Happy Friday! A tremendous 14-game slate is upon us today with plenty of options to choose from. There are a couple of sneaky stacky teams in the mix and some sub $3K guys in here as well. With only three of the games having a team total of more than eight runs, we’re going to dig deep to find our targets. Rankings are based on value projection. Top 5 dollar for dollar plays at each position.

Let’s get to it!

Catchers

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Carlos RuizPHIMIA$3,400
2Jarrod SaltalamacchiaDETTEX$3,000
3Buster PoseySFGCOL$3,800
4Tucker BarnhartCINMIL$2,500
5Welington CastilloARIATL$3,200

  • Make sure Ruiz is playing, and he’s been batting fifth — has a .402 wOBA vs. LHP and Wei-Yin Chen gives up 1.275 HR/9 IP. Ruiz is also carrying a 40% hard hit factor over his last two weeks.
  • Nobody’s mashing harder than Salty behind the plate, with a gaudy 98 mph avg exit velocity last 10 games and a 275 expected power last 30 days (on a 100 is average scale).
  • MIL SP Tyler Cravy has a .378 wOBA vs. LH bats, making Barnhart a cheap catcher punt in a popular stack of Reds tonight in tourneys.


1st Base

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1David OrtizBOSNYY$4,500
2Miguel CabreraDETTEX$4,100
3Mark TeixeiraNYYBOS$3,500
4Adam LindSEAHOU$3,700
5Chris CarterMILCIN$4,200

  • Yankees SP Michael Pineda gives up the long ball, with a 1.618 per 9 IP clip and Yankee Stadium is geared towards homers for lefties. Ortiz has a .425 wOBA against RHP and 223 expected power rating to take advantage.
  • Detroit is another stack to consider tonight as their righty bats lineup against LHP Cole Hamels. Cabrera has a .420 wOBA vs. LHP with a 93 mph avg. exit velocity and 40% hard hit rating over his last 10 games.
  • Boston starter Rick Porcello also gives up the long ball, with a 1.319 HR/9 IP rate and is also in Yankee Stadium, putting Yankee lefties like Teixeira (.382 wOBA, .275 ISO vs. RHP) on the radar tonight.


2nd Base

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Ian KinslerDETTEX$4,000
2Derek DietrichMIAPHI$2,800
3Brandon PhillipsCINMIL$3,700
4Rougned OdorTEXDET$3,400
5Dustin PedroiaBOSNYY$3,800

  • Kinsler rocks a .407 wOBA vs. LHP and 36% hard hit factor over his last 10 games. Kinsler is expected to lead off for the Tigers with a 4.3 expected run total for the team.
  • Dietrich has been hitting the ball hard lately with a 218 expected power rating over the last two weeks, 159 over the last 30 days and a .381 WOBA vs. RHP.
  • Odor has a tougher matchup against Jordan Zimmermann, but is a problem matchup himself, with his .350 wOBA and .231 ISO against RHP this season.


3rd Base

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Josh DonaldsonTORLAD$4,300
2Nick CastellanosDETTEX$3,700
3Nolan ArenadoCOLSFG$4,000
4David WrightNYMSD$4,700
5Kyle SeagerSEAHOU$4,400

  • Castellanos has obviously been noticed, with his salary at $3.7K, but is a solid play tonight with his .404 wOBA vs. LHP, 179 expected power rating and 94 mph avg exit velocity.
  • Arenado is in SF and against Bumgarner, but he’s a sneaky tourney play in the stud hitter in favorable split that’s low owned due to opposing SP. Arenado has hit .939 OPS with 7 home runs in AT&T park in his career and has a homer and a walk in six PAs against MadBum since the beginning of 2015, for what it’s worth.
  • David Wright is pummelling LHP, with a .422 wOBA and a .233 ISO against southpaws. Wright has maintained his hot start, with a 211 expected power rating and 95 mph avg exit velocity over his last 10 games.


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Shortstop

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1Brad MillerTAMLAA$2,800
2Brandon CrawfordSFGCOL$3,300
3Carlos CorreaHOUSEA$4,400
4Aledmys DiazSTLPIT$3,300
5Zack CozartCINMIL$3,500

  • My man, Brad Miller, is emerging after hitting the ball hard early without results. He has a 222 expected power rating over the last month and 45% hard hit factor as well.
  • Brandon Crawford is coming on as well, with a 50% hard hit factor over his last 12 games and a matchup that gives him a solid .333 wOBA and .211 ISO against RHP.
  • Francisco Liriano is a tough SP, but is less harsh against righties (.295 wOBA) and Diaz has been Pujols-esque for the Cardinals, power wise, with a .486 wOBA, .286 ISO against LHP and a 40% hard hit factor for the season.


Outfield

RankPlayerTeamOppSalary
1J.D. MartinezDETTEX$3,400
2Corey DickersonTBLAA$3,100
3Giancarlo StantonMIAPHI$4,500
4Adam DuvallCINMIL$3,700
5Alex PresleyMILCIN$2,000
6Colby RasmusHOUSEA$3,400
7Mookie BettsBOSNYY$4,500
8Nelson CruzSEAHOU$4,400

  • People may have forgotten how much power J.D. Martinez brought last season, but he’s in a great spot against LHP Hamels (.421 wOBA, .315 ISO) and has been emerging again lately (45% hard hit factor over last 12 games).
  • Corey Dickerson is a ridiculously too-low $3.1K and has a .393 wOBA and a .312 ISO against RHP and gets emergency starter Cory Rasmus to go up against at home.
  • Alex Presley paid off last night at the minimum with a homer, so let’s go back again, if he’s again atop the Brewers lineup, against RHP Tim Adelman with the Brewers carrying a 4.1 expected run total in CIN.
  • Taijuan Walker has given up 1.137 HR/9 IP and the Astros have a projected team total of 4.7 runs, so Rasmus and his .242 ISO against RHP, 51% fly ball rate and 172 expected power rating, batting fourth in the lineup at $3.4K is a tremendous play.
  • Meanwhile, Astros SP Doug Fister has a .346 reverse split (vs. RH bats), so Nelson Cruz is a prime target at $4.4K and 183 expected power rating over the last week.