Gerrit Cole – PIT vs. COL – $8,700 – This is a solid spot for Cole here. On the road, the Rockies own a .313 wOBA, which ranks 17th in the league with a 21.4 K%. With how cheap Cole is tonight, this feels like a must start in my opinion. Cole at home this season owns a .307 wOBA with a 9.2 K/9 and hasn’t allowed a home run.
Aaron Nola – PHI vs. ATL – $11,000 – With a $1,800 price difference, I like the Nola pivot off of Arrieta. With Nola, we have A LOT to like about this matchup. Nola is going deep into games, reaching the seventh inning in six of his eight starts. The strikeouts have been high with a 9.8 K/9 and the walks have been low with a 1.5 BB/9. Add all this together with his .206 wOBA against lefties and a .229 wOBA against righties and we have quite the start ahead of him against the Braves.
Jake Arrieta – CHC vs SFG – $12,800 – Now we get to Arrieta. We truly don’t have much to say that goes against why you shouldn’t roster him. He’s been a force all season long and doesn’t show any signs of slowing down. The only gripe I have here for tonight is that we have A LOT of viable options that are much cheaper than his $12,800 price tag. The Giants have been hitting righties well, with a .320 wOBA against them, but at this point it’s hard to go against Arrieta.
“…He should be able to reach his value with his K/9 of 9”
Steven Matz – NYM vs. MIL – $10,500 – Coming into this start, Matz owns a solid 2.86 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and is averaging 20 FPPG. Against lefties this season, the Brewers are ranked 15th in the league with a .310 wOBA with a .357 SLG ranked 25th. With the 12th highest K% at 22.3, this is a great spot for Matz in the pitcher friendly park of Citi Field. His price tag is a bit high, but he should be able to reach his value with his K/9 of 9.
Scott Kazmir – LAD vs. SDP – $9,500 – I feel like Kazmir is not getting a lot of attention tonight even with his solid matchup on tap. The Padres rank 3rd in the league in strikeouts against lefties and own a .304 wOBA with a .395 SLG. The only issue here is that Kazmir doesn’t go very deep into games, reaching the eighth inning once this season and the sixth three times. One of his best performances was against these Padres at Petco, striking out five and allowing no runs in six innings.
Carlos Martinez – STL vs. ARZ – $8,300 – I actually really like this start for Martinez more than I am ranking him. I just like the guys above a tad bit better. The Diamondbacks hit righties at a decent clip of .324, but Martinez has been fantastic against righties this season. Owning a .162 wOBA against them with a .278 wOBA at home, Martinez at $8,300 feels a bit cheap for this matchup. His strikeouts aren’t as high as they usually are in his career, but this is one of those plays that I feel will be a bit sneaky tonight.
Jose Quintana – CHW vs. KCR – $10,800 – I’m a bit torn on this spot for Quintana. On one side, the Royals do not hit left-handed pitchers well at all. On the season, they own a .293 wOBA with a .373 SLG. That certainly is enticing. Now, on the other end of the spectrum, they don’t strike out much at all, owning an 18.9 K%. Quintana hasn’t had to rely on his strikeouts too much to grab some high scores, as some of his games with five strikeouts have been in the high teens. It’s just a matter of if he can get deep into this game or not.
“Andriese has only made two starts this season, but he’s looked fantastic in both”
Matt Andriese – TBR vs. DET – $8,500 – Andriese has only made two starts this season, but he’s looked fantastic in both. Averaging 28.5 FPPG, Andriese takes on a Tigers team that is hitting righties well with a .333 wOBA, but like many teams, they have a high K% at 23.8% which is ranked 6th in the league. Now, Andriese has had two relatively easy starts this season against the A’s and the Angels, but Andriese went deep into both of these starts. His price tag makes him a nice value play and one that could be a sneaky one.
Colbly Lewis – TEX vs. HOU – $9,200 – Somehow, someway, Lewis continues to be on this solid run of pitching. Over his last four starts, Lewis is averaging 17.4 FPPG going seven innings in all of them. That certainly is nothing to sneeze at. With the Astros scuffling at the plate lately, Lewis could actually be a sneaky GPP play tonight. My only concern here is the home runs. Lewis has allowed 10 this season, dividing them up evenly against lefties and righties with five each. The Astros rank fourth in the league in home runs against righties with 44, so this could either make or break the start for Lewis.
Matt Wisler – ATL vs. PHI – $8,100 – After a bit of a rough start this season, Wisler has turned some nice starts against some fairly tough teams. The right-handed pitcher gets the start against a Phillies team ranked 27th in wOBA against righties at .288 with a .393 SLG. Wisler isn’t a big strikeout guy, owning a 5.9 K/9 on the season, but he does enough to be a legit option tonight in a GPP. With a 0.99 WHIP, Wisler could shut down this Phillies offense and grab you some low owned points on the night.