Tournament Plays are written to help find high-risk, high-reward players and team stacks that can help you catapult up the leader board each day. Plays will range from sleepers who might be able to steal a few bases at a low price point to against-the-grain stars who might not be the popular play of the day on DraftKings.
There are serious weather concerns in the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies game tonight. Be sure to track the weather here.
Madison Bumgarner vs. San Diego Padres ($10,400) – In GPP’s, you want to be different. With many players likely concerned by the fact that San Diego rocked Bumgarner in their first meeting this season; this could be a rare opportunity grab Bummy on a night when his ownership rate will likely be very small. Bumgarner should be motivated for revenge and it’s probably wise that we stop doubting him in situations like these.
Alex Wood vs. Philadelphia Phillies ($8,400) – Wood was as sharp as usual in his last outing, and was pounded for five earned runs in just five innings of work against the Nationals. While starts like those are always concerning to some degree, he at least still managed to rack up eight strikeouts and we should see a dip in his ownership rate. He tossed 5.2 shutout innings against the Phillies when they met earlier this season and mowed them down in both meetings last season. Wood was excellent at Turner Field in 2014, posting an 8-6 record with a 2.41 ERA and 94 strikeouts in 82.0 innings. With Philadelphia entering the game as the 2nd worst offensive team in MLB thus far this season, Wood looks like a nice option.
Carlos Martinez vs. Chicago Cubs ($7,600) – Martinez entered the 2015 season as the Cardinals fifth starter, but the Adam Wainwright injury has put some extra weight on the 23 year olds shoulders. Martinez is armed with a fastball that can flirt with triple digits and the development of his two off-speed pitches has really taken him to the next level. Martinez has yet to allow more than two runs in an appearance this season and brings an impressive 3-0 record, 1.73 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 8.28 K/9 into tonight’s start. He’ll face off against a struggling Chicago Cubs offense who own MLB’s highest strikeout rate this season (25.2%).
Paul Goldschmidt vs. Tyler Matzek, Colorado Rockies ($5,700) – He’s the most expensive hitter on the board, but for good reason. Goldschmidt owned a .470 wOBA and 201 wRC+ against left-handed pitching last season and has the luxury of swinging the bat a mile above sea-level in this one. His multi homerun potential makes him a dangerous fade considering that right-handed batters owned a .372 wOBA off of Matzek last season.
Jose Altuve vs Ross Detwiler, Texas Rangers ($5,400) – He’s now sports a big-ticket asking price, but I’m hoping that may suppress his ownership rate a bit tonight. The 24 year old may have had his 11 game hitting streak snapped yesterday, but he still sports an impressive .361 average and .916 OPS on the season. Altuve demolished left-handed pitching last season, posting a .440 wOBA and 189 wRC+ against southpaws.
Josh Reddick vs. Phil Hughes, Minnesota Twins ($4,700) – Simply put, Reddick is scorching hot at the plate right now. He went deep for the third time this week in yesterday’s game and now owns an 11 game hitting streak. He posted a very solid .367 wOBA and .239 ISO against right-handed pitching last season.
Matt Holliday vs. Travis Wood, Chicago Cubs ($4,400) – Holliday jumped out of the gates quickly this season, but has gone cold at the plate lately (zero for his last 13). However, he still owns a .321 average on the young season and absolutely crushed left-handed pitching last year to the tune of a .435 wOBA, .263 ISO and 183 wRC+. Holliday has also owned Travis Wood in their previous meetings, going 15 for 40 with four doubles and four home-runs.
Devon Travis vs Chase Whitley, New York Yankees ($4,000) – Whitley posted a 5.23 ERA and 1.48 WHIP last season and now has to travel to the Rogers Centre to take on this vaunted Blue Jays lineup. The 24 year old Travis has burst onto the scene in 2015 and has already taken over the leadoff spot for the Blue Jays. He smacked his seventh homerun of the season yesterday and has now amassed 23 RBI’s in 24 games. At $4,000, he’s a great way to get some reasonably priced exposure to this Toronto lineup.
Kevin Kiermaier vs. Clay Buchholz, Boston Red Sox ($4,000) – Left-handed batters posted a .351 wOBA off of Buchholz last season and the right-hander is really struggling right now. As for Kiermaier, he owned an impressive .362 wOBA and .218 ISO against righties last season and against Boston in 2014 he had a .343 average in 35 AB’s.
Stack Em Up
Stacks below are based on most likely lineups. Be sure to check the MLB Lineups feed from any DraftKings draft screen throughout the afternoon to make sure players are in the lineup.
Boston Red Sox vs Jake Odorizzi, Tampa Bay Rays – Homeruns win GPP’s, so who better to target than an extreme fly-ball pitcher headed to Fenway Park to take on a loaded Boston Red Sox lineup. Boston’s 10.1 BB% is the best in baseball this season and Odorizzi really struggled last season with runners on base (.348 wOBA against). Odorizzi has yet to serve up a homerun this season, but he owned a 1.07 HR/9 last year and his 29.90 GB% was among the lowest in MLB.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tyler Matzek, Colorado Rockies – While Matzek was very tough on right-handed batters last season (.199 wOBA against), I highlighted his struggles against right-handed pitching a bit earlier. Stacking in Coors doesn’t take brain surgery, but several of these Arizona hitters have track records of success against left-handed pitching (Goldschmidt, Hill, Pollock, Trumbo, Pacheco) and only Goldschmidt will put a dent in your wallet.
St. Louis Cardinals vs Travis Wood, Chicago Cubs – With a lefty on the mound for the Cubbies, it’s likely that Mike Matheny will need to sit some of his left-handed starters and that opens the door for extreme value options like Mark Reynolds to get some playing time. Right-handed batters crushed Wood for a .371 wOBA last season and a handful of these Cardinals own fantastic numbers against him in their careers. Wood owns an ugly 5.18 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 16 career starts against St. Louis and all of these Cardinals hitters are rather affordable.
Good Luck today!
JMBWngFn (@JBritt2 on Twitter)