WATCH: NASCAR Price Check – Foxwoods Resort Casino 301

Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for Sunday’s Foxwoods Resort Casino 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.

(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary.)

1. Kyle Busch ($11,900) – New Hampshire marks the return of the high-downforce, high-horsepower package. Kyle Busch likely would have scored the most points at Richmond in this package, but a penalty ruined his day. He did score the most points in this package at Phoenix. (5.9 fppk)

2. Joey Logano ($10,300) – It doesn’t really matter if NASCAR runs high horsepower or low horsepower. Logano has excelled everywhere in every package. In the high-horsepower race at Richmond, he was on the bumper of the lead car during the closing laps. (4.8 fppk)

3. Brad Keselowski ($10,700) – Martinsville was one of the worst races of the year. The high-downforce, high-horsepower package made aero matter for the first time at this legendary short track. Keselowski led nearly all of the 500 laps. (4.5 fppk)

4. Martin Truex, Jr. ($11,500) – The most recent time NASCAR raced with the high-downforce, high-horsepower package was Dover. Truex drove from the back to the front and never surrendered the lead. Unfortunately, Dover is not comparable to New Hampshire. (5.1 fppk)

5. Chase Elliott ($10,000) – New Hampshire is a bigger version of Martinsville, and Elliott was the second best driver at Martinsville. Elliott might have been the best, but it was impossible to pass the leader. Keselowski led 446 laps, but Elliott earned the most fast lap points. (4.6 fppk)

6. Denny Hamlin ($9,700) – He’s a great short, flat tracker, but that doesn’t matter. NASCAR has blacklisted Hamlin for pointing out the organization’s bogus rules. Hamlin is unplayable because he is being penalized weekly for ticky-tack infractions. Just say you’re sorry, Denny. (4.1 fppk)

7. Kurt Busch ($9,200) – As predicted last week in the rankings, Busch was one fortunate break away from a win. He was gifted a win at Kentucky when a meaningless lap car spun onto the apron and NASCAR quickly threw the caution flag to atone for its sins against Kurt at Daytona. (4.8 fppk)

8. Kevin Harvick ($11,100) – This team makes too many mistakes. One mistake during a race ruins Harvick’s ability to pay off his salary, but the No. 4 team doesn’t just make one mistake. Multiple issues are common, and this prevents DFS lineups from cashing at the minimum. (3.9 fppk)

9. Kyle Larson ($9,400) – The No. 42 car is not any faster than it was in February. It does not appear the team has figured out the new package, nor has Larson adjusted to the package. Larson’s recent success is due to one simple change: The No. 42 team is not making mistakes. (3.7 fppk)

10. Alex Bowman ($8,800) – At Dover, Bowman raced from the back to the front at a track where it was nearly impossible to pass. Bowman had a great setup for the high-downforce, high-horsepower package, but Dover is nothing like New Hampshire. (4.8 fppk)

11. Clint Bowyer ($8,400) – Just when it looked like everything was going Bowyer’s way, his team threw the Kentucky race away. Bowyer gave up the lead in Stage 3, when his team decided to pit one last time and take four tires. Bowyer got buried in traffic and never again sniffed the lead pack. (3.2 fppk)

12. Paul Menard ($6,800) – Anytime Menard is priced below $7,000, DFS players can jam him into their cash-game lineups. Kentucky was the 10th time Menard earned a top-20 DFS score while being price $7,000 or less. That’s 10 times in 12 races. (3.9 fppk)

13. Chris Buescher ($7,100) – Intermediate tracks have been Buescher’s strong suit this season. His finishes in the high-downforce, high-horsepower package have been unremarkable, but Buescher had a top car for most of the Bristol and Richmond races. (4.4 fppk)

14. Daniel Suarez ($7,800) – He wasn’t optimal last week, but it was close, and it shouldn’t have been. Suarez’s crew chief made an egregious four-tire pit call early in the race that mired Suarez in traffic, and Saurez earned a green flag penalty. Still, he was almost optimal. (4.5 fppk)

15. William Byron ($7,400) – His rookie season was forgettable, but he did finish 14th at New Hampshire. This season, Byron is twice the driver he was last year. It is reasonable to expect top-10 finishes every week from Byron in the 2019 racing package. (4.3 fppk)

16. Ryan Blaney ($8,600) – At Martinsville, Blaney had the third best car. Like Elliott, Blaney might have been the best driver that day, but no one would ever know because it was impossible to pass the leader in this racing package. (3.9 fppk)

17. Jimmie Johnson ($8,000) – At Kentucky, Johnson was running inside the top 10 when he spun out in Stage 3. Forget Daytona, even though he finished third, Johnson finished fourth at Chicago. Skip the oddball races in June, and Johnson finished eighth at Charlotte and sixth at Kansas. (3.9 fppk)

18. Aric Almirola ($8,200) – Last year, Almriola nearly won at New Hampshire. That was last year, and 2018 might as well be another sport. It appears Almirola has done next to nothing this year, but the reality is his average finish is almost the same as it was last year. (3.9 fppk)

19. Ryan Newman ($7,600) – New Hampshire is a short, flat, rough track with plenty of tire fall off, but Goodyear is countering the high-downforce package with extremely durable tires. It’s a possibility some drivers will gamble and gain double-digit spots by taking two tires or no tires. The most likely candidate for this gamble is Ryan J. Newman. (5.0 fppk)

20. Erik Jones ($9,000) – How are DFS player supposed to understand Jones when his team owner doesn’t even know what he’ll get? Kentucky is a perfect example of Erik “The Enigma” Jones. His average running position was 11th, but he finished third. (4.2 fppk)

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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.