On a big Wednesday night of baseball here are five pitchers to consider for your lineup.
UPDATE: Noah Syndergaard has been bumped from his start tonight against Atlanta, per MLB.com.
1. Noah Syndergaard – NYM vs ATL – $12,600
It shouldn’t come as a shock that Thor is once again dominating this season. He has hit value in 3 of his 4 starts this season, despite being the second highest priced pitcher this season behind just Kershaw. Syndergaard has a 1.73 ERA and is averaging 24.68 DKFP per start. This is despite having to leave a start early with a torn fingernail. Thor’s velocity has actually increased from last year. His average fastball is 98.6 MPH, while his average sinker is 98 MPH in 2017. This makes him the hardest throwing starter in baseball.
UPDATE: The TOR @ STL game has been POSTPONED.
2. Carlos Martinez – STL vs TOR – $8,900
The Blue Jays are not a good offense. This is information that should be ingrained in all of our minds at this point. Toronto has become so desperate for offense that they started Russell Martin at third base last night. Their offense also gets a downgrade tonight since they are playing in an NL ballpark and will lose their designated hitter. Carlos Martinez has a 4.76 ERA, but it isn’t indicative of his actual performance. He has a career best 3.25 xFIP. He has been bit by some bad batted-ball-luck with a .351 BABIP, and he also has a 15.8 percent HR/FB rate, which is well above his career norms. Martinez is striking out 12.31 hitters per 9 innings, so he has plenty of K upside.
3. Dylan Bundy – BAL vs TB – $7,800
Bundy may be at the start of his breakout campaign. Just a few years ago, Bundy was considered by many scouts to be the best pitching prospect in baseball. His career was slightly derailed by injuries, but now he appears to be living up the promise that many scouts saw in him. He has won 3 of his 4 starts and has a 1.37 ERA to go along with a WHIP under 1. Bundy has scored over 21 DKFP in 3 of his 4 starts and needs just 16 DKFP to pay off his salary tonight. Bundy is giving up hard contact on just 16.2 percent of ball in play, which is one of the best rates for any pitcher in baseball. In addition he has a career best 12.1 percent swing and miss rate. Weak contact paired with swing and misses is a great recipe for success as a starting pitcher. He has also pitched at least 6 innings in all of his starts.
4. James Paxton – SEA @ DET – $8,200
Of all the pitchers going tonight, Paxton has scored the most fantasy points in 2017. He has even outproduced Syndergaard this year. Paxton picked his game up in the second half of last season when he saw a slight uptick in velocity and struck out nearly a hitter per inning post All Star break. Paxton has been nearly unhittable this season. He has a 1.78 ERA, which is backed up by a nearly impossible 1.14 FIP. He is striking out 10.66 hitters per 9 innings with just 5 walks on the year. He has basically eliminated the changeup from his arsenal. He is throwing it just 1.4 percent of the time in order to increase the usage of his curveball, which he is using on 22.2 percent of his pitches. Last year the changeup was his worst pitch at -3.6 runs to average while his curveball was an effective off speed pitch worth 1.7 runs above average. The Tigers’ offense is also currently without Miguel Cabrera, who is on the disabled list.
5. Wei-Yin Chen – MIA @ PHI – $7,100
Not much has changed with Chen from yesterday, yet his price has dropped by $500 for some reason. It is the same matchup against the same team and I liked him at his $7,600 price tag yesterday. The game was rained out, but Chen has the same matchup and some extra rest at a cheaper price tag. This means that he has some value. To reiterate some of what I said about him yesterday, Chen has never been a great pitcher, but he has been fairly steady for most of his career. With the exception of last season, he has a sub 4.1 ERA in each of his six seasons in the MLB. I expect him to bounce back from last year’s poor performance with a good showing this season.
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