Houston Rockets v Golden State Warriors - Game Six

Wednesday’s slate is jam-packed with 11 games. We have some stars already ruled out, some significant injury news to continue monitoring, and some potential barnburners to target. Here’s your Cheat Sheet by position:

Point Guard

Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($10,400) vs. GSW (22nd)

Doncic is playing on a completely different level right now and easily could be priced in the Giannis/Harden $11,000-plus range. Doncic is firmly in the MVP conversation, and it’s translated to a monster fantasy season. He’s scored 70 or more DKFP in five of his past nine and is essentially matchup proof. Getting the Warriors at home on the second night of a back-to-back can’t be a bad thing, though.

Best value: Dejounte Murray ($5,200) at WAS (26th)

Derrick White (foot) has been ruled out for this one, opening up a larger role for Murray. Murray’s averting 28.8 DKFP in 22.5 minutes per game this season, so the extra minutes should put him in position for a big game. On top of that, Washington has one of the worst defenses in the NBA, and the total in this one is nearly 240.

Positional Strategy 

Doncic and Dinwiddie should wind up with a lot of the PG ownership, and a lot of backcourts might have both of them. This is a pretty good slate for guards, so load up on them. Delon Wright ($4,000) and Tim Hardaway Jr. ($3,500) also should be popular values on Dallas. It’s worth noting Murray is strictly PG eligible.


Shooting Guard

Target worth paying up for: Spencer Dinwiddie ($7,200) vs. CHA (6th)

Another slate without Kyrie Irving (shoulder) and Caris LeVert (thumb) just means another heavy dose of Dinwiddie. The matchup shouldn’t really factor in, but we are getting to the point where Dinwiddie’s salary doesn’t make him as much of an elite value. But after dropping 50 DKFP in his most recent game, he’s still a safe option.

Best value: Alec Burks ($5,200) at DAL (9th)

The Warriors are banged up in the backcourt, and it’s allowed Burks to play 30 or more minutes in three straight. His salary still is affordable coming off a big game just a night earlier, going for 44.5 DKFP in Memphis.

Positional Strategy

Outside of Murray, the top guard plays are eligible at two positions. That makes rostering them pretty simple. SF likely will be used on a guard as well on this slate, opening up roster construction to as many as five or six guards.


Small Forward

Target worth paying up for: Jimmy Butler ($7,700) vs. CLE (24th)

Butler’s found his groove, scoring more than 46 DKFP in three of his past five. A lot of that’s been due to finally getting heavy minutes, playing at least 38 minutes in four straight. Miami still is banged up on the perimeter, which should mean plenty of usage for Butler against a terrible Cavs squad.

Best value: Draymond Green ($6,000) at DAL (22nd)

Draymond’s running the show for the Warriors, essentially playing the point forward position. That’s changed his position eligibility. He went for a double-double in Memphis last night with rebounds and assists, finishing just two points from the triple-double. He still wound up with 42 DKFP, and his salary has declined.

Positional Strategy 

You’ll want to stay flexible on this slate. You’ll notice both SF plays above are also guard eligible — and arguably play the guard positions. SF should be considered an outlet to get more guard exposure on this slate.


Power Forward

Target worth paying up for: Giannis Antetokounmpo ($11,200) at ATL (3rd)

Giannis has taken a slight dip in production lately, finishing below 60 DKFP two games in a row, snapping a six game streak of going over that number. He’s still done a solid job of reaching roughly 5x, and that should be considered his floor against the Hawks. I prefer Antetokounmpo for cash games over GPPs on this slate.

Best value: Larry Nance Jr. ($4,300) at MIA (24th)

Tristan Thompson is going to rest Wednesday, which means Nance will jump into the starting lineup in his return from a thumb injury. Nance’s salary takes a $600 dip since he last played, despite averaging 27 DKFP over his past three. He has the ceiling for a bigger game with Thompson ruled out.

Positional Strategy 

PF is actually a deep position on this slate. Giannis is in a great spot to pay up, but we’ll need to take advantage of some Cleveland value plays one way or another in the frontcourt.


Center

Target worth paying up for: Clint Capela ($7,900) at DEN (25th)

Capela’s been spectacular for Houston lately, scoring more than 42 DKFP in five straight and more than 52 DKFP in three of those games. Despite the perception of Denver, the Nuggets rank just 25th against the center position. Capela makes for a great tournament play on this slate.

Best value: Ante Zizic ($3,400) at MIA (5th)

Zizic is more tickle down from the Thompson rest news. He’s averaging just 11.5 DKFP in 18 minutes per game in two games this season, but he could see his largest role of the year with Thompson out.

Positional Strategy 

This is one of the weaker center slates recently. Typically we try to double-down on centers, but on this slate you probably will find yourself rostering just one — and it could even be a PF/C play.


Key news to monitor on DK Live:

QUESTIONABLE

Kawhi Leonard (knee)
Andrew Wiggins (illness)
Serge Ibaka (ankle)
Josh Okogie (knee)
Landry Shamet (ankle)

PROBABLE

Kevin Love (back)
Marcus Smart (ankle)

DOUBTFUL

None

OUT

Kyrie Irving (shoulder)
D’Angelo Russell (thumb)
Tristan Thompson (rest)
Jake Layman (foot)
Derrick White (foot)
Tony Snell (hip)
Seth Curry (illness)

Get all the news and analysis up to the minute on DK Live.


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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.