We have a huge 14 game slate for Tuesday’s MLB DFS action. Unlike yesterday, we have some clear stud pitchers on the mound to go along with some arms we want to target against. Let’s take a look at the top plays from each position based on matchups, upside and price.
- Carlos Ruiz hits in the cleanup spot against left-handed pitching. It makes sense for him to do so as he is sporting a wOBA over .400 and an ISO score in the .200s against them since the start of 2015. Those numbers would make any power hitter envious.
- Pineda has been hit hard by both right and left-handed bats in 2016. Castillo has a ton of power, especially in his home park. He was one of the top power sources from the catcher spot in 2015 and is tied for the league lead this year as well.
- The man Castillo is tied with is Saltalamacchia. Salty gets a matchup against extreme fly ball pitcher Phil Hughes. Hughes is worse against left-handed batters, and Salty does most of his damage against righties. He is a boom or bust kind of option, but this is a great spot for a boom.
|3||David Ortiz||Red Sox||Royals||$4,900|
|5||Byung Ho Park||Twins||Tigers||$4,100|
- Goldschmidt homered yesterday and brings his .399 wOBA and.242 ISO score against right-handers since the start of 2015 into a game against Pineda who is struggling to get anyone out from either side of the plate this year. He is in a high total game at his home hitter’s park, so he has massive upside.
- Anthony Rizzo gets a park bump as he moves to Miller Park. He crushes right-handed pitching to the tune of a .399 wOBA and .279 ISO. He faces a weak pitcher in Chase Anderson who is expected to get rocked today. This is one of the best lineups in baseball, so I expect them to bat around and get 5 at-bats today on the road.
- David Ortiz is still a beast. His wOBA since 2015 v. righties is sitting at a robust .415 with an ISO a few ticks below .300. Yordano Ventura has struggled with his control. He is walking guys and giving up home runs. Those are both things David Ortiz does often, so I love the matchup for him.
|1||Jose Altuve||Astros||White Sox||$5,500|
|4||Dustin Pedroia||Red Sox||Royals||$3,900|
- If you just looked at stats and saw a guy hitting .340 with 9 homers, 15 steals, 23 RBI, and 37 runs scored with a rolling 3 year wOBA against left-handed pitching well above .400 you would not only be willing to pay up for him, but you would do it gladly. People shy away from Altuve at his sky high price, but his numbers are better than guys like Trout, McCutchen, Stanton and Harper who many gladly paid the same price for in the past few days.
- Robinson Cano is bouncing back nicely from a down year with a .290 average and 12 home runs already in the early going. He gets a park bump and faces a guy who struggles with left-handed bats and the home run ball in Ubaldo Jimenez. Cano owns a .369 wOBA and .207 ISO since the start of 2015 against righties and is six-for-eleven lifetime against Ubaldo with 2 doubles and 2 home runs.
- Joe Panik is one of the best players you may have never heard of. He hits second for the Giants and owns a .360 wOBA with a .174 ISO score since 2015 against right-handed pitching. Colin Rea is not a good pitcher, and I expect the Giants to put up some runs against him with Panik being in the middle of it as usual.
|Targets||Read More||Cheat Sheet|
|3||Todd Frazier||White Sox||Astros||$5,100|
- Kris Bryant hits very well in righty on righty situations. Chase Anderson has allowed a higher average and more home runs to right-handed bats. Bryant brings his .375 wOBA and .203 ISO score into a great home run hitter’s stadium at Miller Park.
- Jake Lamb went yard again yesterday and gets a struggling Michael Pineda today. With Peralta injured, he has settled nicely into the cleanup spot for the Diamondbacks. They are expected to score some runs today and Lamb should have plenty of RBI chances.
- Todd Frazier has made his living by crushing left-handed pitching. He gets a struggling Dallas Keuchel today who has allowed right-handed bats to hit over .300 against him this year. Keuchel has been hit hard and is giving up runs, but his name is one many usually avoid targeting against. This could lead to low ownership for Frazier.
|2||Carlos Correa||Astros||White Sox||$4,500|
|5||Jimmy Rollins||White Sox||Astros||$3,900|
- Carlos Correa gets a nice matchup with a left-handed pitcher in Carlos Rodon. Rodon struggles with right-handed bats and Correa owns a wOBA over .360 and an ISO score over .230 against southpaws. He hits third behind two other lefty mashers in Altuve and Springer, so he should have ample RBI opportunities from the three hole today.
- Corey Seager has hit safely in nine of his last ten games. Seven of those games have been of the multi-hit variety. He has also scored double digit DraftKings points in 6 of those 10 games, so he has been cash game safe with GPP upside lately. He gets the soft tossing Weaver tonight, which gives him the splits advantage as well.
- Eduardo Nunez is now batting second for the Twins and producing. His batting average is up to .333 and he is scoring runs with the big bats like Sano and Park behind him.
|2||George Springer||Astros||White Sox||$4,800|
- Trumbo is my top play on the night. He faces a lefty in Wade Miley at home in Camden Yards. Baltimore is a great place for hitters, Miley struggles with right-handed bats, and Trumbo has crushed lefties to a .365 wOBA with a huge .274 ISO score.
- George Springer is another big right-handed bat that left-handed pitchers fear. He owns a .415 wOBA, a .248 ISO score, and a great spot in the lineup between two all-star middle infielders that also mash lefties.
- Adam Jones may be the hottest hitter in baseball. He is 13-for-25 with four home runs in his last 6 games. He has mashed left-handed pitching his entire career and should continue to do so today against Miley.
- We all wish Polanco was hitting higher up in the order, but his .295 batting average still plays even out of the 5th or 6th spot. He was in the 3 hole yesterday, and I would love to see him there again. Polanco can hit home runs and steal bases as well as drive in and score runs. He is one of those guys with a safe floor, because he fills up the stat sheet in so many diverse ways.
- Dexter Fowler is a forgotten man a lot of the time, but he gets maximum at-bats as the lead batter for the league’s best offense. He is one of the few guys who is averaging double digit fantasy points and he seems to get on base at least once a game in the (normally) 5 chances he gets. He has a good matchup in a great hitter’s park today too.