Monday’s nine-game NBA slate has a lot of angles we can capitalize on. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:
WHERE TO FIND VALUE
Set your lineups here: NBA $450K Fadeaway [$100K to 1st]
Target worth paying up for: De’Aaron Fox ($7,500) at MIL (2nd)
Fox’s salary takes a dip after a couple of poor games, leaving him underpriced in Milwaukee. While the matchup/spot aren’t ideal, Fox did go off for 56.25 DKFP against the Bucks in Sacramento this season.
Best value: Ky Bowman ($4,200) vs. MIA (1st)
All of the sudden Bowman is the Warriors’ starting PG. This is another tough matchup, but Bowman’s underpriced for his role. Bowman scored 26 DKFP in 29 minutes in the first game since the trade deadline.
There’s probably too much value for me to pay up at PG. Bowman is one of just a handful of guard plays under $5,000 that are good plays.
Target worth paying up for: Devin Booker ($8,000) at Lakers (1st)
Booker is the safe place to pay up at guard. He gives you a safe floor and comes at a reasonable salary. Like Fox, we have to be somewhat concerned by the blowout potential in this game.
Best value: Victor Oladipo ($4,200) vs. BKN (9th)
Oladipo is a tremendous value on this slate. He was $6,000 when he returned, and now his salary plummets while his role only increases — 25.25 DKFP in 28 minutes last game. Look for that role to keep growing.
SG is another position that I’m focused on value. Every play I’m looking at is $5,800 or less, with Booker just being a default spend up spot.
Target worth paying up for: Khris Middleton ($7,900) vs. SAC (17th)
Middleton has dropped 40 or more DKFP in five of his past six games, so he’s a strong play on this slate no matter what. But it’s trending toward Giannis Antetokounmpo (personal) not playing, opening up a smash spot for Middleton. He scored 76.5 DKFP against the Wizards without Giannis a couple of weeks ago.
Best value: Mikal Bridges ($4,800) at LAL (2nd)
Bridges is consistently playing over 30 minutes, so his salary is just too cheap for his role. He can be a 30-DKFP piece on any given slate, and provides a very safe floor.
The SF position will all hinge on Giannis. Middleton will become the chalk play, and is an obvious piece to lock in. Differentiate yourself elsewhere.
Target worth paying up for: Kristaps Porzingis ($8,400) vs. UTA (3rd)
KP had a rough go against the Wizards, but that was a game during which he broke his nose. He missed one game, but is good to go here. The decrease in salary doesn’t make sense and Utah has been pretty poor defending bigs.
Best value: Jae Crowder ($4,500) at GSW (5th)
Crowder was spectacular in his Heat debut, scoring 45.75 DKFP in 35 minutes. Jimmy Butler (shoulder) will remain out, and the matchup against Golden State is soft. Crowder is significantly underpriced for the time being.
Crowder is probably my favorite play on the slate, and PF might be the deepest position. This could be a slate to look for jam a few PF plays into your lineup.
Target worth paying up for: Bam Adebayo ($8,200) at GSW (16th)
Bam’s been extremely consistent, scoring 40-plus DKFP in five straight. He also gets a boost with Butler out, and the matchup is one he can dominate against the Warriors. This is a high-floor/high-ceiling spot for Bam.
Best value: John Henson ($3,700) vs. CHA (30th)
Henson’s looking like he’ll play a solid role for Detroit, scoring 20 DKFP in his Pistons debut. The Hornets are the worst in the league defending bigs, so this could be a strong spot in limited minutes.
If you want to fade a chalky Bam, Nikola Jokic ($10,200) is more expensive, but still doing absolutely everything for Denver. We can safely keep going back to him, especially if he’s under the radar.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:
Giannis Antetokounmpo (personal)
DeAndre Ayton (ankle)
D’Angelo Russell (quad)
Kyle Lowry (neck)
Cam Reddish (concussion)
Jabari Parker (shoulder)
Svi Mykhailiuk (hip)
Jimmy Butler (shoulder)
Markieff Morris (illness)
Derrick Rose (hip)
Luka Doncic (ankle)
Kyrie Irving (knee)
Clint Capela (heel)
Will Barton (knee)
Michael Porter Jr. (ankle)
Marc Gasol (hamstring)
Tyler Herro (foot)
Cody Martin (concussion)
Alex Len (hip)
George Hill (hamstring)
Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.