Tournament Plays are written to help find high-risk, high-reward players and team stacks that can help you catapult up the leaderboard each day. Plays will range from sleepers who might be able to steal a few bases at a low price point to against-the-grain stars who might not be the popular play of the day on DraftKings.
Gio Gonzalez vs. New York Mets ($8,100) – With many users likely scared away since he’s opposed by Matt Harvey, I really like Gio Gonzalez tonight in GPP’s. He has thrived at Nationals Park this season, posting a 4-1 record with a 2.44 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Gio dominated tossed seven scoreless innings (with nine strikeouts) in his only other meeting with the Mets this season and the Mets sport just a .293 team wOBA against left-handed pitching.
Matt Moore vs Philadelphia Phillies ($7,200) – Matt Moore defines a GPP pitching target. His upside in this matchup is through the roof, but his inconsistencies and control problems make him too risky for cash game use. While he hasn’t been overly impressive in his first three starts, Moore proved to be a strikeout-per-inning pitcher when healthy in years past. Only the Mets and White Sox have averaged less than the Phillies 3.46 runs/game this season, making Moore worth the gamble tonight.
Mike Trout vs Steven Wright, Boston Red Sox ($5,600) – GPP’s are often decided by the long-ball and with Trout already sporting seven homeruns (eight if you count the All-Star game) during the month of July, he’s worth his lofty price-tag. Trout has posted a .416 wOBA and 177 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season and should be able to take advantage of the matchup against the very raw Steven Wright.
Adrian Beltre vs Chris Rusin, Colorado Rockies ($4,300) – Getting some exposure to Coors Field is rarely a bad idea, and Beltre is a premier play at 3B at a rather reasonable asking price. The Rangers slugger is locked into a run producing spot in this Rangers batting order and owns a .844 career OPS against left-handed pitching. Right-handed batters have posted a .352 wOBA off of Chris Rusin and it’s only a matter of time before we see Beltre’s bat really heat up.
Christian Yelich vs Rubby De La Rosa, Arizona Diamondbacks ($3,800) – After a terrible start to the 2015 season, Yelich has finally heated up and has now posted a .390 batting average over his last 17 games. Left-handed batters have tagged Rubby De La Rosa this season for a .409 wOBA and the Marlins will need Yelich to stay hot with both Dee Gordon and Giancarlo Stanton sidelined.
Justin Turner vs Matt Wisler, Atlanta Braves ($3,400) – He’ll likely have a relatively high ownership rate, but his $3,400 price-tag certainly doesn’t reflect his recent production and is just too hard to ignore. Over the past calendar year, only Bryce Harper and Paul Goldschmidt have posted a wOBA higher than Turner’s .415 wOBA. Turner has crushed right-handed pitching this season to the tune of a .361 average and .452 wOBA and has a nice matchup on tap tonight against the inexperienced Matt Wisler.
Jose Iglesias vs J.A. Happ, Seattle Mariners ($3,000) – If you’re not looking at the shortstops in the Coors Field game, then Iglesias is a great source for some salary relief. The Tigers shortstop went 4 for 4 in yesterday’s game and now sports a .438 wOBA and 185 wRC+ against left-handed pitching this season. With a .338 batting average at Comerica Park this season, he’s a terrific “punt” option at the rather this shortstop position.
Stack Em Up
Stacks below are based on most likely lineups. Be sure to check the MLB Lineups feed from any DraftKings draft screen throughout the afternoon to make sure players are in the lineup.
Colorado Rockies vs. Nick Martinez, Texas Rangers – With Vegas setting the run total at 11, stacking Coors Field will likely be a rather popular approach. On the surface, Nick Martinez’s 3.43 ERA looks solid, but the young right-handers 4.86 xFIP is actually the third highest among qualified pitchers in MLB this season. The Rockies own an MLB best .338 team wOBA against right-handed pitching this season as well as a .361 team wOBA at Coors Field.
San Francisco Giants vs. Ian Kennedy, San Diego Padres – Petco Park will likely scare most users away from this game, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Giants post some crooked numbers on the scoreboard tonight. San Francisco owns MLB’s best road wOBA (.332 team wOBA) and Ian Kennedy somewhat surprisingly owns an ugly 2-4 record with a 6.18 ERA in eight home starts this season. Kennedy has struggled against both left and right-handed batters and several of these Giants hitters have had his number in the past. You can stack up the heart of the Giants batting order at a cap hit of roughly $4K/player
Seattle Mariners vs. Alfredo Simon, Detroit Tigers – Alfredo Simon has been dreadful lately; allowing at least five earned runs in each of his last five starts. That rough patch has ballooned his ERA and WHIP to 4.53 and 1.46, respectively. Simon’s struggles against left-handed pitching (.393 wOBA against) will be on full display against this left-handed heavy Mariners team and Seattle smacked him around when these two teams squared off right before the All-Star break. A stack consisting of Cruz, Cano, Seager, Trumbo and Seth Smith will set you back just $3,840/player.