We have a huge fifteen game slate on tap for tonight. We have do have a game in Coors which is likely to take a lot of ownership, and rightfully so, with the total projected to be pretty high. Coors is always a factor, but we also have some other solid offenses in really good spots to look at too. Below is a list of some of my top plays at each position for the day based on price and projections.
- Willson Contreras is one of the better young hitter’s in all of baseball. Even when not catching, he is in the outfield to keep that bat in the lineup. He gets a great matchup here against a weak pitcher in John Lamb and an even weaker bullpen for the Reds.
- Kendall Graveman is one of the worst pitchers on the mound and allows a .300 batting average to right-handed batters. Buster Posey has prime real estate in the clean up spot for the Giants who have a pretty high total for this game.
- Stephen Vogt is the best left-handed bat the Athletics have healthy. His .340 wOBA against right-handed pitching since the start of 2015 is the best of any lefty on the roster at the moment. He faces a relief pitcher who became an emergency starter in Suarez today and should be in line for a nice night from the 3 hole of that Athletics order.
|2||Edwin Encarnacion||Blue Jays||Rockies||$5,500|
|3||David Ortiz||Red Sox||Rays||$5,100|
- Chris Davis smashes bad right-handed pitching. He owns a .395 wOBA and a .320 ISO score since the start of last year against righties. He faces Erik Johnson today who has allowed 39 hits, 11 walks, 25 runs, and 12 home runs in only 26 innings of work in 2016. This is one of the best matchups at any position on the day.
- Encarnacion went yard twice yesterday and is still in Coors field. He faces a guy in Eddie butler who has allowed opposing hitters to hit just shy of .400 against him at home. Encarnacion owns a robust .382 wOBA and a .272 ISO score since the start of 2015 against right-handed pitching.
- Big Papi has a really solid matchup today against Chris Archer. Papi has a huge wOBA against right-handed pitching with a .435 and a .342 ISO score to go with it since the start of last season. He is also 11-for-29 against Archer with two home runs, so the profile is backed up by his performance so far.
|5||Devon Travis||Blue Jays||Rockies||$4,900|
- Adam Conley is in for a rough day against this right-handed heavy Tigers squad. Ian Kinsler owns a .370+ wOBA against left-handed pitching and so does most of the top of the order. Conley struggles with right-handed bats, so this will not be an easy line up for him to navigate.
- Jason Kipnis homered yesterday and gets another good matchup against a weak right-handed pitcher tonight. Wisler had a few good turns, but he is struggling more with left-handed bats this year and allowed them to hit over .300 last season. Kipnis has a .372 wOBA against righties as well, so this is a great spot to roll him out again.
- Matt Harvey is not the guy we should be afraid of, but people still refuse to take bats against him, despite his struggles in 2016. This Nationals team lit him up twice a month ago and Murphy was a big reason. He not only owns a .372 wOBA and .217 ISO since 2015 against right-handers, but he is 2-for-4 with two home runs already against his former teammate.
|1||Nolan Arenado||Rockies||Blue Jays||$4,900|
|2||Josh Donaldson||Blue Jays||Rockies||$5,600|
|5||Evan Longoria||Rays||Red Sox||$3,400|
- J.A. Happ gives up a higher average to right-handed bats. Nolan Arenado is one guy who can take advantage of that. Arenado’s numbers are actually better against right-handed pitching, but he still owns a .353 wOBA and a .215 ISO score against lefties as well. The Rockies are slated to score a ton of runs today and the right-handed bats should do most of the damage.
- Kris Bryant was a monster yesterday. 5-for-5 with two doubles and three home runs. He has a better matchup today too as John Lamb has been horrible with 55 hits, 24 walks, and 8 runs allowed in only 52 innings of work in 2016.
- Josh Donaldson is going to go lower owned as people save a few hundred bucks by dropping down from Arenado or Bryant. He faces a gas can in Eddie Butler who has allowed close to a .400 batting average at home in 2016. Donaldson prefers lefties, but owns a .392 wOBA and a .268 ISO against right-handed pitching too. Plus he is in Coors field, so that never hurts.
|4||Xander Bogaerts||Red Sox||Rays||$4,200|
- We already talked about Erik Johnson giving up a long ball about every two innings. He has given up 3, 2, 3, 3, and 2 in his five starts of 2016. Machado actually hits right-handed pitching harder, as evidenced by his .391 wOBA and .248 ISO score.
- Corey Seager has a .399 wOBA and a .237 ISO score which have been climbing for the past few weeks. He faces a guy in Chase Anderson who the Dodgers just lit up for 7 runs in 2 and one third innings, with Seager doing a lot of the damage.
- I am not buying into Lincecum being back. His strikeout rate is way too low, and it will hurt him against this aggressive Astros team if he can no longer finish guys off. Correa is the best hitter of the big 3 against right-handed pitching, and how many shortstops hit cleanup for their teams?
|8||Corey Dickerson||Rays||Red Sox||$3,100|
- Even in righty/righty matchups, Mike Trout owns a .412 wOBA and a .282 ISO since the start of 2015. This is likely to be a bullpen game with the spot start from Feldman who was working as a reliever. That means the Astros are already short on arms, so the score here could turn ugly with Trout as the biggest bat in that order.
- Nelson Cruz owns lefties with a .451 wOBA and a .337 ISO score since the start of 2015. Jonathon Niese is not a good lefty either, so get ready for the Nelson Cruz boomstick to come out at some point tonight.
- Ryan Braun kills left-handed pitching. Since 2015 he owns a .421 wOBA and a .244 ISO score and has always hit them well. The rookie Urias has a solid future, but he is really struggling with right-handed bats so far in his young career.
- Carlos Beltran is the best hitter the Yankees have against either handedness of pitcher. He has a .358 wOBA and a .216 ISO score against left-handed pitching the last two season, and Cole Hamels allows a higher average and given up all his home runs to right-handed bats.
- CC Sabathia is pitching really well right now, but he has been letting right-handed bats put up numbers against him in the last few years. Ian Desmond is having one hell of a bounce back year down in Texas. His wOBA against lefties is up to .362 since 2015, where he struggled mightily. Desmond has delivered some timely hits and some big blasts against left-handed pitching in the last month and a half.