Luka Doncic

Friday’s slate covers 10 games, but the value is extremely tight in the early going. We can only hope to get some news that gives us the savings we need to roster some studs but right now it’s looking really difficult. Here’s your cheat sheet by position:

Point Guard

Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($11,400) vs. CLE (12th)

Doncic has been spectacular of late, scoring 72 or more DKFP in six of his last 10 outings. Now he gets another cupcake matchup at home against the Cavs. Even up $1,000, Doncic is the one stud I’d look to roster on this slate — and unless the landscape changes dramatically, you probably can’t roster two studs.

Best value: Terry Rozier ($6,200) at WAS (26th)

This slate is so tight that even the value is expensive. The Wizards have one of the worst defenses in recent memory and play at a rapid pace. With a total of 234, this game plays right into Rozier’s favor.

Positional Strategy 

If you fade Doncic, there’s some good value in the $6,000 range outside of Rozier that you can build around. That’ll be a risky strategy, though.


Shooting Guard

Target worth paying up for: Spencer Dinwiddie ($7,600) vs. SAC (13th)

As we’ve been doing on most slates this week, Doncic and Dinwiddie make for a successful cash backcourt. Kyrie Irving (shoulder) remains sidelined, which means Dinwiddie will run the show. The matchup doesn’t matter given the high usage here. Dinwiddie’s averaging almost 46 DKFP over his last two.

Best value: Bruce Brown ($4,300) vs. ATL (29th)

Tony Snell usually isn’t a crucial piece of a slate, but his absence makes a difference on this one. He’s playing over 27 minutes per game for Detroit, which opens up a little bit of value. Brown showed a lot of promise earlier in the season when given the minutes. The matchup here also helps.

Positional Strategy

We basically have the same PG/SG targets to pay up for or dip down for value. Bradley Beal ($9,600) is another star to consider paying for if you need something in the price range between Doncic and Dinwiddie.


Small Forward

Target worth paying up for: Jimmy Butler ($8,300) at CHI (14th)

Butler faces his former team on the road, and the Bulls haven’t fared well against stronger competition this season. Butler’s salary’s been rising, which complicates this slate, but his game log justifies it.

Best value: Kyle Kuzma ($4,300) at OKC (2nd)

Kuzma had to come out of Tuesday’s win over the Thunder after getting hit in the eye, but he will be back out there in the same matchup on Friday. Because he scored just 5.0 DKFP in nine minutes before exiting that game, his salary drops $1,000 for this slate. With at least 20 DKFP in his five previous games, and the ability to go for 30-plus, he’s a much-needed salary saver on this slate.

Positional Strategy 

SF is probably going to be the thinnest position on this slate. While Butler is a great play, there are probably better places to spend up. That means saving salary here. Kuzma’s discount and Draymond Green’s (heel) absence can help us do that.


Power Forward

Target worth paying up for: Anthony Davis ($10,100) at OKC (28th)

AD proved he’s healthy on Tuesday against OKC, scoring 61.25 DKFP in 37 minutes. If you can afford him, he’s still slightly underpriced on this slate. Just make sure Davis suits up through a probable tag, but he crushed this matchup already this week, which provides a nice floor.

Best value: Al Horford ($5,700) vs. SAS (8th)

Horford isn’t your classic value play, but it’s that kind of slate. The Spurs have been awful defensively this season, and Horford’s salary is on the decline for no reason.

Positional Strategy 

If you need to go cheaper than Horford, well, I hope we get some news to help with that. Otherwise, Kuzma and the Warriors remain the SF/PF targets.


Center

Target worth paying up for: Clint Capela ($7,700) at LAC (9th)

Capela’s been cleaning up the glass lately, pulling down 20 boards in five straight games. That includes a matchup against the Clippers, in which he scored 42 DKFP. If he keeps playing the way he has, his floor is 40 DKFP, and he can crack 50 if he’s scoring the ball well, and/or blocking shots.

Best value: Marquese Chriss ($4,700) vs. UTA (1st)

It’s a brutal matchup, but the minutes that open up with all of Golden State’s injuries leave a big role for Chriss. He scored 22 DKFP in 16 minutes against Utah earlier in the season, but he played 27 minutes last game with Draymond sidelined. Chriss is averaging 29 DKFP over his last three.

Positional Strategy 

Center could be a position to lock in value. There are more viable options for under $6,000 than any other position, and we don’t have the luxury of choosing which positions to target value on this slate.


Key news to monitor on DK Live:

QUESTIONABLE

Bogdan Bogdanovic (hamstring)
Josh Richardson (hip)
Corey Joseph (heel)
Danuel House (shoulder)
Cam Reddish (wrist)
Seth Curry (illness)
Trey Burke (ankle/knee)

PROBABLE

Anthony Davis (shoulder)
Jarrett Allen (ankle)
Alex Caruso (calf)

DOUBTFUL

Chandler Hutchison (leg)

OUT

Kyrie Irving (shoulder)
D’Angelo Russell (thumb)
Draymond Green (heel)
Derrick White (foot)
Trevor Ariza (groin)
Tony Snell (hip)

Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.