Wednesday’s nine-game NBA main slate splits the difference between Monday and Tuesday. Monday should be one of the highest-scoring slates we see all season, with plenty of 325-plus point lineups failing to cash. Tuesday was much tougher to build a lineup with high upside plays, but you didn’t even need 300 points to get paid out. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:
Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($9,800) vs. ORL (27th)
Outside of Orlando playing at one of the slowest paces in the league, everything sets up for a huge spot for Doncic. The Magic still ranks poorly against guards, and Doncic’s been going off in recent games — consecutive 73-plus DKFP outings. Doncic is half an assist away from averaging a triple-double right now, which speaks to how safe his daily value is.
Best value: Isaiah Thomas ($5,300) at IND (12th)
IT has been inserted into the starting lineup for Washington, which should lead to more minutes. Thomas matched a season-high with 24 minutes on Monday, but he shot just 4-for-12 from the field. If he can get just a couple more minutes, and shoot closer to his average, a 40-DKFP game is on the horizon.
Even without Eric Gordon (hamstring), the 15.5 spread in Houston gives me concern with rostering the Houston backcourt. It’s just a lot to pay for players that could sit out the entire fourth quarter. I prefer the security of Doncic, but the Houston plays will be popular.
Target worth paying up for: Lou Williams ($6,500) vs. MIL (4th)
The Bucks are a competitive matchup, but this still sets up as a huge spot for Williams. He’s coming off a couple of poor games, which I actually prefer since we’ll get a discount on his salary. It comes at the perfect time, with Kawhi Leonard resting. Lou-Will will be the focal point of the offense.
Best value: Jarrett Culver ($3,200) at MEM (6th)
Jeff Teague ($5,500; illness) is questionable and Shabazz Napier ($4,200; hamstring) is doubtful. If both of them wind up sitting out, Culver would likely see some PG minutes. He’s seen at least 24 minutes in consecutive games, and Culver should see a favorable pace against Memphis.
Williams is one of the safest plays on the board for me. This isn’t a position I’ll be paying up for, with even more $4,000 or less options to like.
Target worth paying up for: Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,700) at LAC (13th)
Giannis is really the only forward worth considering breaking the bank for. I don’t think I’d roster him unless my build leaves a ton of leftover salary, but you can’t beat the floor you get with him. Giannis played just 27 minutes in a blowout over the Wolves, but he still managed 62 DKFP.
Best value: Bruce Brown Jr. ($5,300) vs. NYK (6th)
Brown’s price took a huge leap, but he still doesn’t reflect his role. With multiple wing players still injured on Detroit, Brown’s been one of the key pieces of the team. He’s been playing about 40 minutes per game over the last two, and he’s scoring a fantasy point per minute.
GSW, DET, MIN and LAC all offer pretty elite value plays at SF. This will be a position to jam value rather than pay up. If you want to use one forward spot on Giannis, you’ll need the value anyway.
Target worth paying up for: Pascal Siakam ($8,000) vs. SAC (4th)
Siakam gives us high tournament upside, and he has a declining salary. The fast pace against Sacramento could help him play to his ceiling in this one. But you’ll notice the elite plays are at other positions, while the best value is offered at both forward spots. It’ll be tough to afford him.
Best value: JaMychal Green ($3,900) vs. MIL (9th)
Green is a little bit more expensive than we’re accustomed to seeing him, but he’s well worth a couple hundred extra when Leonard’s out of the mix. Green went for 37 DKFP in 27 minutes against Utah without Kawhi, and also has an extremely safe floor given the minutes boost. Green’s one of the top values on this entire slate.
Not many changes between the SF and PF position. If you want to pay up for a forward, I’d probably just do it at the PF spot, since there’s probably more value to be had at SF. That way you can play two SF values, although it’s not difficult to fit three of them and slot one in a PF — which means you’re paying up for two centers and a PG.
Target worth paying up for: Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,000) at MEM (13th)
KAT should be fresh and motivated coming off his two-game suspension. If we throw that game against Philly out, due to the early ejection, Towns was in the conversation for fantasy MVP. He has a great matchup against Memphis here and gives you that 70-80 DKFP ceiling.
Best value: Double Down
No reason to chase value at center with so many values at other positions. KAT will be my guy, and I’d like to play Andre Drummond ($10,800) or Joel Embiid ($9,500) alongside him in a UTIL role.
I kind of spilled the marbles on the center position. If any values catch your eye, you can likely play them at PF and pay up for the stud centers.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:
PROBABLECam Reddish (shoulder)
Jae Crowder (back)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (knee)
QUESTIONABLEDomantas Sabonis (calf)
Myles Turner (ankle)
Jeff Teague (illness)
Maxi Kleber (knee)
Jordan Bell (shoulder)
Harry Giles (knee)
DOUBTFULShabazz Napier (hamstring)
Jeremy Lamb (ankle)
OUTKawhi Leonard (rest)
D’Angelo Russell (ankle)
Derrick Rose (hamstring)
Elfrid Payton (hamstring)
Reggie Jackson (back)
Eric Gordon (hamstring)
Dennis Smith Jr. (personal)
Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.
Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.