Kyle Busch

The rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for Sunday’s race in Fontana, California. The ordering is not based on the highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver.

(FPPK= average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary.)

Set your lineups here: NAS $400K Piston [$100K to 1st] (Cup)

1. Kyle Busch ($11,300) – It has been a year, so it’s not a guarantee that the best car at Fontana in 2019 will be the best car at Fontana in 2020. However, the #18 car was really good. Busch suffered a penalty and still won; that’s unheard of in this racing package. (1.0 FPPK)

2. Joey Logano ($10,900) – In last year’s Fontana race, Logano had the second highest driver rating. He was not optimal because he only led three laps. Logano was the second best when Busch was leading and second best when Keselowski was leading. (3.2 FPPK)

3. Martin Truex, Jr. ($10,400) – The best fantasy NASCAR play at Fontana in 2017 and 2018 was Martin Truex. He disappointed DFS players in 2019, but it wasn’t his fault. He believed that he had the winning car until Ricky Stenhouse wrecked him. (0.6 FPPK)

4. Kevin Harvick ($11,600) – He ran inside the top 5 for most of the Fontana 2019 race, but his setup was too loose and he was unable to lead laps or run fast laps. Harvick excels in this package in cold weather at high grip tracks. Fontana is neither. (5.2 FPPK)

5. Ryan Blaney ($9,400) – The 2019 race was dominated by Kyle Busch and Brad Keselowski. Blaney was unable to wrestle the lead away from them, but he was able to finish 5th and earn 6.5 fast lap points. (6.1 FPPK)

6. Denny Hamlin ($9,200) – At Fontana, Hamlin showed early signs that he was going to be competitive in this package. He ran around the top 5 the whole race and scored 9 fast lap points. Several weeks later, Hamlin went on to win at Texas. (5.0 FPPK)

7. Brad Keselowski ($10,000) – A lot of questions remain in regards to Keselowski’s new crew chief, Jeremy Bullins. Among the Penske crew chiefs, Bullins is the least accomplished. Keselowski made his way to the top five late in the Las Vegas race last week, but he was on fresher tires than the rest of the field. (1.3 FPPK)

8. Chase Elliott ($9,800) – Before the Las Vegas race, Elliott was his normal morose self. His crew chief echoed the negativity, and was just hoping for a solid day. It turns out Elliott had the best car. However, his pessimism might have been well founded. The #9 pit crew ruined Elliott’s day by busting a valve stem on his last pit stop. (4.5 FPPK)

9. Erik Jones ($8,100) – The #20 JGR car was bad in practice. Before the race, Jones knew that he did not have a competitive car. He proceeded to run around 15th all race long. (2.5 FPPK)

10. Alex Bowman ($8,800) – On the long run at the end of the Las Vegas race, Bowman was hooked up and may have been on his way to a win. Unfortunately, as predicted in the Price Check video, Ross Crash-tain wrecked (for the second time in the race), and brought out a race changing caution. (2.3 FPPK)

11. William Byron ($8,400) – Here are the facts. Matt DiBenedetto dove below William Byron and drove up into the #24 car. The resulting tire rub not only robbed Byron of a possible win, but it caused a pile up that ended the race under caution. Life’s not fair, but we can be honest about what happens or we can settle for race car driver platitudes, “It was just a racing deal.” (-0.2 FPPK)

12. Kurt Busch ($8,600) – Practice isn’t the race. Kurt Busch looked like a contender in practice, but struggled during the Las Vegas race. His struggles weren’t necessarily because of a lack of speed; they were due to unfortunate restarts. Truex ran into Busch, then Chastain ran into Busch resulting in a green flag pit stop in stage three. (0.4 FPPK)

13. Kyle Larson ($9,600) – The high downforce package does not work for Larson. His racing advantage is that he is willing to push a car to the edge of control. In this package, with loads of downforce, there isn’t a ragged edge. Larson is just another slot car. (3.9 fppk)

14. Aric Almirola ($8,300) – Stewart-Haas Racing is notorious for trimming out their cars. Harvick can make the setup work, but the rest of the stable struggles. Almirola led seven laps to start the 2019 Fontana race, then he faded with a race car that was too loose. (1.5 fppk)

15. Matt DiBenedetto ($7,600) – The Las Vegas result is misleading. DiBenedetto was good at Las Vegas, but he lucked into a top 5. Actually, it wasn’t that lucky. DiBenedetto’s contact with William Byron led to a pileup that wrecked the field. It’s not really luck, if you wreck the field and earn a top five. If a less appealing driver pulled that move, they would be scorned. (5.6 fppk)

16. Austin Dillon ($7,400) – At the end of the 2019 season, RCR began to understand the appropriate setup in the high downforce package at intermediate tracks. Last week at Las Vegas, RCR continued to show their progress with an average running position of 13th. (6.6 FPPK)

17. Chris Buescher ($7,200) – He picked up where he left off last season. Buescher never impresses the traditional NASCAR fan, but he routinely satisfies DFS NASCAR players by earning positive place differential points and finishing near the top 15. (7.1 FPPK)

18. Clint Bowyer ($7,900) – Some drivers have adapted to the new high downforce, low horsepower racing package. The drivers that have not, and probably never will. Bowyer is one of the guys that will never get it. He struggled in 2019, and started 2020 with average running position of 16th at Las Vegas. (5.4 FPPK)

19. Jimmie Johnson ($9,000) – The Hendrick Chevys looked really good in Las Vegas. The #48 was almost a top 5 car, and it was the worst of all of them. If there is a late race caution, Johnson could win at his hometrack. (2.4 FPPK)

20. Ryan Preece ($5,500) – He can’t be any worse than he was last season, so he has to improve. DFS players aren’t asking for much. At the price, a 20th place finish will do. Preece’s new crew chief, Trent Owens, made Chris Buescher a fantasy darling last season. (0.9 FPPK)

For sports betting, head over to DraftKings Sportsbook or download the DK Sportsbook app.

Put your knowledge to the test. Sign up for DraftKings and experience the game inside the game.

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.