Just a three-game slate in the NBA on Tuesday, but some decent ones for fantasy production. Here are the targets that standout the most:
Target worth paying up for: Trae Young ($9,000) at Miami Heat (19th)Young’s on the second night of a back-to-back after scoring 41 DKFP in a tough matchup against the 76ers on Tuesday. It’s not a great spot against the Heat, but on a three-game slate, we can’t ignore Young’s 60-DKFP upside. The value’s so bad at this position, we should wind up paying up for multiple plays.
Best value: Quinn Cook ($3,200) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (22nd)Cook is essentially the only low-priced PG value. He scored 28.75 DKFP in 24 minutes against the Hornets in his last outing, and has that type of upside while Rajon Rondo (calf) is still sidelined. The Grizzles are a much faster-paced team with the new young core they have, which is good for fantasy purposes in this one.
Positional StrategyYeah, not a great looking slate for PG, although the three best plays to pay up for are all PG eligible. The only middle ground to target would be Jamal Murray ($6,600), who’s averaging a solid 35 DKFP. It’s pretty much impossible not to spend up here.
Target worth paying up for: Luka Doncic ($9,500) at Denver Nuggets (24th)If you’re not interested in Young, you’re probably paying up for Doncic at PG. But one way or another, paying up for Luka is where I’ll be starting my lineup. Doncic is such a safe volume play, and while the pace could slow some against Denver, his floor looks to be around 50 DKFP. He’s one assists away from consecutive triple-doubles, and is averaging a hair under 60 DKFP.
Best value: Cam Reddish ($3,300) at Miami Heat (10th)The fantasy points haven’t been there yet with Reddish, but he seems poised for a breakout at a very cheap price point sooner or later. Reddish has seen his minutes rise in each game of his rookie season, getting up to 27 on Monday. He’s shot just 5-for-22 from the field, and missed all nine of his attempts from downtown. Reddish is a good shooter, and once that shot falls, he’ll have 10x value potential.
Positional StrategyJimmy Butler’s ($7,700) set to make his season debut, which really limits value on Miami. Butler’s fairly priced, but a play like Kendrick Nunn ($6,000) gets completely taken off the board. Atlanta offers the top values in Reddish and DeAndre Bembry ($3,500), and with so few options, most lineups will likely roster one of those two (pending any major news).
Target worth paying up for: LeBron James ($9,700) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (5th)LeBron hasn’t reached 60 DKFP on a slate through three games, so maybe playing alongside Anthony Davis ($10,300) will actually limit his ceiling. On Monday’s 11-game slate, LeBron wouldn’t even be in consideration, but he’s probably the safest spot to start a cash lineup with these three games.
Best value: Will Barton ($4,600) vs. Dallas Mavericks (26th)Barton went for a dud against the Suns, but he’s topped 30 DKFP in each of his other two games. His role seems safe, averaging just over 30 minutes in the two outings he’s paid off his salary. Most importantly, Barton’s salary comes down $700 for this slate, which we should look to take advantage of.
Positional StrategyBoth Atlanta values are SF eligible, so this position has some flexibility. My PF value play also has SF eligibility, and if you want to pay up for AD instead of LeBron, you’ll likely need to use some value here (unless you stack the Lakers). I don’t think there’s much middle ground here. You either pay up to LeBron, or look for go $4,600 or less with Barton and the other values. Danny Green ($4,400) is another consideration in Barton’s price range, and in what projects as a better fantasy game.
Target worth paying up for: Anthony Davis ($10,300) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (18th))I’d say AD is the GPP play and LeBron is the cash play for this slate. Neither have been spectacular, but this is probably the best fantasy environment Davis has seen in his brief tenure with the Lakers. Memphis plays fast, but the Lakers are double-digit home favorites.
Best value: Dorian Finney-Smith ($3,400) at Denver Nuggets (23rd)The appropriately named DFS has some good value on this slate. He has a pretty safe role in the Mavericks’ rotation, but his salary remains far too cheap. Averaging over 20 DKFP in the early going, DFS is one of the safest values on this slate.
Positional StrategyOnce you get past AD, the PF position might be the thinnest on this slate. Kristaps Porzingis ($8,200) and John Collins ($7,300) could make for low-owned GPP plays (by three-game standards), so try to differentiate yourself in some ways in tournaments. In cash, I’d be pretty surprised if AD and DFS weren’t the plays.
Target worth paying up for: Bam Adebayo ($7,000) vs. Atlanta Hawks (29th)Adebayo is off to a great start this season, and could easily be $1,000 more expensive. Butler’s return downgrades a lot of plays on Miami, but Bam isn’t one of them. He should see the same role regardless of who plays on the perimeter, and gets a great matchup to have his best game of the season against the Hawks.
Best value: Brandon Clarke ($5,100) at Los Angeles Lakers (2nd)This is probably a one center slate, especially since AD and Bam both have PF eligibility. There’s extremely limited value, but Clarke’s off to a solid start to his career. This is nothing more than a play to fill a position if you fade Bam in tournaments, though.
Positional StrategyNikola Jokic ($10,000) is an easy fade for me. He’s been a bust on two slates so far, and has played way too few minutes to justify this price tag, regardless of matchup. Jokic looks out of shape in the early going, which could really limit his ceiling this season, particularly if it’s costing him minutes. Pay up elsewhere.
Key news to monitor on DK Live:Dion Waiters (suspension) OUT
Derrick Jones Jr. (groin) OUT
Rajon Rondo (calf) OUT
Ja Morant (ankle) PROBABLE
Kelly Olynyk (quad) PROBABLE
Dwight Powell (hamstring) QUESTIONABLE
Kyle Anderson (calf) QUESTIONABLE
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.