here by default a few times recently, and we’re doing it again. Poor outings recently hold his salary in check, but he gets a great matchup to go off against the Dubs.
Best value: Pat Connaughton ($3,800) at IND (10th)Giannis Antetokounmpo’s (personal) absence clears out a lot of space for extra production on Milwaukee. Roster the Bucks as you please, but since Giannis also missed Monday’s game, salaries are adjusted for his absence. Connaughton is one of the more affordable plays that should see some extra chances with Giannis out.
Positional StrategyBooker’s fine if you want to play him, but I’d just focus on the value here. Pay for a PG and fill the rest of the guard spots with the strong value the slate offers.
Target worth paying up for: FADEI dug around for a SF play worth paying up for, and pending news updates, it’s just not there right now. Luka Doncic ($10,900) should see some ownership in his return from an ankle injury, but I’m not ready to trust him. Ankles have been an issue for him this season, and even if he produces 58 DKFP as he did against the Kings earlier this season, that’s not all that great a value for this price.
Best value: Dillon Brooks ($5,500) vs. POR (16th)Brooks is kind of a mid-salary play I have my eye on at SF. His salary has declined from a couple of bad games, so it’s a good time to strike. He’s also been almost 4.0 DKFP better at home this season.
Positional StrategySF is far and away the weakest position on the slate. I’ll probably roster a SG in the SF slot and that’ll be all for me here.
Target worth paying up for: Julius Randle ($8,600) vs. WAS (18th)Randle seems like another obvious play on this slate, coming off 64.5 DKFP against the Hawks. His role is expanded after the Marcus Morris trade, and he gets a spectacular matchup against the Wizards — who he’s averaging 56 DKFP against in two games this season.
Best value: James Johnson ($3,500) vs. CHA (7th)The Timberwolves are not a deep team, which has meant playing Johnson a decent amount since acquiring him. In the last two games with Minnesota, JJ’s averaging nearly 26 DKFP in 24 minutes per game. His salary doesn’t yet reflect his change in role.
Positional StrategyPF is a much stronger position, so aside from using a true PF in the PF slot, your extra forward should almost certainly be a PF, or someone you like with dual position eligibility.
CenterEDITOR’S NOTE: Timberwolves C Karl-Anthony Towns (wrist) is OUT tonight vs. the Hornets
Target worth paying up for: Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,500) vs. CHA (30th)
Best value: Dewayne Dedmon ($4,700) at CLE (22nd)Since getting shipped back to Atlanta, Dedmon’s been playing a huge role. Clint Capela (heel) has yet to make his team debut, creating an extra role for Dedmon, who was seldom used in Sacramento. Dedmon did catch on in his last few games before the trade though, now averaging 34.4 DKFP over his last four.
Positional StrategyCenter is probably worth doubling down on, and is an easier decision with how weak SF is. That leaves a potential forward spot open for another center play with PF eligibility.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:
QUESTIONABLELuka Doncic (ankle)
Kevin Love (Achilles)
Serge Ibaka (illness)
Mike Conley (illness)
Jabari Parker (shoulder)
PROBABLEAnthony Davis (finger)
DOUBTFULDeAndre Ayton (ankle)
OUTGiannis Antetokounmpo (personal)
Kyrie Irving (knee)
Clint Capela (heel)
Will Barton (knee)
Thomas Bryant (foot)
Michael Porter Jr. (ankle)
Cody Martin (concussion)
Tyler Herro (foot)
Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.