Happy Friday! A nearly full-on MLB slate is on tap for tonight, with 14 games in total. Games in six of the top ten scoring stadiums and five of the top ten home run parks are in the mix, including games in Colorado, Arizona, Texas, Milwaukee and Toronto. As such, salaries have soared, so we’ll have to dig deep to find the best bang for the buck out here. Let’s get to it!
Rankings are based on value projection. Top 5 dollar for dollar plays at each position. Any questions, hit me up on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
- Castillo has a .394/.308 wOBA/ISO split against SD SP Friedrich, who has a .400 split against RH bats
- Jason Castro is a good tourney play against the Angels, with a 158 expected power (100 is average) over his last 60 at-bats
- Blake Swihart is also a good tourney play, due to where he bats in the Red Sox lineup, the total in the Sox/Jays game (9) and a 208 expected power in his last four games
- Davis crushes RHP, with a .432/.362 wOBA/ISO split vs RHP and Trevor Bauer has given up 1.395 HR/9 IP this season
- Mark Reynolds is one of the few everyday players in Coors tonight under $4K, and Matt Cain has a .348 wOBA against RH bats
- Joey Votto is a cash game solid tonight, against Zach Davies, in Miller Park, and Votto carrying a .409 wOBA against RHP
- Great spot for Kipnis (.363 wOBA vs. RHP), and the other Indians LH bats, against Mike Wright, who has a .410 wOBA against lefties
- Brett Lawrie is sneaking around, hitting .386 wOBA against LHP and popping a 152 expected power over the last month
- SeanRod is a solid play against LHP, with a .357 wOBA, and is in Texas with the weather getting hot, and also boasts a nine run total tonight as of this writing
|3||Jung Ho Kang||PIT||TEX||$3,100|
- Donaldson (.380/.255 wOBA/ISO vs. RHP) should be pretty chalky tonight, given this low price, reverse splits on BOS SP Joe Kelly (.365 wOBA vs. RH bats), and the nine run total
- Kang, against a LHP, in Texas, is an interesting play at $3.1K. TEX SP Hamels has a .309 wOBA against RH bats and Kang has an elite 313 expected power in the 42 at-bats since he returned from injury
- David Wright has been a league leader in expected power all season and over the last month (223/210, respectively), and gets a rookie LHP (Urias) to go up against
- Cozart leading off in MIL, is in a great spot, and his .208 ISO isn’t bad against RHP. MIL SP Davies has a .324 wOBA against RH bats as well and Cozart has a strong 180 expected power trend over his last 22 at-bats
- Villar hasn’t disappointed on top of the Brewers lineup, and has a .398 wOBA against LHP, while John Lamb has a .348 wOBA against RH bats
- There will be some solid one-off Cardinals bats that will be interesting, such as Diaz at $2.5K against Max Scherzer, with Diaz’s .407/.250 wOBA/ISO splits vs. RHP this season, especially if he’s near the top of the lineup
- OK, plenty of Rockies bats against Matt Cain and his .400 wOBA against LH bats. CarGo has a .425/.322 wOBA/ISO split to lead the way
- Gutierrez is a lefty masher, and has a .262 ISO to underline that vibe. MIN SP Pat Dean has already shown a propensity for the long ball, with a 1.353 HR/9 IP rate
- Check the lineup to see if Ichiro plays, and if he’s leading off against Williams Perez, Suzuki’s high contact rate (93%), puts him at the head of Marlins stack
- George Springer has been leading off, has a .353 wOBA against RHP, and LAA Shoemaker has a 1.387 HR/9 IP rate
- Corey Dickerson has a wonderful .378/.319 wOBA/ISO split against RHP and NYY SP Tanaka has a long ball issue, giving up nearly 1.40 HR/9 IP.