Miami Heat v Portland Trail Blazers

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Here are some players to target for tonight’s main seven-game NBA slate on DraftKings:


POINT GUARD

Stud

Damian Lillard, POR vs. ATL, $10,100 — Last time out against the Nets, Lillard went off for a career-high 60 points. He also scored a season-high 75 DKFP and has scored more than 50 DKFP in seven of the Trail Blazers’ nine games. Lillard isn’t getting much help on offense this season, forcing him to carry the load. He should be able to keep his strong start to the season going in a plus individual matchup against Trae Young. Last season, Young ranked last in the league amongst all point guards in Defensive Real Plus-Minus.

Value

Raul Neto, PHI vs. CHA, $4,500 — On most days, it would seem crazy to play Neto for any salary. This seems especially true when he’s priced higher than the bare minimum. However, he’s forced into playing heavy minutes because Ben Simmons is injured. The Sixers don’t have much point guard depth, and Neto has played more than 30 minutes in back-to-back games with Simmons ailing. Neto averaged 26.1 DKFP in those two games.


SHOOTING GUARD

Stud

Devin Booker, PHO vs. BKN, $7,900 — The matchup between the Nets and Suns is a game we want exposure to. It has a 233-point total, the highest total of the day by a decent margin. The Suns are favored and Booker has scored at least 42 DKFP in four of the Suns’ five wins. He’s been producing better at home this season, averaging an additional 5.03 DKFP when playing in Phoenix.

Value

Norman Powell, TOR at LAL, $4,000 — The defending champs are dealing with injuries. Both Kyle Lowry (thumb) and Serge Ibaka (ankle) are expected to miss multiple games after getting banged up the Raptors’ more recent game. I expect Powell will benefit the most of anybody on the roster. He started the second half in place of Lowry and ended up scoring 25.5 DKFP. He’s my favorite value play on tonight’s slate and somebody who shouldn’t be on the waiver wire in yearly leagues.


SMALL FORWARD

Stud

Jabari Parker, ATL at POR, $6,800 — The pricing hasn’t quite caught up to Parker’s new role. He’s starting at power forward for the Hawks because of the John Collins PED suspension and is averaging 35.1 DKFP in his first three starts. It also seems like the Hawks are willing to start giving Parker more minutes. Last game, he played a season-high 32 minutes and scored 42.5 DKFP. Without Collins, Parker is the only player on Atlanta other than Trae Young capable of creating offense for himself.

Value

Kyle Kuzma, LAL vs. TOR, $4,300 — Kuzma is off to a slow start as he works off rust. He missed the start of the season with a sprained ankle and returned on a minutes restriction. The Lakers are starting to get him more playing time, and he got up to 25 minutes Friday night. This means he could push for close to 30 minutes tonight, which would have him close to a full workload. Kuzma was priced as high as $8,000 last season, and this figures to be the low point of his price tag for this season.


POWER FORWARD

Stud

Anthony Davis, LAL vs. TOR, $9,900 — Even though the Raptors have a tough defense, it figures to drop off now that Ibaka and Lowry are out. Davis is at his lowest salary of the season for an assumed difficult matchup that might not be as tough as the numbers indicate. In his only game against the Raptors last season, he had a 25-20 line with 63 DKFP.

Value

Taj Gibson, NYK vs. CLE, $4,000 — Mitchell Robinson is in concussion protocol and has been ruled out of tonight’s game. Without Robinson on Friday night, the Knicks turned to Gibson to start at center. He scored 25 DKFP in 27 minutes, and he likely would have played more if not for foul trouble. Gibson ended the game with five fouls, and it seems like he played well enough to earn himself another start. Fizdale likes to mess around with starting lineups, so we need to make sure Gibson is starting. If he comes off the bench then he loses appeal as a value play.


CENTER

Stud

Joel Embiid, PHI vs. CHA, $9,100 — Even though he wasn’t great Friday, Embiid should benefit from the absence of Simmons. Embiid had a season-high 43% usage rating but wasn’t able to knock down his shots. His offense should come easier against the Hornets, who rank 21st in defensive efficiency.

Value

Chris Boucher, TOR at LAL, $3,200 — Boucher should pick up some of the minutes left behind by Ibaka. As mentioned above, Ibaka is not playing tonight. We don’t have much NBA data on Boucher, but he was a monster in the G League last season. Playing with the Raptors’ affiliate team, he averaged 27.2 points, 11.4 rebounds and 4.1 blocks per game. Obviously, I don’t expect anywhere near those numbers, although this suggests he should be a decent fantasy producer and he probably needs only 20 or so minutes to put up a big game at his salary.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is gehrenberg) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.